PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Friendly
Friendly
30.07.2026 13:05 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 13:05 UTC
Finished

Friendly

Almaz - Red Machine Atlant

Hockey
A
Almaz
0 : 2
Finished
R
Red Machine Atlant
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Almaz — 50%

1 · Almaz50.2%
2 · Red Machine Atlant49.8%

Model estimate: win Almaz 50.2%, win Red Machine Atlant 49.8%. Model favourite — Almaz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Almaz (odds1.95) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds2.02) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Almaz 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 2.02).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Almaz - Red Machine Atlant July 30, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / X 1.06 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Almaz 50.2% / X - / Red Machine Atlant 49.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 6.6%
X 86.8%
2 6.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.95 ↑ 2.70
1X2 X 4.20 → 4.20
1X2 2 3.05 ↓ 2.12

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 13:05 UTC
Match center

Almaz - Red Machine Atlant

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form espn, Flashscore, Championat
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 50.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.504 / LogLoss 0.697
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Almaz 34.3% 50.2% Glicko contrarian
Draw 22.0% -
Red Machine Atlant 43.7% 49.8% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Almaz / Red Machine Atlant
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.73 57.8%
1.05 95.2%
3.90 25.6%
9.00 11.1%
5.00 20.0%
6.60 15.2%
2.00 50.0%
8.50 11.8%
2.80 35.7%
5.90 17.0%
5.10 19.6%
7.90 12.7%
5.90 17.0%
1.20 83.3%
1.04 96.2%
1.14 87.7%
1.07 93.5%
1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 4 1.17 85.5%
Over 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 5 1.30 76.9%
Over 5.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 6 1.70 58.8%
Over 6.5 6.60 15.2%
Over 7 2.40 41.7%
Over 7.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 8 3.70 27.0%
Over 8.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 9 5.10 19.6%
Over 9.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 2.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 3.5 5.20 19.2%
Under 4 4.50 22.2%
Under 4.5 4.30 23.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
14.00 7.1%
X 1.06 94.3%
14.00 7.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlmaz - Red Machine Atlant

Almaz
0 matches total
Red Machine Atlant
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history