AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Schoolkate T. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Ilagan A | Schoolkate T | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61.8% | 54% |
| Hard % | 61.4% | 54.8% |
| Clay % | 75% | 36.8% |
| Grass % | 75% | 59.4% |
| Deciding set % | 54.9% | 60.9% |
| Tie-breaks % | 46.9% | 47.3% |
| Titles (total) | 3 | 3 |
| Last 10 | WLWWWWLWLL | WLLLWLWWLW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Ilagan A | Schoolkate T | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 8.09 | 4.17 |
| Double faults per match | 3.26 | 2.33 |
| Breaks per match | 0.84 | 3.04 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 45.5% 10 / 22 Matches | 61.1% 33 / 54 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 40.0% 16 / 40 Matches | 59.2% 45 / 76 Matches |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches | 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches | 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 2 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Sets | 4 (66.7%) | 2 (33.3%) |
| Wins this year | 48.7% 18 / 37 Matches | 63.9% 39 / 61 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 43.6% 24 / 55 Matches | 61.9% 52 / 84 Matches |
| Current rank | 188 | 210 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $513,917 USD | $32,896 USD |
| Rating | 188 | 210 |
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Height | 1.83m | 1.73m |
| Weight | 83kg | 64kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Left-handed |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 49 % | 64 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 48 % | 62 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | 50 % | N/A |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 27 % | 46 % |
| Wins From Behind | 22 % | 24 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 68 % | 79 % |
| Set 1 Win | 46 % | 59 % |
| Set 2 Win | 49 % | 66 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3 2025 | Cary Chall. Men (Hard) | Tristan Schoolkate 2 – 1 Andre Ilagan |
| Feb 14 2025 | New Delhi Chall. Men (Hard) | Tristan Schoolkate 2 – 1 Andre Ilagan |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 10.27 | 9.74 | 10.01 |
| Over 6.5 | 97 % | 98 % | 98 % |
| Over 7.5 | 94 % | 86 % | 90 % |
| Over 8.5 | 88 % | 74 % | 81 % |
| Over 9.5 | 58 % | 47 % | 53 % |
| Over 10.5 | 30 % | 29 % | 30 % |
| Over 11.5 | 30 % | 29 % | 30 % |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 8.09 | 4.17 | 12.26 |
| Most Aces in a match | 47 % | 26 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 100 % | 96 % | 100 % |
| 2+ | 100 % | 85 % | 100 % |
| 3+ | 94 % | 70 % | 98 % |
| 4+ | 91 % | 54 % | 97 % |
| 5+ | 79 % | 43 % | 94 % |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 0.84 | 3.04 | 3.88 |
| Over 0.5 | 94 % | 98 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 47 % | 50 % | 77 % |
| Over 2.5 | 0 % | 48 % | 54 % |
| Over 3.5 | 0 % | 48 % | 27 % |
| Over 4.5 | 0 % | 2 % | 23 % |
| Over 5.5 | 0 % | 0 % | 22 % |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.5 |
| Over 0.5 | 45 % | 43 % | 44 % |
| Over 1.5 | 6 % | 5 % | 6 % |
| Under 0.5 | 55 % | 57 % | 44 % |
| Under 1.5 | 94 % | 95 % | 6 % |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 3.26 | 2.33 | 5.59 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 91 % | 83 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 82 % | 74 % | 99 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 68 % | 41 % | 89 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 38 % | 20 % | 74 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 26 % | 4 % | 62 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 12 % | 4 % | 45 % |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Andre Ilagan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 8.26 | 5.23 | 13.49 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 64 % | 55 % | 60 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 64 % | 45 % | 55 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 56 % | 23 % | 40 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 36 % | 23 % | 30 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 36 % | 18 % | 27 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 36 % | 5 % | 21 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Ilagan A take on Schoolkate T on August 14, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ilagan A 4-0-1, Schoolkate T 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Schoolkate T — 51%
Model estimate: win Ilagan A 48.6%, win Schoolkate T 51.4%. Model favourite — Schoolkate T.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ilagan A.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko48.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.48).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 3.15 31.8% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 2.55 39.2% | |
| 6.30 15.9% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| 1.50 66.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 20.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 23.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 24.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 25.5 | 5.60 17.9% |
| Over 26.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Over 27.5 | 6.30 15.9% |
| Over 28.5 | 3.90 25.6% |
| Over 29.5 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 30.5 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Under 20.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 22.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 23.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 24.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 25.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Under 26.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
Ilagan A
Schoolkate T
Full head-to-head historyIlagan A - Schoolkate T
The Ilagan A - Schoolkate T breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Ilagan A is favoured — about 51% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ilagan A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 14, 2026.