Match center
Start
14.08.2026 16:00 UTC
AI verdict
AI pick Malmo
win probability ~50%
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Malmo. Full breakdown below.
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
–Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
14.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Sweden. Friendly
Malmo - Vaxjo Lakers
1
:
2
Finished
Malmo meet Vaxjo Lakers on August 14, 2026 in the Sweden. Friendly, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Malmo — 50%
Model estimate: win Malmo 50.2%, win Vaxjo Lakers 49.8%. Model favourite — Malmo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Malmo (odds2.60)
Score 3:2
Handicap H1 +0
(odds2.10)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Malme: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.60)
- • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.10).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Malmo - Vaxjo Lakers August 14, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Malmo 50.2% / Vaxjo Lakers 49.8%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
2.60
↑ 2.65
1X2 X
4.30
↓ 4.00
1X2 2
2.02
↑ 2.07
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Malmo - Vaxjo Lakers
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score
1:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line
home - 50.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.504 / LogLoss 0.697
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line
home - 50.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Malmo
34.0%
50.2%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
22.5%
-
Vaxjo Lakers
43.5%
49.8%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Hockey math model
P1 / P2
50.2% / 49.8%
probabilities
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Malmo / Vaxjo Lakers
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.07
Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%
X
5.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.30
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.50
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.07
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
3.25
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 4.90 20.4% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.07 93.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 4 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| Over 5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 5.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 6 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Over 6.5 | 5.50 18.2% |
| Over 7 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Over 7.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 4 | 3.20 31.3% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Under 5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 52.00 1.9% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1.07 93.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMalmo - Vaxjo Lakers
Malmo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Malmo - Vaxjo Lakers breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malmo vs Vaxjo Lakers?
By the PropickAI model, Malmo is favoured — about 50% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Malmo vs Vaxjo Lakers?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Malmo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Malmo vs Vaxjo Lakers start?
August 14, 2026.