Tournament Memorial P. Belyaeva. Cherepovets
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺 — 50%
Model estimate: win MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg 49.7%, win Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺 50.3%. Model favourite — Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.48 67.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 8.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 9.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 10.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 11.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 7.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 8.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 9.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 10.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Under 11.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| X | 6.70 14.9% |
| 10.50 9.5% |
Full head-to-head historyMHC Dynamo St. Petersburg - Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺
The MHC Dynamo St. Petersburg - Amurskie Tigry 🇷🇺 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
