Who is the favourite in Omarkhanov A vs Zhukayev B?

By the PropickAI model, Zhukayev B is favoured — about 72% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Omarkhanov A vs Zhukayev B?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Zhukayev B. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Zhukayev B win probability ~72% confidence High best odds 1.12

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Zhukayev B. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Challenger. Astana

11.08.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger. Astana

ATP Challenger. Astana hard 11.08.2026 06:30 UTC Finished

11.08.2026 06:30 UTC Finished

Omarkhanov A

Rank #419 Elo 114

50Average Form

W L L W W L W W

Zhukayev B

Rank #629 Elo 58

62Average Form

W W L W L W W L

0:2 3:6 4:6

1 2 GP

Omarkhanov A 3 4 0

Zhukayev B 6 6 2

1 2

Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Omarkhanov A	Zhukayev B
Win %	56%	50.4%
Hard %	59.7%	50.3%
Clay %	33.3%	42.9%
Grass %	0%	57.1%
Deciding set %	68.2%	42%
Tie-breaks %	40%	52.8%
Titles (total)	1	1
Last 10	LLWWLWWLLL	LLWWLWLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#419 Rating #629

25 Age 18

1.98m Height (cm) 1.80m

93kg Weight (kg) 70kg

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Omarkhanov A	Zhukayev B
Aces per match	8.65	2.50
Double faults per match	4.3	7
Breaks per match	2.17	8.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Beibit Zhukayev

Rank:419 Elo: 114

W L L W W L W W

Amir Omarkhanov

Rank:629 Elo: 58

W W L W L W W L

Elo favourite:Zhukayev B (edge +56 Elo)

Hard

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	47.1% 8 / 17 Matches	67.7% 21 / 31 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	47.2% 17 / 36 Matches	64.2% 34 / 53 Matches
Aces Per Match	8.65	4.00
Most Aces in a match	65 %	0 %

Clay

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	66.7% 2 / 3 Matches	0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	66.7% 2 / 3 Matches	0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Aces Per Match	8.67	1.00
Most Aces in a match	33 %	0 %

Grass

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match	N/A	N/A
Most Aces in a match	N/A	N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
H2H wins	1 (100.0%)	0 (0.0%)
Sets	2 (100.0%)	0 (0.0%)
Wins this year	50.0% 10 / 20 Matches	61.8% 21 / 34 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	48.7% 19 / 39 Matches	60.7% 34 / 56 Matches
Current rank	419	629

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
Prize money (career)	$393,644 USD	$7,319 USD
Rating	419	629
Age	25	18
Height	1.98m	1.80m
Weight	93kg	70kg

Win percentage (match / set)

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
Match Wins	50 %	62 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	50 %	66 %
Wins in Straight Sets	30 %	41 %
Wins From Behind	17 %	28 %
Won At Least 1 Set	75 %	71 %
Set 1 Win	50 %	53 %
Set 2 Win	55 %	59 %
Set 3 Win	44 %	70 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov
Aces	4	5
Double Faults	9	5
1st serve percentage	54%	57%
1st serve points won	60% (21/35)	79% (26/33)
2nd serve points won	37% (11/30)	40% (10/25)
Break Points Saved	4/9	2/4
1st return points won	21% (7/33)	40% (14/35)
2nd return points won	60% (15/25)	63% (19/30)
Break Points Converted	2/4	5/9
Service Points Won	49% (32/65)	62% (36/58)
Return Points Won	38% (22/58)	51% (33/65)
Total Points Won	44% (54/123)	56% (69/123)
Last 10 balls	2	8
Match points saved	0	0
Service games won	50% (5/10)	78% (7/9)
Return games won	22% (2/9)	50% (5/10)
Total games won	37% (7/19)	63% (12/19)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov	Match total
Average Games in a Set	10.25	10.03	10.14
Over 6.5	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 7.5	95 %	84 %	90 %
Over 8.5	75 %	81 %	78 %
Over 9.5	55 %	56 %	56 %
Over 10.5	35 %	38 %	37 %
Over 11.5	35 %	38 %	37 %

Aces

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov	Match total
Aces Per Match	8.65	2.50	11.15
Most Aces in a match	60 %	0 %	N/A
1+	100 %	100 %	100 %
2+	100 %	50 %	100 %
3+	100 %	50 %	75 %
4+	90 %	50 %	75 %
5+	85 %	0 %	75 %

Breaks

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov	Match total
Breaks Per Match	2.17	8.5	10.67
Over 0.5	95 %	100 %	100 %
Over 1.5	55 %	100 %	100 %
Over 2.5	45 %	100 %	100 %
Over 3.5	45 %	100 %	98 %
Over 4.5	0 %	100 %	58 %
Over 5.5	0 %	50 %	55 %

Tie-breaks

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.45	0.28	0.37
Over 0.5	35 %	28 %	32 %
Over 1.5	10 %	0 %	5 %
Under 0.5	65 %	72 %	32 %
Under 1.5	90 %	100 %	5 %

Double faults

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	4.3	7	11.3
Over 0.5 (1+)	90 %	100 %	98 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	85 %	100 %	98 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	70 %	100 %	95 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	50 %	100 %	90 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	45 %	100 %	90 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	25 %	50 %	90 %

Net points

	Beibit Zhukayev	Amir Omarkhanov	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	8.63	3	11.63
Over 4.5 (5+)	84 %	0 %	42 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	79 %	0 %	40 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	74 %	0 %	37 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	68 %	0 %	34 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	63 %	0 %	32 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	58 %	0 %	29 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 5.30 25.1% BetBoom

P2 1.78 74.9% BetBoom

Omarkhanov A face Zhukayev B on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Astana.

Recent form (W-D-L): Omarkhanov A 0-0-5, Zhukayev B 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Zhukayev B — 72%

1 · Omarkhanov A28.2%

market 47%

2 · Zhukayev B ✓ Pick71.8%

market 53%

Model estimate: win Omarkhanov A 28.2%, win Zhukayev B 71.8%. Model favourite — Zhukayev B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Omarkhanov A (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Omarkhanov A
• 🇰🇿 — Zhukaev B
• 🇰🇿 (tennis)
• Omarkhanov A
• 🇰🇿: forma PPVVP (2-3)
• Model backs Omarkhanov A
• 🇰🇿: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zhukayev B.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zhukayev B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / 2 1.12
Glicko: Omarkhanov A 28.2% / Zhukayev B 71.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.5% 6 books · best price +2.0%

1 46.6%

2 ✓ Pick 53.4%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.88 ↑ 5.30

Winner 2 1.88 ↓ 1.12

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Omarkhanov A

46%

5.30

Zhukayev B

54%

1.78

Total

Over 22.5

52%

2.75

Under 22.5

48%

2.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Omarkhanov A

2-8WWLLLLLLLL

scored 0.5conceded 1.6

Zhukayev B

6-4WWLWLWWLLW

scored 1.5conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Omarkhanov AZhukayev B

Match started
Set 1 Break 0-1 Zhukayev B
Set 1 Break 1-4 Zhukayev B
Set 1 Break 2-4 Omarkhanov A
Set 1 3-6 Zhukayev B
Set 2 Break 2-1 Omarkhanov A
Set 2 Break 2-2 Zhukayev B
Set 2 4-6 Zhukayev B
Match ended 0-2 Zhukayev B

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

1/16-finals (R32)

Bar Biryukov, Petr2

Ichikawa, Taisei0

Ouakaa, Aziz0

Cui, Jie2

Dougaz, Aziz2

Deckers, Alec1

Ursu, Vadym0

Dhamne, Manas2

Fomin, Sergey0

Zhukov, Maxim0

Samrej, Kasidit2

Isomura, Kokoro1

Shin, Sanhui1

Arutiunian, Erik2

Imamura, Masamichi2

Ghibaudo, Antoine0

Sun, Fajing2

Nurlanuly, Zangar1

Pankin, Semen2

Palan, Dominik0

Kumasaka, Takuya2

Sinclair, Colin0

Matsuda, Koki0

Matsuoka, Hayato2

Ratti, Lucio2

Sach, Tai Leonard0

Sultanov, Khumoyun2

Binda, Alexander0

Omarkhanov, Amir0

Zhukayev, Beibit2

Rawat, Sidharth0

Alkaya, Mert2

1/8-finals (R16)

Bar Biryukov, Petr0

Cui, Jie2

Dougaz, Aziz0

Dhamne, Manas0

Fomin, Sergey0

Samrej, Kasidit0

Arutiunian, Erik0

Imamura, Masamichi2

Sun, Fajing2

Pankin, Semen1

Kumasaka, Takuya0

Matsuoka, Hayato2

Ratti, Lucio0

Sultanov, Khumoyun2

Zhukayev, Beibit0

Alkaya, Mert2

Quarterfinals

Cui, Jie0

Qf20

Qf30

Imamura, Masamichi0

Sun, Fajing0

Matsuoka, Hayato0

Sultanov, Khumoyun0

Alkaya, Mert0

Semifinals

WQF10

WQF20

WQF30

WQF40

Final

WSF10

WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 07:03 UTC

1 38%

2 62% ✓ favourite

Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:2

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	38%	62%	0:2	Under 22.5

Match center

Start 11.08.2026 06:30 UTC

Market 1 17.4% @ 5.30 / 2 82.6% @ 1.12

Coverage hard

Form 3 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Zhukayev B 62%

📐 Math model Zhukayev B 72%

💹 Market Zhukayev B 53%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

🏦 Virtual bank $10,000

$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Stake ($)

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Match center

Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Omarkhanov A Zhukayev B Result

Set 1 3 6 3:6

Set 2 4 6 4:6

Metric Omarkhanov A Zhukayev B SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 5/9 2/4 final

Points na prieme 51% (33/65) 38% (22/58) final

Eysy 5 4 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 2/4 4/9 final

Dvoynye oshibki 5 9 final

Pervaya podacha, % 57% 54% final

Points na pervoy podache 79% (26/33) 60% (21/35) final

Points na vtoroy podache 40% (10/25) 37% (11/30) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 71.8% fact: away hit / Brier 0.159 / LogLoss 0.331

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.6% fact: away hit / Brier 0.449 / LogLoss 0.642

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Omarkhanov A 25.1% 40.9%

Zhukayev B 74.9% 59.1% model more cautious than market

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko28.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 28.2% / 71.8% probabilities

Rating 1,618 / 1,500 Omarkhanov A / Zhukayev B

RD 169 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,280-1,955 / 800-2,200 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 71.8%

1 5.30 Fonbet · no value · model 28.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 10.5 2.95 market consensus · line only

Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.84 54.4%	—	2.00 50.0%
1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	2.02 49.5%
—	—	1.95 51.3%
—	—	2.10 47.6%
—	—	1.73 57.8%
—	—	1.70 58.8%
—	—	1.55 64.5%
—	—	1.17 85.5%
—	—	2.02 49.5%
—	—	2.65 37.7%
1.88 53.2%	—	1.75 57.1%
1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.65 60.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.75 36.4%
	10.50 9.5%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 19.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 20.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%
Over 22.5	1.76 56.8%	1.82 55.0%	2.75 36.4%
Over 23.5	—	1.96 51.0%	2.07 48.3%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 25.5	—	—	2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5	—	—	1.93 51.8%
Over 27.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Under 19.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%
Under 20.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5	—	—	2.30 43.5%
Under 22.5	1.97 50.8%	1.88 53.2%	—
Under 23.5	—	1.75 57.1%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	2.75 36.4%
Under 2.5	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Omarkhanov A

L L L L L

2026-04-28 2026 Shymkent 2, Kazakhstan

Omarkhanov A Omarkhanov A 0:2 Yevseyev D

2026-04-21 2026 Shymkent, Kazakhstan

Omarkhanov A Albot R 2:0 Omarkhanov A

2025-10-26 2025 Monastir, Tunisia, Qualifying

Omarkhanov A Omarkhanov A 0:2 Ribecai M

2025-10-13 2025 ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan

Omarkhanov A Diallo G 2:0 Omarkhanov A

2025-07-29 2025 Astana, Kazakhstan

Omarkhanov A Imai S 2:0 Omarkhanov A

0 Wins

5 Losses

0.0 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Zhukayev B

L L W W L

2026-04-26 2026 Jiujiang, China, Qualifying

Zhukayev B 1:2 Takahashi Yusuke Zhukayev B

2026-04-21 2026 Gwangju, Korea Republic

Broady L 2:0 Zhukayev B Zhukayev B

2026-04-20 2026 Gwangju, Korea Republic, Qualifying

Zhukayev B 2:0 Moriya H Zhukayev B

2026-04-19 2026 Gwangju, Korea Republic, Qualifying

Zhukayev B 2:0 Imamura M Zhukayev B

2026-04-16 2026 Busan, Korea Republic

Shimabukuro S 2:1 Zhukayev B Zhukayev B

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOmarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

Omarkhanov A

0 matches total

Zhukayev B

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

4	Aces	5
9	Double Faults	5
2/4	Break Points Won	5/9
54	Points won	69
6	Max Points in a Row	6
7	Games won	12
2	Max Games in a Row	3
32/33/65	Service Points Won	36/22/58
22/36/58	Receiver Points Won	33/32/65
5/5/10	Service Games Won	7/2/9
0	Tiebreaks Won	0
21/14/35	1st Serve Pts. Won	26/7/33
11/19/30	2nd Serve Pts. Won	10/15/25
35/30/65	1st Serve Successful	33/25/58
21/9/30	2nd Serve Successful	20/5/25

Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B August 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Match timeline

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

AI predictions

Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Detailed match statistics Omarkhanov A – Zhukayev B

Frequently asked questions

Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B August 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Match timeline

Tournament bracket 2026 Astana, Kazakhstan

AI predictions

Omarkhanov A - Zhukayev B

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Detailed match statistics Omarkhanov A – Zhukayev B

More predictions

Frequently asked questions