AI verdict

AI pick Vimmerby win probability ~58% confidence Medium best odds 1.48

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Vimmerby. Full breakdown below.

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Sweden. Friendly
Sweden. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden. Friendly

Vimmerby - Vasterviks

International Hockey
Vimmerby
Vimmerby
3 : 1
Finished
Vasterviks
Vasterviks

Vimmerby go head-to-head with Vasterviks on August 25, 2026 in the Sweden. Friendly, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Vimmerby 0-0-1, Vasterviks 1-0-0. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vimmerby58%

1 · Vimmerby57.6%
2 · Vasterviks24.8%

Model estimate: win Vimmerby 57.6%, win Vasterviks 24.8%. Model favourite — Vimmerby.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vimmerby - Vasterviks August 25, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vimmerby.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vimmerby. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.48 / X 5.00 / 2 4.90
  • Glicko: Vimmerby 57.6% / X 17.7% / Vasterviks 24.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5% 3 books
1 58.3%
X 19.2%
2 22.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.50 ↓ 1.48
1X2 X 4.90 ↑ 5.00
1X2 2 4.70 ↑ 4.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Vimmerby
60%
1.58
Draw
19%
5.00
Vasterviks
21%
4.90
Total
Over 5.5
53%
1.75
Under 5.5
47%
1.98

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Vimmerby
7-3WLLWWLWWWW
scored 2.6conceded 2.4
Vasterviks

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 25.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 62.6% @ 1.48 / X 18.5% @ 5.00 / 2 18.9% @ 4.90
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Vimmerby 58%
💹 Market Vimmerby 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Vimmerby - Vasterviks

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 57.6% fact: home hit / ROI 58.0% / Brier 0.272 / LogLoss 0.552
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 40.1% fact: home hit / ROI 58.0% / Brier 0.538 / LogLoss 0.913
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vimmerby 58.3% 57.6% market and model agree
Draw 19.2% 17.7%
Vasterviks 22.5% 24.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 57.6% / 17.7% / 24.8% probabilities
Rating 1,385 / 1,603 Vimmerby / Vasterviks
RD 254 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 876-1,894 / 1,022-2,184 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · no value · model 24.8%
X 5.00 Fonbet · no value · model 17.7%
1 1.48 Fonbet · no value · model 57.6%
Handicap
2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.85 54.1%
2.25 44.4%
2.65 37.7%
4.00 25.0%
4.60 21.7%
1.22 82.0%
2.20 45.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.20 83.3%
1.16 86.2%
3.80 26.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 4 1.18 84.8%
Over 4.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 6 2.10 47.6%
Over 6.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 7 3.25 30.8%
Over 7.5 3.65 27.4%
Over 8 5.10 19.6%
Over 8.5 5.70 17.5%
Under 3.5 4.90 20.4%
Under 4 4.30 23.3%
Under 4.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 5 2.40 41.7%
Under 5.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 6 1.65 60.6%
Under 6.5 1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.48 67.6% 1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3%
X 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8% 4.80 20.8%
4.90 20.4% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4%
Match center
Vimmerby
L
14.08 17:00 UTC Sweden. Friendlies
Vimmerby 2:4 KalmarKalmar
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Vasterviks
W
21.08 17:00 UTC Sweden. Friendlies
Vasterviks 2:1 Melbyu
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Vimmerby - Vasterviks

Vimmerby
0 matches total
Vasterviks
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vimmerby vs Vasterviks?

By the PropickAI model, Vimmerby is favoured — about 58% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Vimmerby vs Vasterviks?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Vimmerby. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Vimmerby vs Vasterviks start?

August 25, 2026.