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31.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

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MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg - Amurskie Tigry

Hockey
M
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg
6 : 5
Finished
A
Amurskie Tigry
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Amurskie Tigry — 50%

1 · MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg49.7%
2 · Amurskie Tigry50.3%

Model estimate: win MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 49.7%, win Amurskie Tigry 50.3%. Model favourite — Amurskie Tigry.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Amurskie Tigry (odds4.40) Score 2:3 Under 6.5 (odds1.61) ✗ Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.92) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Dinamo SPb (MKhL) 🇷🇺: forma VPP (1-2)
  • • Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺: forma P (0-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 23% on the line (odds 4.40)
  • • edge over the line +28 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 6.5 (odds 1.61)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.92).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg - Amurskie Tigry July 31, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg.

Line favourite Fonbet: MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / X 5.20 / 2 5.00
  • Glicko: MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 49.7% / X - / Amurskie Tigry 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 63.7%
X 17.8%
2 18.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.45 → 1.45
1X2 X 5.20 → 5.20
1X2 2 4.40 ↑ 5.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
H2H 1
Match center

MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg - Amurskie Tigry

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 6:5
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.506 / LogLoss 0.699
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.695
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 63.7% 49.7% market favourite
Draw 17.8% -
Amurskie Tigry 18.5% 50.3% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.7% / 50.3% probabilities
Rating 1,397 / 1,500 MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg / Amurskie Tigry
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 815-1,979 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 Fonbet · weak value +151.4% · model 50.3%
X 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.75 57.1%
2.05 48.8%
2.40 41.7%
3.60 27.8%
4.20 23.8%
1.20 83.3%
2.30 43.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.68 59.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.25 80.0%
1.18 84.8%
3.90 25.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 4 1.13 88.5%
Over 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 5 1.38 72.5%
Over 5.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 6 1.85 54.1%
Over 6.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 7 2.75 36.4%
Over 7.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 8 4.30 23.3%
Over 8.5 4.80 20.8%
Under 3.5 5.70 17.5%
Under 4 5.10 19.6%
Under 4.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 5 2.80 35.7%
Under 5.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 6 1.85 54.1%
Under 6.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
X 5.20 19.2%
5.00 20.0%
Match center
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg
W L L
31.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 6:5 Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺
26.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 1:2 Dinamo-Shinnik 🇧🇾
25.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 1:2 Dinamo-Shinnik 🇧🇾
1 Wins
2 Losses
2.7 Scored
3.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Amurskie Tigry
L
31.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Amurskie Tigry 5:6 Dinamo SPb (MKhL) 🇷🇺
0 Wins
1 Losses
5.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMHC Dynamo St. Petersburg - Amurskie Tigry

MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg
1 matches total
Amurskie Tigry
MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Amurskie Tigry: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Dinamo SPb (MKhL) 🇷🇺 6:5 (31.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 11 goals (6:5, 31.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

31.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Dinamo SPb (MKhL) 🇷🇺
6:5
Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺