Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Tournament Memorial P. Belyaeva. Cherepovets
Tournament Memorial P. Belyaeva. Cherepovets
27.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Tournament Memorial P. Belyaeva. Cherepovets

HC Gomel - HC Mogilev

Hockey
H
HC Gomel
4 : 2
Finished
H
HC Mogilev
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 HC Gomel52%

1 · HC Gomel52.2%
2 · HC Mogilev47.8%

Model estimate: win HC Gomel 52.2%, win HC Mogilev 47.8%. Model favourite — HC Gomel.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1HC Gomel (odds1.95) Score 3:2 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • Gomel 🇧🇾: forma V (1-0)
  • Mogilev 🇧🇾: forma V (1-0)
  • Model backs Gomel 🇧🇾: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 3:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HC Gomel - HC Mogilev July 27, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: HC Gomel 52.2% / HC Mogilev 47.8%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.43 ↓ 1.40
1X2 X 5.00 ↑ 5.20
1X2 2 4.80 ↑ 5.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

HC Gomel - HC Mogilev

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.2% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.458 / LogLoss 0.651
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.681
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HC Gomel 64.6% 52.2% market and model agree
Draw 17.4% -
HC Mogilev 18.1% 47.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 52.2% / 47.8% probabilities
Rating 1,845 / 1,323 HC Gomel / HC Mogilev
RD 285 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,274-2,416 / 845-1,800 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%
Handicap
2 -1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
1.48 67.6%
1.16 86.2%
2.00 50.0%
2.75 36.4%
6.90 14.5%
6.50 15.4%
1.07 93.5%
7.30 13.7%
2.50 40.0%
4.60 21.7%
1.73 57.8%
1.40 71.4%
1.07 93.5%
1.08 92.6%
7.00 14.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 2.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 3.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 4.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 5 1.75 57.1%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 6 2.65 37.7%
Over 6.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 7 4.40 22.7%
Under 1.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 2.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 3.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 5 1.95 51.3%
Under 5.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 6 1.40 71.4%
Under 6.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 7 1.17 85.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
X 11.50 8.7%
33.00 3.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2, avg 6.1 gls
2026-07-27 · Gomel 4:2 Mogilev
2026-01-24 · Gomel 1:2 Mogilev
2026-01-22 · Gomel 3:1 Mogilev
2025-11-01 · Gomel 4:1 Mogilev
2025-10-30 · Gomel 5:3 Mogilev
Source: ruscore
HC Gomel
W
22.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Gomel 6:2 Metallurg-Zhlobin 🇧🇾
1 Wins
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
HC Mogilev
L L W
24.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Mogilev 2:6 Khimik Novopolotsk
23.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Mogilev 2:6 Khimik Novopolotsk
22.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Mogilev 4:2 Lokomotiv Orsha
1 Wins
2 Losses
2.7 Scored
4.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHC Gomel - HC Mogilev

HC Gomel
0 matches total
HC Mogilev
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history