AI verdict

AI pick Ilagan A win probability ~55% confidence Medium best odds 1.02

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Ilagan A. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International

Ilagan A - Martin Andres

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification 11.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Ilagan A
Ilagan A
L W W W W
Martin Andres
Martin Andres
L W W W W
2:1 2:6 6:4 6:3
1 2 3 GP
Ilagan A 2 6 6 2
Martin Andres 6 4 3 1
1 2 3
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 1.90 49.3% BetBoom
P2 1.85 50.7% BetBoom

Ilagan A meet Martin Andres on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ilagan A 4-0-1, Martin Andres 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ilagan A55%

1 · Ilagan A ✓ Pick55.3%
2 · Martin Andres44.7%

Model estimate: win Ilagan A 55.3%, win Martin Andres 44.7%. Model favourite — Ilagan A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ilagan A (odds1.90) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Ilagan A: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • Martin Andres: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • Model backs Ilagan A: probability 55% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilagan A - Martin Andres August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ilagan A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ilagan A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Ilagan A 55.3% / Martin Andres 44.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.5%
2 8.5%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.90 → 1.90
Winner 2 1.85 → 1.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins1
1.5Average score1.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 2.5 (goals)

Team form

Ilagan A
6-4LLWLWWWWLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.0
Martin Andres
7-3WLWWLWWWWL
scored 1.6conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Boyer, Tristan2
Forbes, Matthew1
Dickerson, Ryan0
Mayo, Aidan2
Puttergill, Calum0
King, Evan2
Dieveney, Eli0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Mosejczuk, Dominick0
Manning, William0
Young, Gavin2
Jubb, Paul1
Rai, Ajeet2
Alvarado, Patricio0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Chandrasekar, Anirudh0
Kittay, Benjamin0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Godoy, Sebastian0
Hilderbrand, Trey0
Kim, Aidan2
Qualification Final
Boyer, Tristan0
Mayo, Aidan2
King, Evan0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Young, Gavin0
Rai, Ajeet0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Kim, Aidan0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 11.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 91.5% @ 1.02 / 2 8.5% @ 11.00
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Ilagan A 55%
💹 Market Ilagan A 92%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Ilagan A - Martin Andres

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Ilagan A Martin Andres Result
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Set 3 6 3 6:3
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 55.3% fact: home hit / ROI 90.0% / Brier 0.401 / LogLoss 0.593
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 90.0% / Brier 0.487 / LogLoss 0.681
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ilagan A 49.3% 55.3% Glicko contrarian
Martin Andres 50.7% 44.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.3% / 44.7% probabilities
Rating 1,787 / 1,717 Ilagan A / Martin Andres
RD 175 / 99 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,438-2,137 / 1,518-1,916 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 55.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.18 84.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.43 69.9%
1.85 54.1%
2.45 40.8%
7.30 13.7%
4.10 24.4%
1.68 59.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.10 47.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.48 67.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.15 87.0%
10.00 10.0%
1.02 98.0%
4.50 22.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 18.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 19.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 20.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 21.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 22.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 23.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 25.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 26.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 27.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 28.5 6.30 15.9%
Under 17.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 18.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 19.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 20.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 21.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 22.5 2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 2.5 4.50 22.2%
Match center
Ilagan A
L W W W W
2026-08-09 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 1:2 Butvilas E
2026-08-08 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Johnson Spencer 0:2 Ilagan A
2026-08-07 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 2:0 Gorzny S
2026-08-05 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Kwon Soon Woo 1:2 Ilagan A
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Andrade A 0:2 Ilagan A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Martin Andres
L W W W W
2026-08-07 2026 Lexington, USA
Johnson Spencer 2:1 Martin Andres Martin Andres
2026-08-06 2026 Lexington, USA
Martin Andres 2:1 Hurrion M Martin Andres
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Arseneault N 0:2 Martin Andres Martin Andres
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Martin Andres 2:0 Svajda T Martin Andres
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Martin Andres 2:0 Kobelt A Martin Andres
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlagan A - Martin Andres

Ilagan A
0 matches total
Martin Andres
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilagan A vs Martin Andres?

By the PropickAI model, Ilagan A is favoured — about 55% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Ilagan A vs Martin Andres?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ilagan A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Ilagan A vs Martin Andres start?

August 11, 2026.