AI verdict

AI pick Tikhnenko D win probability ~54%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tikhnenko D. Full breakdown below.

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Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow
Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.08.2026 08:45 UTC
Finished

Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow

International

Tikhnenko D vs Troshkin A — Table tennis prediction

International Table tennis
Tikhnenko D
Tikhnenko D
3 : 1
11:5 6:11 11:8 12:10
Finished
Troshkin A
Troshkin A

Tikhnenko D take on Troshkin A in table tennis, in Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow, on 30 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Tikhnenko D the favourite, with a win probability of about 54%. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 55%.

Latest form: Tikhnenko D 3 won and 2 lost; Troshkin A 3 won and 2 lost. Tikhnenko D arrive on a winning run. On the Glicko scale it is 1610 for Tikhnenko D against 1616 for Troshkin A - a gap of 6 points. The two have met 2 times lately, and the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 6 Glicko rating points, the model's 54% for Tikhnenko D. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Estimate from the market line (no margin)

1 Tikhnenko D54%

1 · Tikhnenko D54.4%
2 · Troshkin A45.6%

Model estimate: win Tikhnenko D 54.4%, win Troshkin A 45.6%. Model favourite — Tikhnenko D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tikhnenko D - Troshkin A August 30, 2026

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Tikhnenko D 54.4% / Troshkin A 45.6%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.68 → 1.68
Winner 2 2.05 → 2.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2026 08:45 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Tikhnenko D - Troshkin A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Tikhnenko D Troshkin A Result
Set 1 11 5 11:5
Set 2 6 11 6:11
Set 3 11 8 11:8
Set 4 12 10 12:10
Market and Glicko

PropickAI math model.Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tikhnenko D 55.0% 54.4% market and model agree
Troshkin A 45.0% 45.6%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

PropickAI math model
P1 / P2 54.4% / 45.6% probabilities
Rating 1,610 / 1,616 Tikhnenko D / Troshkin A
RD 83 / 97 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,445-1,776 / 1,421-1,811 strength interval

Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.55 39.2%
1.75 57.1%
1.48 67.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.70 58.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.68 59.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.10 47.6%
1.75 57.1%

Match Winner

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 49.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 50.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 51.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 52.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 62.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 64.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 65.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 67.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 68.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 69.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 70.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 71.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 72.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 73.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 74.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 75.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 76.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 77.5 1.90 52.6%
Match center
Tikhnenko D
W W W L L
23.08 09:15 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 3:1 Bogdanov D
22.08 18:15 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 3:2 Shershnev A
22.08 16:45 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 3:1 Novikov I
20.08 18:30 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 2:3 Kubar O
20.08 17:30 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D 0:3 Shershnev A
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Troshkin A
L W L W W
23.08 10:45 UTC Russia
Troshkin A 1:3 Minchenkov I
23.08 10:15 UTC Russia
Troshkin A 3:2 Bogdanov D
23.08 08:45 UTC Russia
Troshkin A 1:3 Suntsov A
17.08 06:45 UTC Russia
Troshkin A 3:1 Minchenkov I
17.08 06:15 UTC Russia
Troshkin A 3:1 Kitaytsev A
3 Wins
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Tikhnenko D - Troshkin A

Tikhnenko D
2 matches total
Troshkin A
Tikhnenko D: 0 (0%)
Troshkin A: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Troshkin A 0:3 (25.07 05:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 sets (1:3, 01.08 05:00 UTC) most sets in a game

Overall statistics

1 Sets scored 6
6 Sets conceded 1

Match history

01.08 05:00 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D
1:3
Troshkin A
25.07 05:30 UTC Russia
Tikhnenko D
0:3
Troshkin A

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tikhnenko D vs Troshkin A?

By the PropickAI model, Tikhnenko D is favoured — about 54% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Tikhnenko D vs Troshkin A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tikhnenko D. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Tikhnenko D vs Troshkin A?

Live odds for Tikhnenko D vs Troshkin A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Tikhnenko D vs Troshkin A start?

August 30, 2026.