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Dougaz A — Deckers, Alec

Tennis 11.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Favourite Dougaz A best odds 1.31

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP Challenger. Astana
ATP Challenger. Astana
11.08.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction
11.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

ATP Challenger. Astana

Dougaz A vs Deckers, Alec — Tennis prediction

Tennis
D
Dougaz A
2 : 1
Finished
Deckers, Alec
Deckers, Alec

Dougaz A face Deckers, Alec on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Astana.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Dougaz A

Model confidence 74% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dougaz A (odds1.35) Score 2:1 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Dugaz A
  • • (Tun) — Deckers A
  • • 🇳🇱 (tennis)
  • • Dugaz A
  • • (Tun): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Deckers A
  • • 🇳🇱: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Dugaz A
  • • (Tun): probability 67% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dougaz A - Deckers, Alec August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dougaz A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / 2 3.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1% 5 books · best price +4.8%
1 74.6%
2 25.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Dougaz A
74%
1.31
Deckers, Alec
26%
3.75
Total
Over 22.5
50%
1.89
Under 22.5
50%
1.91

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dougaz A
6-4LWLLWWWLWW
sets for 1.3sets against 1.0
Deckers, Alec
7-3LWWLWWLWWW
sets for 1.6sets against 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

1/16-finals (R32)
Bar Biryukov, Petr2
Ichikawa, Taisei0
Ouakaa, Aziz0
Cui, Jie2
Dougaz, Aziz2
Deckers, Alec1
Ursu, Vadym0
Dhamne, Manas2
Fomin, Sergey0
Zhukov, Maxim0
Samrej, Kasidit2
Isomura, Kokoro1
Shin, Sanhui1
Arutiunian, Erik2
Imamura, Masamichi2
Ghibaudo, Antoine0
Sun, Fajing2
Nurlanuly, Zangar1
Pankin, Semen2
Palan, Dominik0
Kumasaka, Takuya2
Sinclair, Colin0
Matsuda, Koki0
Matsuoka, Hayato2
Ratti, Lucio2
Sach, Tai Leonard0
Sultanov, Khumoyun2
Binda, Alexander0
Omarkhanov, Amir0
Zhukayev, Beibit2
Rawat, Sidharth0
Alkaya, Mert2
1/8-finals (R16)
Bar Biryukov, Petr0
Cui, Jie2
Dougaz, Aziz0
Dhamne, Manas0
Fomin, Sergey0
Samrej, Kasidit0
Arutiunian, Erik0
Imamura, Masamichi2
Sun, Fajing2
Pankin, Semen1
Kumasaka, Takuya0
Matsuoka, Hayato2
Ratti, Lucio0
Sultanov, Khumoyun2
Zhukayev, Beibit0
Alkaya, Mert2
Quarterfinals
Cui, Jie0
Qf20
Qf30
Imamura, Masamichi0
Sun, Fajing0
Matsuoka, Hayato0
Sultanov, Khumoyun0
Alkaya, Mert0
Semifinals
WQF10
WQF20
WQF30
WQF40
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 10:20 UTC
1 73% ✓ favourite
2 27%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1 Schetom 2:0
Per AI data Form:LWWWW / WWLWW H2H: 0-0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 73% 27% 2:0 Under 22.5

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 74.1% @ 1.31 / 2 25.9% @ 3.75
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Match center

Dougaz A - Deckers, Alec

Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Dougaz A Deckers, Alec SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 72.5% fact: home hit / ROI 31.0% / Brier 0.151 / LogLoss 0.322
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 52.7% fact: home hit / ROI 31.0% / Brier 0.447 / LogLoss 0.641
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.91 52.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
Over 2.5 — — 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%
Over 9.5 — — 1.66 60.2% —
Over 10.5 — — 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
Over 21.5 — — 1.62 61.7% —
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% —
Over 23.5 — — 2.18 45.9% —
Under 2.5 — — 1.48 67.6% —
Under 9.5 — — 2.14 46.7% —
Under 10.5 — — 1.43 69.9% —
Under 21.5 — — 2.18 45.9% —
Under 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.62 61.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.26 79.4% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
3.60 27.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4%

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Dougaz A vs Deckers, Alec?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Dougaz A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Dougaz A vs Deckers, Alec?

Live odds for Dougaz A vs Deckers, Alec from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Dougaz A vs Deckers, Alec start?

August 11, 2026.