AI verdict

AI pick Schoolkate T win probability ~51% best odds 15.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Schoolkate T. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International

Ilagan A - Schoolkate T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification grass 14.08.2026 21:30 UTC Finished
14.08.2026 21:30 UTC Finished
Ilagan A
Ilagan A
Rank #188 Elo 302
49Struggling Form
W L L L W L W W
Schoolkate T
Schoolkate T
Rank #210 Elo 269
64Average Form
L W L W W L W L
2:1 6:4 2:6 6:1
1 2 3 GP
Ilagan A 6 2 6 2
Schoolkate T 4 6 1 1
1 2 3
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Ilagan A Schoolkate T
Win % 61.8% 54%
Hard % 61.4% 54.8%
Clay % 75% 36.8%
Grass % 75% 59.4%
Deciding set % 54.9% 60.9%
Tie-breaks % 46.9% 47.3%
Titles (total) 3 3
Last 10 WLWWWWLWLL WLLLWLWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#188 Rating #210
25 Age 25
1.83m Height (cm) 1.73m
83kg Weight (kg) 64kg
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Ilagan A Schoolkate T
Aces per match 8.09 4.17
Double faults per match 3.26 2.33
Breaks per match 0.84 3.04

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Tristan Schoolkate
Rank:188 Elo: 302
W L L L W L W W
Andre Ilagan
Rank:210 Elo: 269
L W L W W L W L
Elo favourite:Schoolkate T (edge +33 Elo)

Hard

Tristan SchoolkateAndre Ilagan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 45.5% 10 / 22 Matches 61.1% 33 / 54 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 16 / 40 Matches 59.2% 45 / 76 Matches

Clay

Tristan SchoolkateAndre Ilagan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Tristan SchoolkateAndre Ilagan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan
H2H wins 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 4 (66.7%) 2 (33.3%)
Wins this year 48.7% 18 / 37 Matches 63.9% 39 / 61 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 43.6% 24 / 55 Matches 61.9% 52 / 84 Matches
Current rank 188 210

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan
Prize money (career) $513,917 USD $32,896 USD
Rating 188 210
Age 25 25
Height 1.83m 1.73m
Weight 83kg 64kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan
Match Wins 49 % 64 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 48 % 62 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 27 % 46 %
Wins From Behind 22 % 24 %
Won At Least 1 Set 68 % 79 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 59 %
Set 2 Win 49 % 66 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 3 2025 Cary Chall. Men (Hard) Tristan Schoolkate 2 – 1 Andre Ilagan
Feb 14 2025 New Delhi Chall. Men (Hard) Tristan Schoolkate 2 – 1 Andre Ilagan

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.27 9.74 10.01
Over 6.5 97 % 98 % 98 %
Over 7.5 94 % 86 % 90 %
Over 8.5 88 % 74 % 81 %
Over 9.5 58 % 47 % 53 %
Over 10.5 30 % 29 % 30 %
Over 11.5 30 % 29 % 30 %

Aces

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan Match total
Aces Per Match 8.09 4.17 12.26
Most Aces in a match 47 % 26 % N/A
1+ 100 % 96 % 100 %
2+ 100 % 85 % 100 %
3+ 94 % 70 % 98 %
4+ 91 % 54 % 97 %
5+ 79 % 43 % 94 %

Breaks

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan Match total
Breaks Per Match 0.84 3.04 3.88
Over 0.5 94 % 98 % 100 %
Over 1.5 47 % 50 % 77 %
Over 2.5 0 % 48 % 54 %
Over 3.5 0 % 48 % 27 %
Over 4.5 0 % 2 % 23 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 22 %

Tie-breaks

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.52 0.48 0.5
Over 0.5 45 % 43 % 44 %
Over 1.5 6 % 5 % 6 %
Under 0.5 55 % 57 % 44 %
Under 1.5 94 % 95 % 6 %

Double faults

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.26 2.33 5.59
Over 0.5 (1+) 91 % 83 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 82 % 74 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 68 % 41 % 89 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 38 % 20 % 74 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 26 % 4 % 62 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 12 % 4 % 45 %

Net points

Tristan Schoolkate Andre Ilagan Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.26 5.23 13.49
Over 4.5 (5+) 64 % 55 % 60 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 64 % 45 % 55 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 56 % 23 % 40 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 36 % 23 % 30 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 36 % 18 % 27 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 36 % 5 % 21 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.00 47.4% BetBoom
P2 1.80 52.6% BetBoom

Ilagan A take on Schoolkate T on August 14, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ilagan A 4-0-1, Schoolkate T 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Schoolkate T51%

1 · Ilagan A48.6%
2 · Schoolkate T51.4%

Model estimate: win Ilagan A 48.6%, win Schoolkate T 51.4%. Model favourite — Schoolkate T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ilagan A (odds2.50) Score 2:1 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Ilagan A: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • Skulkeyt T: forma VPVP (2)
  • Model backs Ilagan A: probability 61% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
  • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilagan A - Schoolkate T August 14, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ilagan A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ilagan A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Ilagan A 48.6% / Schoolkate T 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.5% 4 books · best price +747.5%
1 47.2%
2 52.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.55 ↓ 1.97
Winner 2 1.45 ↑ 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ilagan A
47%
2.00
Schoolkate T
53%
15.00
Total
Over 9.5
50%
1.85
Under 9.5
50%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins2
1.0Average score2.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 3.0 (goals)

Team form

Ilagan A
6-4LLWLWWWWLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.0
Schoolkate T
6-4WLWWLWLLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Boyer, Tristan2
Forbes, Matthew1
Dickerson, Ryan0
Mayo, Aidan2
Puttergill, Calum0
King, Evan2
Dieveney, Eli0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Mosejczuk, Dominick0
Manning, William0
Young, Gavin2
Jubb, Paul1
Rai, Ajeet2
Alvarado, Patricio0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Chandrasekar, Anirudh0
Kittay, Benjamin0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Godoy, Sebastian0
Hilderbrand, Trey0
Kim, Aidan2
Qualification Final
Boyer, Tristan0
Mayo, Aidan2
King, Evan0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Young, Gavin0
Rai, Ajeet0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Kim, Aidan0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 14.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 93.7% @ 1.01 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Schoolkate T 51%
💹 Market Schoolkate T 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Ilagan A - Schoolkate T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Ilagan A Schoolkate T Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.528 / LogLoss 0.721
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.697
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ilagan A 47.2% 49.1% market and model agree
Schoolkate T 52.8% 50.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko48.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.48).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.6% / 51.4% probabilities
Rating 1,833 / 1,543 Ilagan A / Schoolkate T
RD 192 / 214 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,449-2,216 / 1,114-1,971 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 48.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.45 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
1.30 76.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.30 76.9%
1.45 69.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.09 91.7%
2.45 40.8%
3.45 29.0%
3.15 31.8%
1.90 52.6%
3.20 31.3%
2.55 39.2%
6.30 15.9%
11.00 9.1%
5.60 17.9%
1.50 66.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 22.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 23.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 5.60 17.9%
Over 26.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 27.5 6.30 15.9%
Over 28.5 3.90 25.6%
Over 29.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 30.5 4.15 24.1%
Under 20.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 23.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 24.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 25.5 1.09 91.7%
Under 26.5 1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Match center
Ilagan A
W L W W W
2026-08-11 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 2:1 Martin Andres
2026-08-09 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 1:2 Butvilas E
2026-08-08 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Johnson Spencer 0:2 Ilagan A
2026-08-07 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Ilagan A 2:0 Gorzny S
2026-08-05 2026 Lexington, USA
Ilagan A Kwon Soon Woo 1:2 Ilagan A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Schoolkate T
W W W L L
2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Vandecasteele Q 1:2 Schoolkate T Schoolkate T
2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Schoolkate T 2:1 Cina F Schoolkate T
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Schoolkate T 1:0 Kwon Soon Woo Schoolkate T
2026-07-14 2026 Granby, Canada
Cassone M 2:1 Schoolkate T Schoolkate T
2026-07-09 2026 Newport, USA
Gea A 2:1 Schoolkate T Schoolkate T
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlagan A - Schoolkate T

Ilagan A
0 matches total
Schoolkate T
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilagan A vs Schoolkate T?

By the PropickAI model, Ilagan A is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Ilagan A vs Schoolkate T?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Ilagan A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Ilagan A vs Schoolkate T start?

August 14, 2026.