AI verdict

AI pick Liptovsky Mikulas win probability ~44% best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Liptovsky Mikulas. Full breakdown below.

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Slovakia. Friendly
Slovakia. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Slovakia. Friendly

HK Preshov vs Liptovsky Mikulas — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
HK Preshov
HK Preshov
2 : 4
Finished
Liptovsky Mikulas
Liptovsky Mikulas

HK Preshov go head-to-head with Liptovsky Mikulas in ice hockey, in Slovakia. Friendly, on 28 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Liptovsky Mikulas as the favourite at around 44%. Sportsbook prices (3 books) put that result at roughly 44%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 21%.

Latest form: HK Preshov 1 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost; Liptovsky Mikulas 3 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost. Liptovsky Mikulas come in having won their last matches. On the Glicko scale it is 1216 for HK Preshov against 1881 for Liptovsky Mikulas - a gap of 665 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 665 Glicko rating points, the model's 44% for Liptovsky Mikulas. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Liptovsky Mikulas44%

1 · HK Preshov35.3%
2 · Liptovsky Mikulas44.0%

Model estimate: win HK Preshov 35.3%, win Liptovsky Mikulas 44.0%. Model favourite — Liptovsky Mikulas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HK Preshov - Liptovsky Mikulas August 28, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liptovsky Mikulas.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liptovsky Mikulas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.63 / X 11.50 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: HK Preshov 35.3% / X 20.7% / Liptovsky Mikulas 44.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2% 2 books
1 34.8%
X 21.6%
2 43.6%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.70 ↓ 2.60
1X2 X 4.50 ↓ 4.40
1X2 2 2.05 ↑ 2.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
HK Preshov
35%
137.00
Draw
21%
11.50
Liptovsky Mikulas
43%
2.10
Total
Over 5.5
49%
1.94
Under 5.5
51%
4.15

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

13Wins15
2.8Goals on average3.4

Head-to-head matches: 28 · average total 6.3 (goals)

Team form

HK Preshov
4-6WLWWLLLLWL
scored 2.6conceded 3.6
Liptovsky Mikulas
5-5WWLWLLLLWW
scored 2.8conceded 2.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 26.4% @ 2.63 / X 6.0% @ 11.50 / 2 67.5% @ 1.03
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Liptovsky Mikulas 44%
💹 Market Liptovsky Mikulas 44%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

HK Preshov - Liptovsky Mikulas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/2 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 44.0% fact: away hit / ROI 115.0% / Brier 0.482 / LogLoss 0.822
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 36.3% fact: away hit / ROI 115.0% / Brier 0.609 / LogLoss 1.013
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HK Preshov 34.8% 35.3%
Draw 21.6% 20.7%
Liptovsky Mikulas 43.6% 44.0% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 35.3% / 20.7% / 44.0% probabilities
Rating 1,216 / 1,881 HK Preshov / Liptovsky Mikulas
RD 209 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 798-1,635 / 1,417-2,345 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 44.0%
X 4.25 market consensus · no value · model 20.7%
1 2.63 market consensus · no value · model 35.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
4.05 24.7%
1.25 80.0%
1.63 61.4%
3.00 33.3%
6.80 14.7%
4.60 21.7%
6.70 14.9%
2.45 40.8%
1.20 83.3%
3.65 27.4%
2.13 47.0%
5.90 17.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.07 93.5%
1.16 86.2%
1.07 93.5%
1.16 86.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 3.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 4 1.18 84.8%
Over 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 5 1.48 67.6%
Over 5.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 6 2.07 48.3%
Over 6.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 7 3.15 31.8%
Over 7.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 8 5.10 19.6%
Over 8.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 2.5 6.90 14.5%
Under 3.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 4 4.30 23.3%
Under 4.5 3.30 30.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
137.00 0.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.63 38.0%
X 11.50 8.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.25 23.5%
1.03 97.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
Match center
HK Preshov
L L L
25.08 15:30 UTC Slovakia. Friendlies
HK Preshov 2:5 PopradPoprad
14.08 15:30 UTC Slovakia. Friendlies
HK Preshov 1:4 Spishska Nova VesSpishska Nova Ves
12.08 15:30 UTC Slovakia. Friendlies
HK Preshov 0:3 KoshitseKoshitse
0 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Liptovsky Mikulas
W W
27.08 16:00 UTC Slovakia. Friendlies
Liptovsky Mikulas 4:1 KrakoviyaKrakoviya
20.08 16:00 UTC Slovakia. Friendlies
Liptovsky Mikulas 6:3 Dukla MikhalovtseDukla Mikhalovtse
2 Wins
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Preshov vs Liptovsky Mikulas?

By the PropickAI model, Liptovsky Mikulas is favoured — about 44% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for HK Preshov vs Liptovsky Mikulas?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Liptovsky Mikulas. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for HK Preshov vs Liptovsky Mikulas?

Live odds for HK Preshov vs Liptovsky Mikulas from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does HK Preshov vs Liptovsky Mikulas start?

August 28, 2026.