PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
English
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification
09.08.2026 07:05 UTC Match prediction

Pleshivtsev E - Arutiunian E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification hard 09.08.2026 07:05 UTC Finished
09.08.2026 07:05 UTC Finished
Pleshivtsev E
Pleshivtsev E
Rank #621 Elo 59
43Struggling Form
L L L W W L W W
A
Arutiunian E
Rank #918 Elo 25
55Average Form
L L W W L W W W
0:2 3:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Pleshivtsev E 3 3 0
Arutiunian E 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Pleshivtsev E Arutiunian E
Win % 50% 56.2%
Hard % 54% 57.1%
Clay % 33.3% 53.1%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 37.5% 57.4%
Tie-breaks % 38.9% 59.7%
Titles (total) 0 2
Last 10 LWWWLWLWLL LLLWWLWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#621 Rating #918
21 Age -
1.91m Height (cm) -
88kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Pleshivtsev E Arutiunian E
Aces per match 4.33 N/A
Double faults per match 3.67 N/A
Breaks per match 10 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Erik Arutiunian
Rank:621 Elo: 59
L L L W W L W W
Egor Pleshivtsev
Rank:918 Elo: 25
L L W W L W W W
Elo favourite:Arutiunian E (edge +34 Elo)

Hard

Erik ArutiunianEgor Pleshivtsev
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches 52.0% 13 / 25 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 62.2% 23 / 37 Matches 51.4% 18 / 35 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.33 N/A
Most Aces in a match 17 % N/A

Clay

Erik ArutiunianEgor Pleshivtsev
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Grass

Erik ArutiunianEgor Pleshivtsev
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches 54.6% 18 / 33 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.2% 23 / 37 Matches 52.1% 25 / 48 Matches
Current rank 621 918

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev
Prize money (career) $31,926 USD $0 USD
Rating 621 918
Age 21 —
Height 1.91m —
Weight 88kg —

Win percentage (match / set)

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev
Match Wins 43 % 55 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 43 % 52 %
Wins in Straight Sets 43 % 39 %
Wins From Behind 0 % 17 %
Won At Least 1 Set 43 % 67 %
Set 1 Win 43 % 58 %
Set 2 Win 43 % 48 %
Set 3 Win N/A 56 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.86 9.91 9.89
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 100 % 90 % 95 %
Over 8.5 57 % 69 % 63 %
Over 9.5 43 % 48 % 46 %
Over 10.5 29 % 28 % 29 %
Over 11.5 29 % 28 % 29 %

Aces

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev Match total
Aces Per Match 4.33 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 17 % N/A N/A
1+ 100 % N/A N/A
2+ 83 % N/A N/A
3+ 67 % N/A N/A
4+ 50 % N/A N/A
5+ 50 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev Match total
Breaks Per Match 10 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 100 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.29 0.34 0.32
Over 0.5 29 % 34 % 32 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 71 % 66 % 32 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.67 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 67 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 33 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 17 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 17 % N/A N/A

Net points

Erik Arutiunian Egor Pleshivtsev Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 75 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 75 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 75 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 75 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 50 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.73 36.7% BetBoom
P2 1.58 63.3% BetBoom

Pleshivtsev E face Arutiunian E on August 9, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Astana. Qualification.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pleshivtsev E 2-0-3, Arutiunian E 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Arutiunian E — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Arutiunian E): model 41% · market 66% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pleshivtsev E39.4%
market34%
2 · Arutiunian E ✓ Pick60.6%
market66%

Model estimate: win Pleshivtsev E 39.4%, win Arutiunian E 60.6%. Model favourite — Arutiunian E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pleshivtsev E (odds2.73) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Pleshivtsev E
  • • (World) — Arutyunyan E
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Pleshivtsev E
  • • (World): forma VVVP (3-1)
  • • Arutyunyan E
  • • (World): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Pleshivtsev E
  • • (World): probability 59% vs 37% on the line (odds 2.73)
  • • edge over the line +22 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pleshivtsev E - Arutiunian E August 9, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arutiunian E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arutiunian E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Pleshivtsev E 39.4% / Arutiunian E 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 4 books · best price +12.9%
1 34.0%
2 ✓ Pick 66.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.70 ↓ 2.30
Winner 2 1.40 ↑ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Pleshivtsev E
37%
9.50
Arutiunian E
63%
1.58
Total
Over 21.5
55%
2.30
Under 21.5
45%
1.99

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pleshivtsev E
4-6WLLLWWLLWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Arutiunian E
5-5LWLWWLLLWW
scored 1.0conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 09.08.2026 07:05 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.50 / 2 90.4% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Arutiunian E 61%
💹 Market Arutiunian E 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

My virtual bank & leaderboard →
Match center

Pleshivtsev E - Arutiunian E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Pleshivtsev E Arutiunian E Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Metric Pleshivtsev E Arutiunian E SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/8 1/3 final
Points na prieme 45% (30/66) 34% (19/56) final
Eysy 5 1 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 2/3 4/8 final
Dvoynye oshibki 3 2 final
Pervaya podacha, % 61% 48% final
Points na pervoy podache 74% (25/34) 50% (16/32) final
Points na vtoroy podache 55% (12/22) 59% (20/34) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 60.6% fact: away hit / ROI 58.0% / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.501
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 58.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pleshivtsev E 37.2% 45.6%
Arutiunian E 62.8% 54.4% model more cautious than market
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko39.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.4% / 60.6% probabilities
Rating 1,693 / 1,456 Pleshivtsev E / Arutiunian E
RD 189 / 308 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,315-2,071 / 840-2,071 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 60.6%
1 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 39.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.40 41.7%
7.20 13.9%
11.00 9.1%
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
4.05 24.7%
2.13 47.0%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
9.50 10.5%
10.00 10.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 16.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 17.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 18.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 19.5 5.70 17.5%
Over 20.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 21.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 22.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 16.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 17.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 18.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 19.5 1.09 91.7%
Under 20.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 21.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 22.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 23.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 24.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Pleshivtsev E
L W L L W
2025-07-08 2025 Wimbledon, Boys
Pleshivtsev E Pleshivtsev E 0:2 Ivanov Ivan
2025-07-05 2025 Wimbledon, Boys
Pleshivtsev E Pagani D 0:2 Pleshivtsev E
2025-06-01 2025 French Open, Boys
Pleshivtsev E Pleshivtsev E 0:2 Chen Kuan-Shou
2025-01-22 2025 Australian Open, Boys
Pleshivtsev E Pleshivtsev E 0:2 Paldanius O
2025-01-20 2025 Australian Open, Boys
Pleshivtsev E De Marchi A 1:2 Pleshivtsev E
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Arutiunian E
L L L W W
2026-08-02 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying
Arutiunian E 0:2 Miyoshi K Arutiunian E
2026-05-31 2026 Tyler, USA, Qualifying
Vandecasteele Q 2:0 Arutiunian E Arutiunian E
2026-05-26 2026 Little Rock, USA
Arutiunian E 0:2 Boulais J Arutiunian E
2026-05-25 2026 Little Rock, USA, Qualifying
Kuzuhara B 0:2 Arutiunian E Arutiunian E
2026-05-24 2026 Little Rock, USA, Qualifying
Arutiunian E 2:0 Vandecasteele Q Arutiunian E
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage