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ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
09.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification

Mitsui S - Zhalgasbay D

International Tennis
Mitsui S
Mitsui S
2 : 0
7:5 6:2
Finished
Zhalgasbay D
Zhalgasbay D

Mitsui S go head-to-head with Zhalgasbay D on August 9, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mitsui S 4-0-1, Zhalgasbay D 4-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mitsui S (odds1.28) Score 2:1 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct
  • Mitsui Sh: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • Zhalgasbay D: forma VVVV (4-0)
  • liniya na pik P1 1.08→1.33 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Mitsui Sh: probability 69% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mitsui S - Zhalgasbay D August 9, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mitsui S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +2.7%
1 70.2%
2 29.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mitsui S
69%
1.34
Zhalgasbay D
31%
11.00
Total
Over 20.5
50%
3.95
Under 20.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mitsui S
8-2WLWWWWLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Zhalgasbay D
3-7LLWLLLLWLW
scored 0.7conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 09.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
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Match center

Mitsui S - Zhalgasbay D

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 66.6% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.223 / LogLoss 0.406
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.17 85.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.09 91.7%
1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8%
1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
2.20 45.5%
4.20 23.8%
9.00 11.1%
5.80 17.2%
3.95 25.3%
1.20 83.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
10.00 10.0%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 18.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 19.5 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.20 83.3%
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 3.95 25.3%
Over 21.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 22.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 23.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 24.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 17.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 18.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 19.5 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Mitsui S
W W L W W
08.08 09:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Mitsui S 2:0 Pleshivtsev EPleshivtsev E
08.08 05:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Mitsui S 2:1 Imai ShImai Sh
31.07 06:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Mitsui S 0:2 Bar-Biryukov PBar-Biryukov P
30.07 05:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Mitsui S 2:1 Rakhmatullaev D
29.07 09:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Mitsui S 2:0 Nietkaliev A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Zhalgasbay D
W W W W
08.08 09:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Mukund S
08.08 05:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Kesharvani M
31.07 06:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Omarkhanov A
30.07 05:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Sornlaksup P. 🇹🇭Sornlaksup P. 🇹🇭
4 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMitsui S - Zhalgasbay D

Mitsui S
0 matches total
Zhalgasbay D
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Mitsui S vs Zhalgasbay D start?

August 9, 2026.