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Friendly
Friendly
27.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Friendly

Sputnik Almetievsk - Reactor

Hockey
S
Sputnik Almetievsk
1 : 4
Finished
R
Reactor
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Reactor51%

1 · Sputnik Almetievsk49.4%
2 · Reactor50.6%

Model estimate: win Sputnik Almetievsk 49.4%, win Reactor 50.6%. Model favourite — Reactor.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Reactor (odds1.98) Score 2:3 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • Reaktor: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • Model backs Reaktor: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:3.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sputnik Almetievsk - Reactor July 27, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sputnik Almetievsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sputnik Almetievsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 4.60 / 2 2.50
  • Glicko: Sputnik Almetievsk 49.4% / X - / Reactor 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 43.0%
X 20.1%
2 37.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.10 ↓ 1.78
1X2 X 4.50 ↑ 4.60
1X2 2 2.45 ↑ 3.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Sputnik Almetievsk - Reactor

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: away hit / ROI 230.0% / Brier 0.489 / LogLoss 0.682
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.2% fact: away hit / ROI 230.0% / Brier 0.497 / LogLoss 0.690
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sputnik Almetievsk 51.9% 49.4% market favourite
Draw 20.1% -
Reactor 28.0% 50.6% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.4% / 50.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,630 Sputnik Almetievsk / Reactor
RD 350 / 107 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,417-1,844 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · value +26.4% · model 50.6%
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.15 Fonbet · weak value +6.3% · model 49.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.45 40.8%
2.70 37.0%
3.50 28.6%
3.85 26.0%
4.90 20.4%
2.85 35.1%
3.15 31.8%
4.15 24.1%
2.80 35.7%
3.70 27.0%
7.50 13.3%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.25 80.0%
1.22 82.0%
1.14 87.7%
1.09 91.7%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 3.5 1.12 89.3%
Over 4 1.15 87.0%
Over 4.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 5 1.42 70.4%
Over 5.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 6 1.95 51.3%
Over 6.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 7 2.90 34.5%
Over 7.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 8 4.60 21.7%
Over 8.5 5.10 19.6%
Under 2.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 3.5 5.30 18.9%
Under 4 4.70 21.3%
Under 4.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 5 2.65 37.7%
Under 5.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.15 46.5%
X 4.60 21.7%
2.50 40.0%
Match center
Sputnik Almetievsk
W W L
21.07 14:50 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Sputnik Almetievsk 4:3 Gornyak
21.07 10:20 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Sputnik Almetievsk 8:2 Sparta
19.07 22:10 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Sputnik Almetievsk 1:4 Energiya
2 Wins
1 Losses
4.3 Scored
3.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Reactor
W W L W W
21.07 14:50 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Reactor 4:3 Gornyak
21.07 10:20 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Reactor 8:2 Sparta
19.07 22:10 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Reactor 1:4 Energiya
19.07 16:20 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Reactor 3:1 Dinamo
19.07 14:50 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
Reactor 6:4 Lvy
4 Wins
1 Losses
4.4 Scored
2.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage