AI verdict

AI pick Arefev S win probability ~64% confidence High

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Arefev S. Full breakdown below.

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Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk
Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk

International

Abdeev R vs Arefev S — Table tennis prediction

International Table tennis
Abdeev R
Abdeev R
0 : 3
7:11 7:11 10:12
Finished
Arefev S
Arefev S

Abdeev R take on Arefev S in table tennis, in Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk, on 30 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Arefev S as the favourite at around 64%. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 66%.

Recent form reads: Abdeev R have 2 won and 3 lost of their last 5; Arefev S have 2 won and 3 lost of 5. Glicko ratings: Abdeev R 1539, Arefev S 1422, a gap of 117 points. The two have met 1 time lately, and the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 2-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 117 Glicko rating points, the model's 64% for Arefev S. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Estimate from the market line (no margin)

2 Arefev S64%

1 · Abdeev R35.9%
2 · Arefev S ✓ Pick64.1%

Model estimate: win Abdeev R 35.9%, win Arefev S 64.1%. Model favourite — Arefev S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Abdeev R - Arefev S August 30, 2026

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Abdeev R 35.9% / Arefev S 64.1%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.70 → 2.70
Winner 2 1.40 → 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Abdeev R - Arefev S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Abdeev R Arefev S Result
Set 1 7 11 7:11
Set 2 7 11 7:11
Set 3 10 12 10:12
Market and Glicko

PropickAI math model.Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Abdeev R 34.2% 35.9%
Arefev S 65.9% 64.1% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

PropickAI math model
P1 / P2 35.9% / 64.1% probabilities
Rating 1,539 / 1,408 Abdeev R / Arefev S
RD 76 / 94 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,387-1,690 / 1,220-1,595 strength interval

Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.93 51.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.08 48.1%
1.85 54.1%
3.60 27.8%
3.05 32.8%
1.77 56.5%
2.20 45.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.23 81.3%
1.33 75.2%

Match Winner

Outcome Fonbet
9.50 10.5%
1.03 97.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 55.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 56.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 57.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 58.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 62.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 64.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 66.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 68.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 69.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 70.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 71.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 72.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 73.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 74.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 75.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 55.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 56.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 57.5 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Abdeev R
L L W L W
30.08 06:00 UTC Belarus
Abdeev R 2:3 Dekhtyarenko A V
30.08 05:00 UTC Belarus
Abdeev R 1:3 Chernyshov A
26.08 07:00 UTC Belarus
Abdeev R 3:2 Chernyshov A
26.08 05:00 UTC Belarus
Abdeev R 0:3 Chertkov D
24.08 07:00 UTC Belarus
Abdeev R 3:2 Lugovskiy S
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Arefev S
W L L W L
30.08 05:30 UTC Belarus
Arefev S 3:0 Dekhtyarenko A V
30.08 05:00 UTC Belarus
Arefev S 0:3 Chernyshov A
25.08 19:30 UTC Belarus
Arefev S 1:3 Zhuk A
25.08 18:30 UTC Belarus
Arefev S 3:0 Bobekh A
25.08 17:30 UTC Belarus
Arefev S 0:3 Romanenko D
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Abdeev R - Arefev S

Abdeev R
1 matches total
Arefev S
Abdeev R: 0 (0%)
Arefev S: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Arefev S 2:3 (01.08 05:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 sets (2:3, 01.08 05:30 UTC) most sets in a game

Overall statistics

2 Sets scored 3
3 Sets conceded 2

Match history

01.08 05:30 UTC Belarus
Abdeev R
2:3
Arefev S

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Abdeev R vs Arefev S?

By the PropickAI model, Arefev S is favoured — about 64% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Abdeev R vs Arefev S?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Arefev S. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Abdeev R vs Arefev S?

Live odds for Abdeev R vs Arefev S from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Abdeev R vs Arefev S start?

August 30, 2026.