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Russia. Friendly
Russia. Friendly
04.08.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Friendly

Omskie Krylia - Zauralye

Hockey
Omskie Krylia
Omskie Krylia
7 : 3
Finished
Zauralye
Zauralye

Omskie Krylia face Zauralye on August 4, 2026 in the Russia. Friendly.

Recent form (W-D-L): Omskie Krylia 1-0-0, Zauralye 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Omskie Krylia — 52%

1 · Omskie Krylia52.0%
2 · Zauralye48.0%

Model estimate: win Omskie Krylia 52.0%, win Zauralye 48.0%. Model favourite — Omskie Krylia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Omskie Krylia (odds1.45) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds2.02) ✗ Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.95) ✗ confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Omskie Krylya 🇷🇺: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Zaurale 🇷🇺: forma P (0-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Omskie Krylya 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 2.02)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.95).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Omskie Krylia - Zauralye August 4, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Omskie Krylia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Omskie Krylia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / X 5.00 / 2 5.30
  • Glicko: Omskie Krylia 52.0% / X - / Zauralye 48.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 64.0%
X 18.6%
2 17.5%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.45 → 1.45
1X2 X 5.00 → 5.00
1X2 2 5.30 → 5.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 64.0% @ 1.45 / X 18.5% @ 5.00 / 2 17.5% @ 5.30
Form 3 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Omskie Krylia - Zauralye

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 7:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.460 / LogLoss 0.653
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.489 / LogLoss 0.682
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Omskie Krylia 64.0% 52.0% market and model agree
Draw 18.6% -
Zauralye 17.5% 48.0%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 52.0% / 48.0% probabilities
Rating 1,799 / 1,299 Omskie Krylia / Zauralye
RD 260 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,279-2,319 / 718-1,881 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · weak value +154.2% · model 48.0%
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 52.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.75 57.1%
2.12 47.2%
2.50 40.0%
3.80 26.3%
4.40 22.7%
1.20 83.3%
2.30 43.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.64 61.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.22 82.0%
1.17 85.5%
4.05 24.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 4 1.17 85.5%
Over 4.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 5 1.45 69.0%
Over 5.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 6 2.03 49.3%
Over 6.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 7 3.05 32.8%
Over 7.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 8 4.90 20.4%
Over 8.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 3.5 5.10 19.6%
Under 4 4.50 22.2%
Under 4.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 5 2.50 40.0%
Under 5.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 6 1.70 58.8%
Under 6.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
X 5.00 20.0%
5.30 18.9%
Match center
Omskie Krylia
W
02.08 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Omskie Krylia 7:3 Zaurale 🇷🇺Zaurale 🇷🇺
1 Wins
0 Losses
7.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Zauralye
L
02.08 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Zauralye 3:7 Omskie Krylya 🇷🇺Omskie Krylya 🇷🇺
0 Wins
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
7.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOmskie Krylia - Zauralye

Omskie Krylia
1 matches total
Zauralye
Omskie Krylia: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Zauralye: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Omskie Krylya 🇷🇺 7:3 (02.08 11:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 10 goals (7:3, 02.08 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.08 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Omskie Krylya 🇷🇺
7:3
Zaurale 🇷🇺