FreeMatch preview

Rublev A — Baez S

Tennis 17.07.2026 13:25 UTC
Favourite Rublev A best odds 1.57

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP. Estoril. Doubles
ATP. Estoril. Doubles International
17.07.2026 13:25 UTC Quarterfinal
Finished

ATP. Estoril. Doubles

Rublev A - Baez S

International Tennis
Rublev A
Rublev A
2 : 0
6:1 6:2
Finished
Baez S
Baez S

Rublev A go head-to-head with Baez S on July 17, 2026 in the ATP. Estoril. Doubles, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Baez S (odds2.33) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • Rublev A: forma P (0-1)
  • Baes S: forma VV (2-0)
  • Model backs Baes S: probability 51% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.33)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rublev A - Baez S July 17, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rublev A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 2.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books · best price +1.6%
1 61.0%
2 39.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Rublev A
6-4LLWWWWWLLW
sets for 1.6sets against 1.1
Baez S
6-4WWLWWLWLWL
sets for 1.3sets against 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:09 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-1
Claude updated17.07.2026 13:22 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 Rublev at 1.58
Qwen updated17.07.2026 13:21 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games
GLM 5.2 updated17.07.2026 13:37 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
2 45%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 with handicap -1.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 60% 40% 2:1 Over 22.5
Claude 60% 40% 2:1 Over 22.5
Qwen 62% 38% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
GLM 5.2 55% 45% 2:1 Over 22.5

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Match center
Stadium Bostad Tennis Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 17.07.2026 13:25 UTC
Market 1 70.6% @ 1.01 / 2 29.4% @ 2.43
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Rublev A - Baez S

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Andrey Rublev - Sebastyan Baes, 17 iyulya 2026. Bostad. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Andrey Rublev - Sebastyan Baes, kto pobedil.

Form 0/2 recent games
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Rublev A Baez S Result
Set 0 6 1 6:1
Set 1 6 2 6:2
Championat

Match flow

Source

2:0 A. Rublev Andrey Rublev uverenno obygral Sebastyana Baesa v quarter-final turnira v Bostade — 6:1, 6:2. Rovno odin chas proveli tennisisty na korte. Rublev vladel ogromnym preimuschestvom, stabilno podaval and provodil moschnye Attacks, vynuzhdaya argentintsa oshibatsya. Nichego segodnya ne poluchalos u Baesa. 15/9 po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam u Andreya, 8/19 u Sebastyana. V polufinale Rublev vstretitsya s chiliytsem Alekhandro Tabilo. Na etom nasha translyatsiya zavershena. Vsego khoroshego! Rossiyanin pyatyy raz za sezon okazalsya v chetverke luchshikh na turnire ATP Rublev v Bostade vzyal revansh u argentintsa za loss 4 goda nazad. Andrey — v polufinale 6:2 A. Rublev Andrey moschno podal, posle chego provel

17:31 2:0 A. Rublev Andrey Rublev uverenno obygral Sebastyana Baesa v quarter-final turnira v Bostade — 6:1, 6:2. Rovno odin chas proveli tennisisty na korte. Rublev vladel ogromnym preimuschestvom, stabilno podaval and provodil moschnye Attacks, vynuzhdaya argentintsa oshibatsya. Nichego segodnya ne poluchalos u Baesa. 15/9 po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam u Andreya, 8/19 u Sebastyana. V polufinale Rublev vstretitsya s chiliytsem Alekhandro Tabilo. Na etom nasha translyatsiya zavershena. Vsego khoroshego! Rossiyanin pyatyy raz za sezon okazalsya v chetverke luchshikh na turnire ATP Rublev v Bostade vzyal revansh u argentintsa za loss 4 goda nazad. Andrey — v polufinale
17:31 6:2 A. Rublev Andrey moschno podal, posle chego provel ataku pod zadnyuyu liniyu
17:30 Matchbol. V setku prinyal podachu sopernika Baes
40:40 . Rublev uverenno vyshel k setke and dobil myach s leta
30:40 . Sebastyan zdorovo otzaschischalsya and obvel vyshedshego k setke Rubleva
30:30 . Ne spravilsya argentinets na prieme
15:30 . Baes vyzhdal moment and provel moschnuyu ataku krossom, poymav Rubleva na protivokhode
15:15 . Popytalsya rossiyanin ukorotit s zadney linii, no popal v setku
17:27 15:0. Rublev vyshel v khafkort, a Baes otvetil svechoy v aut
17:25 5:2 A. Rublev Priem navylet! Andrey podstroilsya and vkolotil myach po diagonali!
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 3.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
2.50 40.0%
2.75 36.4%
1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 3.15 31.8%
2.30 43.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.45 40.8%
2.65 37.7%
3.30 30.3%
3.30 30.3%
11.00 9.1%
3.55 28.2%
2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 16.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 17.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 18.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 19.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 20.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 2.20 45.5%
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.57 63.7%
2.40 41.7% 2.43 41.2% 16.00 6.3% 2.37 42.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-07-17 · Andrey Rublev 2:0 Sebastyan Baes
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.58 (Pari) · 2 2.43 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.58 2.4
Winline 1.56 2.33
Fonbet 1.58 2.4
Betcity 1.56 2.43
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 0
1 Dvoynye oshibki 1
8 Vsego breyk-poyntov 1
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
56 Vyigrannye Points 33
33 Points na podache 22
11 Poteryannye Points na podache 23
27 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 28
16 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 16
21 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 14
12 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 8
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
7 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 3
8 Geymy na podache 3
12 Vyigrannye geymy 3
3 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Baez S
W W
16.07 18:05 UTC ATP. Bostad
Baez S 2:0 De Yong YDe Yong Y
14.07 08:00 UTC ATP. Bostad
Baez S 2:1 Dalin MDalin M
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Rublev A vs Baez S start?

July 17, 2026.