AI verdict

AI pick Dizel win probability ~50%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Dizel. Full breakdown below.

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Russia. Friendly
Russia. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Friendly

International

Dizel - HC Tambov

International Hockey
Dizel
Dizel
2 : 6
Finished
HC Tambov
HC Tambov

Dizel meet HC Tambov on August 16, 2026 in the Russia. Friendly, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dizel50%

1 · Dizel50.1%
2 · HC Tambov49.9%

Model estimate: win Dizel 50.1%, win HC Tambov 49.9%. Model favourite — Dizel.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dizel (odds1.75) Score 3:2 Over 4.5 (odds1.70) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Dizel 🇷🇺: forma NNP (0-1-2)
  • KhK Tambov: forma N (0-1)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Dizel 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 4.5 (odds 1.70).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dizel - HC Tambov August 16, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Dizel 50.1% / HC Tambov 49.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 22.8%
1 4.8%
2 79.8%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.75 ↓ 1.70
1X2 X 4.20 ↑ 4.30
1X2 2 3.65 ↑ 3.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Dizel 50%
💹 Market HC Tambov 80%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dizel - HC Tambov

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:6
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.695
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.500 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dizel 54.1% 50.1% market and model agree
Draw 21.4% -
HC Tambov 24.5% 49.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.1% / 49.9% probabilities
Rating 1,400 / 1,431 Dizel / HC Tambov
RD 231 / 284 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 937-1,862 / 864-1,999 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 49.9%
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.78 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.92 52.1%
8.50 11.8%
3.00 33.3%
7.50 13.3%
6.90 14.5%
5.80 17.2%
4.70 21.3%
1.06 94.3%
1.06 94.3%
1.20 83.3%
3.75 26.7%
1.78 56.2%
1.05 95.2%
1.35 74.1%
1.06 94.3%
1.07 93.5%
1.10 90.9%
1.05 95.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 3 1.12 89.3%
Over 3.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 4 1.40 71.4%
Over 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 5 1.97 50.8%
Over 5.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 6 3.15 31.8%
Over 6.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 7 5.10 19.6%
Over 7.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 8.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 9.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 10.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 11.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 10.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 11.5 1.17 85.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
17.00 5.9%
X 5.30 18.9%
1.02 98.0%
Match center
Dizel
D D L
07.08 12:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Dizel 2:2 KhK TambovKhK Tambov
06.08 10:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Dizel 2:2 KhK Ryazan-VDV
06.08 10:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Dizel 2:3 KhK Ryazan 🇷🇺KhK Ryazan 🇷🇺
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
HC Tambov
D
07.08 12:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
HC Tambov 2:2 Dizel 🇷🇺Dizel 🇷🇺
0 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Dizel - HC Tambov

Dizel
1 matches total
HC Tambov
Dizel: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
HC Tambov: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 07.08 12:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (07.08 12:00 UTC+0) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.08 12:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Dizel 🇷🇺
2:2
KhK Tambov

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dizel vs HC Tambov?

By the PropickAI model, Dizel is favoured — about 50% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Dizel vs HC Tambov?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Dizel. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Dizel vs HC Tambov start?

August 16, 2026.