AI verdict

AI pick Sitnikov R win probability ~56% confidence Medium

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Sitnikov R. Full breakdown below.

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Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow
Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Finished

Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow

International

Sitnikov R - Tikhnenko D

International Table tennis
Sitnikov R
Sitnikov R
2 : 3
7:11 11:8 8:11 11:9 2:11
Finished
Tikhnenko D
Tikhnenko D

Sitnikov R face Tikhnenko D on August 20, 2026 in the Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sitnikov R 1-0-4, Tikhnenko D 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 56% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Estimate from the market line (no margin)

1 Sitnikov R56%

1 · Sitnikov R55.6%
2 · Tikhnenko D44.4%

Model estimate: win Sitnikov R 55.6%, win Tikhnenko D 44.4%. Model favourite — Sitnikov R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sitnikov R - Tikhnenko D August 20, 2026

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Sitnikov R 55.6% / Tikhnenko D 44.4%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.10 ↓ 1.63
Winner 2 1.30 ↑ 2.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated17.08.2026 22:53 UTC
1 31%
2 69% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total games: Over 3.5 Bet:Away Win (P2)
Per AI data Form:LLLLW / LWLWW H2H: 1-1 in recent matches both ending 3:2 Injuries:none Key:Tikhnenko superior win ratio and baseline rating stability
Details

Match Overview
Dmitry Tikhnenko is heavily favored to win this Moscow Liga Pro table tennis match against Roman Sitnikov on August 18, 2026, at 03:45 MSK. The mathematical Glicko-based model positions Tikhnenko with a commanding 69% probability of victory (P2), leaving Sitnikov with a 31% chance of an upset (P1).
Current Form Analysis
Roman Sitnikov (Home): Displays a highly problematic recent record of LLLLW. His performance levels have dipped severely, struggling to maintain consistency in extended rallies and dropping critical points at the tail end of sets.
Dmitry Tikhnenko (Away): Exhibits a far superior form line of LWLWW. He remains a reliable operator in the division, utilizing a high-velocity offensive tactical approach to dictate tempos and close out matches decisively.
Head-to-Head (H2H) History & Tactics
Recent head-to-head matches show a clear competitive pattern. While Sitnikov did manage a tight 3:2 victory in mid-July, Tikhnenko won their previous encounter in a dramatic five-set battle (3:2) and generally carries higher baseline performance indicators. Tikhnenko's standard rating is consistently superior to Sitnikov's. Because table tennis players in the Moscow Liga Pro compete individually, there are no key injuries or suspensions affecting the active lineups.
Additional Market Forecasts
Total Games: Over 3.5 Games (Alternatively: Over 73.5 total points). Given that their latest two matches went the absolute distance to five full sets (3:2 scores), Sitnikov possesses enough tactical familiarity to steal at least one set before Tikhnenko's superior form seals the match.
Exact Set Score: 1:3 in favor of Dmitry Tikhnenko.
Conclusion & Main Bet
The recommended main bet is a Victory for Dmitry Tikhnenko (P2). The pre-match model completely aligns with the underlying form reality. Tikhnenko's 69% win capability is justified by his vastly superior positive win ratio over his last five games compared to Sitnikov's four consecutive defeats.

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 31% 69% 1:3 Over 3.5 Away Win (P2)

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Match center
Start 20.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Tikhnenko D 69%
📐 Math model Sitnikov R 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Sitnikov R - Tikhnenko D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Sitnikov R Tikhnenko D Result
Set 1 7 11 7:11
Set 2 11 8 11:8
Set 3 8 11 8:11
Set 4 11 9 11:9
Set 5 2 11 2:11
Market and Glicko

PropickAI math model.Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sitnikov R 56.7% 55.6% market and model agree
Tikhnenko D 43.4% 44.4%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

PropickAI math model
P1 / P2 55.6% / 44.4% probabilities
Rating 1,338 / 1,601 Sitnikov R / Tikhnenko D
RD 128 / 94 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,082-1,593 / 1,413-1,789 strength interval

Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.88 53.2%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.60 62.5%
2.50 40.0%
3.50 28.6%
1.48 67.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.45 69.0%
1.25 80.0%
2.60 38.5%
2.30 43.5%
1.82 55.0%

Match Winner

Outcome Fonbet
2.60 38.5%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 69.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 70.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 71.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 72.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 73.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 74.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 75.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 76.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 77.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 78.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 79.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 80.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 100.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 101.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 102.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 103.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 104.5 4.15 24.1%
Over 105.5 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Sitnikov R
W L L L L
20.08 00:15 UTC Russia
Sitnikov R 3:1 Denisov A V
17.08 23:45 UTC Russia
Sitnikov R 1:3 Shershnev A
15.08 00:15 UTC Russia
Sitnikov R 1:3 Kitaytsev A
14.08 21:15 UTC Russia
Sitnikov R 2:3 Pomazkov A
13.08 18:00 UTC Russia
Sitnikov R 2:3 Kubar O
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Tikhnenko D
W L L W L
19.08 06:45 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 3:0 Bogdanov D
19.08 06:15 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 0:3 Burmakin Yu
15.08 14:00 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 2:3 Burmakin Yu
15.08 13:30 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 3:1 Bespalov N
04.08 18:45 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 1:3 Kubar O
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sitnikov R vs Tikhnenko D?

By the PropickAI model, Sitnikov R is favoured — about 56% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Sitnikov R vs Tikhnenko D?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Sitnikov R. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Sitnikov R vs Tikhnenko D start?

August 20, 2026.