ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualificationgrass13.08.2026 14:05 UTCFinished
13.08.2026 14:05 UTCFinished
Butvilas E
WWWWW
Milavsky D
WLWWW
0:26:7 5:7
12GP
Butvilas E650
Milavsky D772
1
2
Coverage: grass
Preview
Extended stats (scorego)
Butvilas E
Milavsky D
Win %
53%
66.9%
Hard %
58.6%
68.1%
Clay %
45.3%
50%
Grass %
0%
66.7%
Deciding set %
47.3%
54.7%
Tie-breaks %
54.2%
41.9%
Titles (total)
3
5
Last 10
WWWWWWLLLL
WLWWWWLWWL
Source: scorego-app.com
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
grassCoveragegrass
0H2H0
Odds
P11.45
65.6% BetBoom
P22.77
34.4% BetBoom
Butvilas E go head-to-head with Milavsky D on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Butvilas E 5-0-0, Milavsky D 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 66% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Butvilas E — 66%
Pure model vs market (1 · Butvilas E): model 62% · market 66%Δ −4 ppmodel estimates below the market
66%1
1 · Butvilas E ✓ Pick65.8%
market66%
2 · Milavsky D34.2%
market34%
Model estimate: win Butvilas E 65.8%, win Milavsky D 34.2%. Model favourite — Butvilas E.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Butvilas E (odds1.40)Score 2:1confidence 66%✗ outcome missed
•Butvilas E: forma VVVVP (4-1)
•Milavski D: forma PVVVP (3-2)
•Model backs Butvilas E: probability 66% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Butvilas E - Milavsky D August 13, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Milavsky D.
Line favourite Fonbet: Milavsky D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.25 / 2 1.30
Glicko: Butvilas E 65.8% / Milavsky D 34.2%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.7%
3 books · best price +132.1%
1 ✓ Pick66.3%
233.7%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.40↑ 1.45
Winner 22.75↓ 2.60
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Butvilas E
66%
3.25
Milavsky D
34%
2.77
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Butvilas E
6-4LLLLWWWWWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.2
Milavsky D
8-2WWLWWWWLWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.8
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
🏆
Playoff draw
Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Qualification round 1
Boyer, Tristan2
Forbes, Matthew1
Dickerson, Ryan0
Mayo, Aidan2
Puttergill, Calum0
King, Evan2
Dieveney, Eli0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Mosejczuk, Dominick0
Manning, William0
Young, Gavin2
Jubb, Paul1
Rai, Ajeet2
Alvarado, Patricio0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Chandrasekar, Anirudh0
Kittay, Benjamin0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Godoy, Sebastian0
Hilderbrand, Trey0
Kim, Aidan2
Qualification Final
Boyer, Tristan0
Mayo, Aidan2
King, Evan0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Young, Gavin0
Rai, Ajeet0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Kim, Aidan0
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
Match center
Start13.08.2026 14:05 UTC
Market1 28.6% @ 3.25 / 2 71.4% @ 1.30
Coveragegrass
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelButvilas E 66%
💹 MarketButvilas E 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score0:2
Events0
Statistics0
SetButvilas EMilavsky DResult
Set 1676:7
Set 2575:7
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 65.8% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.867 / LogLoss 1.074
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 51.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.539 / LogLoss 0.732
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Butvilas E66.3%65.8%market and model agree
Milavsky D33.7%34.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P265.8% / 34.2%
probabilities
Rating1,870 / 1,583
Butvilas E / Milavsky D
RD185 / 152
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,499-2,240 / 1,278-1,887
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.30
Fonbet · no value · model 34.2%
13.25
Fonbet · weak value +113.9% · model 65.8%
Handicap
2 -0.51.30
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.75
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.53.25
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.95
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.51.50
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.51.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
By the PropickAI model, Milavsky D is favoured — about 66% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Butvilas E vs Milavsky D?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Milavsky D. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Butvilas E vs Milavsky D start?
August 13, 2026.
🍪
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