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Russia. Friendly
Russia. Friendly International
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Friendly

Neftekhimik - HC Chelny

International Hockey
Stadium Neftekhim-Arena (Nizhnekamsk, Russia), capacity: 6050
Referee Anton Lavrentev (Kazan, Russia)
Neftekhimik
Neftekhimik
4 : 1
Finished
HC Chelny
HC Chelny
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Neftekhimik — 50%

1 · Neftekhimik50.2%
2 · HC Chelny49.8%

Model estimate: win Neftekhimik 50.2%, win HC Chelny 49.8%. Model favourite — Neftekhimik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Neftekhimik (odds1.45) Score 3:2 Under 6.5 (odds1.80) ✓ Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds2.00) ✗ confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Neftekhimik: probability 50% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 6.5 (odds 1.80)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.00).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neftekhimik - HC Chelny July 29, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Neftekhimik 50.2% / HC Chelny 49.8%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.15 ↑ 1.50
1X2 X 7.70 ↓ 4.70
1X2 2 12.00 ↓ 5.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Neftekhim-Arena (Nizhnekamsk, Russia), vmestimost: 6050
Referee Anton Lavrentev (Kazan, Russia)
Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Form 10 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Neftekhimik - HC Chelny

Hockey, Neftekhimik - Chelny, 29 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 4 : 1, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. Friendlies (kluby) 2026. Vo skolko nachalo matches Neftekhimik - Chelny, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. lineup_availability
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Referees Line
More needed
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.2% fact: home hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.496 / LogLoss 0.689
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.1% fact: home hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.499 / LogLoss 0.692
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Neftekhimik 62.0% 50.2% market and model agree
Draw 19.8% -
HC Chelny 18.2% 49.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Neftekhimik / HC Chelny
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.06 94.3%
2.15 46.5%
1.18 84.8%
3.70 27.0%
7.20 13.9%
7.00 14.3%
2.20 45.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.63 61.4%
4.60 21.7%
1.23 81.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.23 81.3%
1.19 84.0%
1.12 89.3%
1.10 90.9%
6.50 15.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 2.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 4 1.14 87.7%
Over 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 5 1.40 71.4%
Over 5.5 5.70 17.5%
Over 6 1.88 53.2%
Over 6.5 6.80 14.7%
Over 7 2.80 35.7%
Over 7.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 8 4.50 22.2%
Over 8.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 9 5.10 19.6%
Over 9.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 2.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 3.5 4.90 20.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
X 22.00 4.6%
61.00 1.6%
Match center
Neftekhimik
D D D D
01.04.2026 Championat
Neftekhimik 01.04.2026 Fonbet KKhL — Playoff Avangard 4 : 3 OT Neftekhimik 1/8 finala. 5-y match
30.03.2026 Championat
Neftekhimik 30.03.2026 Fonbet KKhL — Playoff Neftekhimik 2 : 5 Avangard 1/8 finala. 4-y match
28.03.2026 Championat
Neftekhimik 28.03.2026 Fonbet KKhL — Playoff Neftekhimik 1 : 2 Avangard 1/8 finala. 3-y match
26.03.2026 Championat
Neftekhimik 26.03.2026 Fonbet KKhL — Playoff Avangard 3 : 4 OT Neftekhimik 1/8 finala. 2-y match
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0% Win percentage
HC Chelny
D D D D
24.03.2026 Championat
24.03.2026 Fonbet KKhL — Playoff Avangard 4 : 2 Neftekhimik 1/8 finala. 1-y match HC Chelny
18.03.2026 Championat
18.03.2026 OLIMPBET Championship Russia VKhL Chelny 4 : 5 Omskie Krylya HC Chelny
16.03.2026 Championat
16.03.2026 OLIMPBET Championship Russia VKhL Chelny 5 : 6 OT Zaurale HC Chelny
14.03.2026 Championat
14.03.2026 OLIMPBET Championship Russia VKhL Chelny 1 : 4 HC Chelny
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNeftekhimik - HC Chelny

Neftekhimik
0 matches total
HC Chelny
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Friendlies (kluby) Neftekhimik 3 : 0 Chelny ; ;
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Neftekhimik
Data 8 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 HC Chelny
Neftekhimik Team comparison HC Chelny
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Broski v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Neftekhimik Chelny 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Broski v stvor 0 Sleduyuschiy match 22.08.2026 Friendlies (kluby) Chelny –:– Neftekhimik Goly Maksim Ustimkin 0:1 20:23 5x4 German Tochilkin Nikita Khoruzhev Rafael Bikmullin 1 22:29 5x4 Rafael Bikmullin Timur Khayrullin Nikita Khoruzhev 2:1 30:42 5x4 Nikita Khoruzhev Nikolay Krivolapov 3:1 32:07 5x5 Nikolay Krivolapov Amir Gizyatov Viktor Andreychenko 4:1 35:02 5x4 Sendoffs Grigoriy Seleznev podnozhka 2' 09:16 Nikolay Krivolapov tolchok na bort 2' 17:08 Denis Vanin podnozhka 2' 21:15 Timur Minnekhanov udar klyushkoy 2' 30:25 Ignatiy Protasov blokirovka 2' 34:25 Rafael Bikmullin tolchok na bort 2' 35:15 Denis Vanin podnozhka 2' 45:02 Vratari Matvey Botov 00-40:00 Semen Lyubalin 40:00-60:00 Vratari Andrey Skovronskiy 00-29:24 Vladislav Rukhlyadev 29:24-60:00