Match center
Start
13.08.2026 16:00 UTC
AI verdict
AI pick Linkoping
win probability ~50%
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Linkoping. Full breakdown below.
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
–Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
13.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Sweden. Friendly
Linkoping - Farjestad
0
:
1
Finished
Linkoping meet Farjestad on August 13, 2026 in the Sweden. Friendly, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Linkoping — 50%
Model estimate: win Linkoping 50.2%, win Farjestad 49.8%. Model favourite — Linkoping.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Linkoping (odds3.40)
Score 3:2
Under 5.5
(odds1.72)
Handicap H1 +1
(odds1.72)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Lincheping: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.40)
- • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.72)
- • Handicap F1 +1: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.72).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Linkoping - Farjestad August 13, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Linkoping 50.2% / Farjestad 49.8%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
3.40
→ 3.40
1X2 X
4.30
↓ 4.15
1X2 2
1.70
↑ 1.75
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Linkoping - Farjestad
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score
0:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line
home - 50.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.504 / LogLoss 0.697
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line
home - 50.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Linkoping
26.6%
50.2%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
21.8%
-
Farjestad
51.6%
49.8%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Hockey math model
P1 / P2
50.2% / 49.8%
probabilities
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Linkoping / Farjestad
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.09
Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%
X
6.30
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.19
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.00
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
4.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5
1.93
Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5
2.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.05 95.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.95 33.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 7.80 12.8% |
| Over 4 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 4.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 5.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 6 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 6.5 | 4.05 24.7% |
| Over 7 | 4.10 24.4% |
| Over 7.5 | 6.30 15.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 4 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 100.00 1.0% | |
| X | 6.30 15.9% |
| 1.09 91.7% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLinkoping - Farjestad
Linkoping
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Linkoping - Farjestad breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linkoping vs Farjestad?
By the PropickAI model, Linkoping is favoured — about 50% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Linkoping vs Farjestad?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Linkoping. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Linkoping vs Farjestad start?
August 13, 2026.