Who is the favourite in Kumasaka T vs Sinclair C?

By the PropickAI model, Kumasaka T is favoured — about 79% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Kumasaka T vs Sinclair C?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kumasaka T. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Kumasaka T win probability ~79% confidence High best odds 1.04

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kumasaka T. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Challenger. Astana

11.08.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Kumasaka T - Sinclair C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger. Astana

ATP Challenger. Astana hard 11.08.2026 06:30 UTC Finished

11.08.2026 06:30 UTC Finished

Kumasaka T

Rank #503 Elo 89

64Average Form

L W W L W L W L

Sinclair C

Rank #549 Elo 75

49Struggling Form

L W L W L W W W

2:0 6:2 7:6

1 2 GP

Kumasaka T 6 7 2

Sinclair C 2 6 0

1 2

Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Kumasaka T	Sinclair C
Win %	59%	58.3%
Hard %	59%	56.2%
Clay %	57.7%	66.7%
Grass %	0%	84.6%
Deciding set %	60.8%	55.8%
Tie-breaks %	45.3%	49.3%
Titles (total)	1	4
Last 10	LLLWWLWLWL	WWLWLWLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#503 Rating #549

31 Age 27

1.88m Height (cm) 1.75m

82kg Weight (kg) 73kg

Right Hand Right

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Kumasaka T	Sinclair C
Aces per match	8.58	3.57
Double faults per match	2.58	2.36
Breaks per match	2.38	2.46

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Colin Sinclair

Rank:503 Elo: 89

L W W L W L W L

Takuya Kumasaka

Rank:549 Elo: 75

L W L W L W W W

Elo favourite:Sinclair C (edge +14 Elo)

Hard

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	51.4% 18 / 35 Matches	50.0% 16 / 32 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	50.9% 27 / 53 Matches	53.5% 31 / 58 Matches

Clay

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	83.3% 5 / 6 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	83.3% 5 / 6 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	90.0% 9 / 10 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	90.0% 9 / 10 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
H2H wins	0 (0.0%)	1 (100.0%)
Sets	0 (0.0%)	2 (100.0%)
Wins this year	63.6% 35 / 55 Matches	48.7% 18 / 37 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	60.3% 44 / 73 Matches	52.4% 33 / 63 Matches
Current rank	503	549

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
Prize money (career)	$125,914 USD	$33,433 USD
Rating	503	549
Age	31	27
Height	1.88m	1.75m
Weight	82kg	73kg
Playing hand	Right-handed	Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
Match Wins	64 %	49 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	63 %	50 %
Wins in Straight Sets	42 %	43 %
Wins From Behind	26 %	5 %
Won At Least 1 Set	80 %	73 %
Set 1 Win	58 %	59 %
Set 2 Win	64 %	57 %
Set 3 Win	57 %	20 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka
Aces	3	6
Double Faults	2	1
1st serve percentage	52%	57%
1st serve points won	73% (24/33)	82% (27/33)
2nd serve points won	74% (23/31)	48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved	4/4	1/3
1st return points won	18% (6/33)	27% (9/33)
2nd return points won	52% (13/25)	26% (8/31)
Break Points Converted	2/3	0/4
Service Points Won	73% (47/64)	67% (39/58)
Return Points Won	33% (19/58)	27% (17/64)
Total Points Won	54% (66/122)	46% (56/122)
Last 10 balls	7	3
Match points saved	0	1
Service games won	100% (10/10)	80% (8/10)
Return games won	20% (2/10)	0% (0/10)
Total games won	60% (12/20)	40% (8/20)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka	Match total
Average Games in a Set	10.13	9.49	9.81
Over 6.5	94 %	94 %	94 %
Over 7.5	94 %	81 %	88 %
Over 8.5	86 %	63 %	75 %
Over 9.5	47 %	53 %	50 %
Over 10.5	31 %	28 %	30 %
Over 11.5	31 %	28 %	30 %

Aces

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka	Match total
Aces Per Match	8.58	3.57	12.15
Most Aces in a match	50 %	57 %	N/A
1+	100 %	100 %	100 %
2+	100 %	86 %	97 %
3+	100 %	64 %	93 %
4+	92 %	36 %	90 %
5+	75 %	36 %	82 %

Breaks

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka	Match total
Breaks Per Match	2.38	2.46	4.84
Over 0.5	100 %	57 %	100 %
Over 1.5	8 %	57 %	100 %
Over 2.5	8 %	43 %	97 %
Over 3.5	0 %	43 %	76 %
Over 4.5	0 %	0 %	76 %
Over 5.5	0 %	0 %	33 %

Tie-breaks

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.53	0.38	0.45
Over 0.5	43 %	28 %	36 %
Over 1.5	10 %	6 %	8 %
Under 0.5	57 %	72 %	36 %
Under 1.5	90 %	94 %	8 %

Double faults

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	2.58	2.36	4.94
Over 0.5 (1+)	92 %	93 %	100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	50 %	71 %	88 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	42 %	43 %	81 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	33 %	14 %	54 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	25 %	7 %	46 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	17 %	7 %	43 %

Net points

	Colin Sinclair	Takuya Kumasaka	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	10	10.86	20.86
Over 4.5 (5+)	50 %	86 %	68 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	50 %	86 %	68 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	50 %	57 %	54 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	50 %	57 %	54 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	50 %	29 %	40 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	25 %	29 %	27 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 1.78 82.7% BetBoom

P2 8.50 17.3% BetBoom

Kumasaka T take on Sinclair C on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Astana.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kumasaka T 2-0-3, Sinclair C 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 79% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kumasaka T — 79%

1 · Kumasaka T ✓ Pick78.6%

market 53%

2 · Sinclair C21.4%

market 47%

Model estimate: win Kumasaka T 78.6%, win Sinclair C 21.4%. Model favourite — Kumasaka T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sinclair C (odds1.86) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed

• Kumasaka T
• 🇯🇵 — Sinkler K
• 🇲🇦 (tennis)
• Kumasaka T
• 🇯🇵: forma PPPPV (1-4)
• Sinkler K
• 🇲🇦: forma VVPVP (3-2)
• Model backs Sinkler K
• 🇲🇦: probability 51% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kumasaka T - Sinclair C August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kumasaka T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kumasaka T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
Glicko: Kumasaka T 78.6% / Sinclair C 21.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.2% 4 books

1 ✓ Pick 52.7%

2 47.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.88 ↓ 1.04

Winner 2 1.88 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Kumasaka T

52%

1.78

Sinclair C

48%

8.50

Total

Over 22.5

51%

1.90

Under 22.5

49%

1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kumasaka T

4-6LLWLWWLLLW

scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Sinclair C

7-3WWWLWLWLWW

scored 1.4conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

1/16-finals (R32)

Bar Biryukov, Petr2

Ichikawa, Taisei0

Ouakaa, Aziz0

Cui, Jie2

Dougaz, Aziz2

Deckers, Alec1

Ursu, Vadym0

Dhamne, Manas2

Fomin, Sergey0

Zhukov, Maxim0

Samrej, Kasidit2

Isomura, Kokoro1

Shin, Sanhui1

Arutiunian, Erik2

Imamura, Masamichi2

Ghibaudo, Antoine0

Sun, Fajing2

Nurlanuly, Zangar1

Pankin, Semen2

Palan, Dominik0

Kumasaka, Takuya2

Sinclair, Colin0

Matsuda, Koki0

Matsuoka, Hayato2

Ratti, Lucio2

Sach, Tai Leonard0

Sultanov, Khumoyun2

Binda, Alexander0

Omarkhanov, Amir0

Zhukayev, Beibit2

Rawat, Sidharth0

Alkaya, Mert2

1/8-finals (R16)

Bar Biryukov, Petr0

Cui, Jie2

Dougaz, Aziz0

Dhamne, Manas0

Fomin, Sergey0

Samrej, Kasidit0

Arutiunian, Erik0

Imamura, Masamichi2

Sun, Fajing2

Pankin, Semen1

Kumasaka, Takuya0

Matsuoka, Hayato2

Ratti, Lucio0

Sultanov, Khumoyun2

Zhukayev, Beibit0

Alkaya, Mert2

Quarterfinals

Cui, Jie0

Qf20

Qf30

Imamura, Masamichi0

Sun, Fajing0

Matsuoka, Hayato0

Sultanov, Khumoyun0

Alkaya, Mert0

Semifinals

WQF10

WQF20

WQF30

WQF40

Final

WSF10

WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 07:04 UTC

1 40%

2 60% ✓ favourite

Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:P2

Per AI data Form:LLLLW / WWLWL H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	40%	60%	1:2	Over 22.5	P2

Match center

Start 11.08.2026 06:30 UTC

Market 1 89.1% @ 1.04 / 2 10.9% @ 8.50

Coverage hard

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Sinclair C 60%

📐 Math model Kumasaka T 79%

💹 Market Kumasaka T 53%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Kumasaka T - Sinclair C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Kumasaka T Sinclair C Result

Set 1 6 2 6:2

Set 2 7 6 7:6

Metric Kumasaka T Sinclair C SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/4 2/3 final

Points na prieme 27% (17/64) 33% (19/58) final

Eysy 6 3 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 1/3 4/4 final

Dvoynye oshibki 1 2 final

Pervaya podacha, % 57% 52% final

Points na pervoy podache 82% (27/33) 73% (24/33) final

Points na vtoroy podache 48% (12/25) 74% (23/31) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 78.6% fact: home hit / Brier 0.092 / LogLoss 0.241

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.4% fact: home hit / Brier 0.434 / LogLoss 0.627

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kumasaka T 82.7% 70.2% model more cautious than market

Sinclair C 17.3% 29.8%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko78.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.29).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 78.6% / 21.4% probabilities

Rating 1,401 / 1,725 Kumasaka T / Sinclair C

RD 168 / 128 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,065-1,738 / 1,470-1,980 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 21.4%

1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 78.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 10.5 3.05 market consensus · line only

Over 18.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.75 57.1%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.04 96.2%
	1.05 95.2%
	2.70 37.0%
	2.65 37.7%
	1.95 51.3%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.25 44.4%
	8.00 12.5%
	7.10 14.1%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.43 69.9%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.02 98.0%
	1.12 89.3%
	5.00 20.0%
	10.50 9.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 18.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 19.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 20.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5	5.00 20.0%
Over 22.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 24.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 25.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 26.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 27.5	5.10 19.6%
Over 28.5	7.40 13.5%
Over 29.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 18.5	2.10 47.6%
Under 19.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 20.5	2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5	1.12 89.3%
Under 22.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 23.5	1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	5.00 20.0%
Under 2.5	1.12 89.3%

Match center

Kumasaka T

L L L W W

2026-08-04 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland

Kumasaka T Donski A 2:0 Kumasaka T

2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye

Kumasaka T Kumasaka T 0:2 Bax F

2026-07-21 2026 Segovia, Spain

Kumasaka T Kumasaka T 1:2 Pavlovic L

2026-07-20 2026 Segovia, Spain, Qualifying

Kumasaka T Callejon Hernando S 0:2 Kumasaka T

2026-07-19 2026 Segovia, Spain, Qualifying

Kumasaka T Meneses Perny A 0:2 Kumasaka T

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Sinclair C

W W L W L

2026-08-10 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan, Qualifying

Sinclair C 2:1 Zhalgasbay D Sinclair C

2026-08-09 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan, Qualifying

Sinclair C 2:1 Kachmazov A Sinclair C

2026-08-03 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying

Sinclair C 0:2 Singh D P Sinclair C

2026-08-02 2026 Istanbul 2, Turkiye, Qualifying

Sinclair C 2:0 McKennon M Sinclair C

2026-07-29 2026 Samsun, Turkiye

Sinclair C 0:2 Matsuda K Sinclair C

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKumasaka T - Sinclair C

Kumasaka T

0 matches total

Sinclair C

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Kumasaka T - Sinclair C

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Kumasaka T - Sinclair C August 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

AI predictions

Kumasaka T - Sinclair C

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Kumasaka T - Sinclair C

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Kumasaka T - Sinclair C August 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

AI predictions

Kumasaka T - Sinclair C

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions