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AI verdict

AI pick Harris L win probability ~63% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Harris L. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International
15.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Milavsky D - Harris L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification grass 15.08.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
15.08.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
Milavsky D
Milavsky D
Rank #175 Elo 323
66Average Form
W W W L W L W W
Harris L
Harris L
Rank #310 Elo 178
68Average Form
L W L W L L W W
1:2 7:6 3:6 3:6
1 2 3 GP
Milavsky D 7 3 3 1
Harris L 6 6 6 2
1 2 3
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Milavsky D Harris L
Win % 67.3% 55%
Hard % 68.6% 58%
Clay % 50% 37%
Grass % 66.7% 59.1%
Deciding set % 54.7% 59.8%
Tie-breaks % 43.2% 41.3%
Titles (total) 5 5
Last 10 WWWLWWWWLW WWWLWLWLLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#175 Rating #310
29 Age 24
1.93m Height (cm) 1.93m
80kg Weight (kg) 91kg
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Milavsky D Harris L
Aces per match 8.46 6.10
Double faults per match 1.57 3.19
Breaks per match 3.52 6.56

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Lloyd Harris
Rank:175 Elo: 323
W W W L W L W W
Daniel Milavsky
Rank:310 Elo: 178
L W L W L L W W
Elo favourite:Harris L (edge +145 Elo)

Hard

Lloyd HarrisDaniel Milavsky
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.7% 14 / 19 Matches 66.7% 32 / 48 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 69.7% 23 / 33 Matches 64.5% 49 / 76 Matches

Clay

Lloyd HarrisDaniel Milavsky
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Grass

Lloyd HarrisDaniel Milavsky
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 80.0% 4 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 80.0% 4 / 5 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 65.5% 19 / 29 Matches 67.9% 38 / 56 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 64.4% 29 / 45 Matches 65.5% 55 / 84 Matches
Current rank 175 310

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky
Prize money (career) $4,069,356 USD $2,837 USD
Rating 175 310
Age 29 24
Height 1.93m 1.93m
Weight 80kg 91kg

Win percentage (match / set)

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky
Match Wins 66 % 68 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 64 % 67 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 52 %
Wins From Behind 31 % 22 %
Won At Least 1 Set 86 % 82 %
Set 1 Win 66 % 68 %
Set 2 Win 61 % 66 %
Set 3 Win 58 % 53 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.28 9.38 9.83
Over 6.5 96 % 96 % 96 %
Over 7.5 93 % 82 % 88 %
Over 8.5 86 % 73 % 80 %
Over 9.5 64 % 45 % 55 %
Over 10.5 39 % 18 % 29 %
Over 11.5 39 % 18 % 29 %

Aces

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky Match total
Aces Per Match 8.46 6.10 14.56
Most Aces in a match 82 % 55 % N/A
1+ 96 % 97 % 100 %
2+ 93 % 94 % 100 %
3+ 89 % 84 % 98 %
4+ 82 % 74 % 94 %
5+ 82 % 68 % 94 %

Breaks

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.52 6.56 10.08
Over 0.5 96 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 2.5 50 % 55 % 98 %
Over 3.5 50 % 55 % 98 %
Over 4.5 39 % 0 % 72 %
Over 5.5 4 % 0 % 72 %

Tie-breaks

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.36 0.29 0.32
Over 0.5 36 % 24 % 30 %
Over 1.5 0 % 4 % 2 %
Under 0.5 64 % 76 % 30 %
Under 1.5 100 % 96 % 2 %

Double faults

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.57 3.19 4.76
Over 0.5 (1+) 75 % 97 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 36 % 81 % 88 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 21 % 68 % 81 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 11 % 42 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 11 % 23 % 57 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 4 % 10 % 47 %

Net points

Lloyd Harris Daniel Milavsky Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.56 6.85 14.41
Over 4.5 (5+) 88 % 70 % 79 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 75 % 40 % 58 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 63 % 20 % 42 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 56 % 20 % 38 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 20 % 35 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 38 % 20 % 29 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.75 34.4% BetBoom
P2 1.44 65.6% BetBoom

Milavsky D face Harris L on August 15, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Milavsky D 4-0-1, Harris L 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Harris L — 63%

1 · Milavsky D36.7%
market 35%
2 · Harris L ✓ Pick63.3%
market 65%

Model estimate: win Milavsky D 36.7%, win Harris L 63.3%. Model favourite — Harris L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Milavsky D (odds2.70) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • 🇿🇦 (tennis)
  • • Milavski D: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Milavski D: probability 53% vs 37% on the line (odds 2.70)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Milavsky D - Harris L August 15, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Harris L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Harris L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Milavsky D 36.7% / Harris L 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6% 4 books
1 34.8%
2 ✓ Pick 65.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.70 ↑ 2.75
Winner 2 1.40 → 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Milavsky D
35%
13.00
Harris L
65%
1.44
Total
Over 22.5
49%
1.90
Under 22.5
51%
2.20

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA

1/16-finals (R32)
Tomic, Bernard2
Winter, Edward1
Ilagan, Andre2
Martin, Andres1
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Shelbayh, Abdullah0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Cina, Federico1
Onclin, Gauthier2
Zink, Tyler1
Schwaerzler, Joel1
Andrade, Andres2
Smith, Colton1
Gill, Felix2
Jorda Sanchis, David0
Pinnington Jones, Jack2
Mmoh, Michael0
Butvilas, Edas2
Balshaw, Felix1
Milavsky, Daniel2
Broady, Liam0
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Blanchet, Ugo1
Sakamoto, Rei2
Harris, Lloyd2
Fenty, Andrew0
Searle, Henry0
Rottgering, Mees2
Kozlov, Stefan2
Mayo, Aidan1
Wendelken, Harry2
Gojo, Borna1
1/8-finals (R16)
Tomic, Bernard0
Ilagan, Andre0
Vandecasteele, Quinn1
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Onclin, Gauthier0
Andrade, Andres2
Gill, Felix0
Pinnington Jones, Jack0
Butvilas, Edas0
Milavsky, Daniel2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar0
Sakamoto, Rei2
Harris, Lloyd2
Rottgering, Mees0
Kozlov, Stefan1
Wendelken, Harry2
Quarterfinals
Ilagan, Andre2
Schoolkate, Tristan1
Andrade, Andres1
Pinnington Jones, Jack2
Milavsky, Daniel2
Sakamoto, Rei0
Harris, Lloyd2
Wendelken, Harry1
Semifinals
Ilagan, Andre2
Pinnington Jones, Jack0
Milavsky, Daniel1
Harris, Lloyd2
Final
Ilagan, Andre0
Harris, Lloyd2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 15.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 7.2% @ 13.00 / 2 92.8% @ 1.01
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Harris L 63%
💹 Market Harris L 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Milavsky D - Harris L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Milavsky D Harris L Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 3 6 3:6
Metric Milavsky D Harris L SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/2) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 63.3% fact: away hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.269 / LogLoss 0.457
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.6% fact: away hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.469 / LogLoss 0.662
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Milavsky D 34.8% 40.6% market and model agree
Harris L 65.2% 59.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko36.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.33).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.7% / 63.3% probabilities
Rating 1,716 / 1,681 Milavsky D / Harris L
RD 137 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,441-1,991 / 1,323-2,039 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 63.3%
1 2.67 market consensus · no value · model 36.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.10 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.15 31.8%
11.00 9.1%
2.02 49.5%
11.00 9.1%
2.65 37.7%
1.25 80.0%
1.78 56.2%
2.02 49.5%
2.30 43.5%
1.30 76.9%
1.01 99.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.01 99.0%
1.42 70.4%
3.50 28.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
9.00 11.1%
1.03 97.1%
2.70 37.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 23.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 24.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 25.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 26.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 27.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 28.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 29.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 30.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 31.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 32.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 33.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 34.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 24.5 2.15 46.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5 9.00 11.1%
Match center
Milavsky D
W W W L W
2026-08-14 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Milavsky D Milavsky D 2:0 Sakamoto R
2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Milavsky D Butvilas E 0:2 Milavsky D
2026-08-11 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Milavsky D Balshaw F 1:2 Milavsky D
2026-07-30 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Milavsky D Milavsky D 1:2 Rice K
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Milavsky D Milavsky D 2:1 Zhou Yi
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Harris L
W W W L W
2026-08-14 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L 2:1 Wendelken H Harris L
2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L 2:0 Rottgering M Harris L
2026-08-12 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L 2:0 Fenty A Harris L
2026-08-05 2026 Lexington, USA
Harris L 1:2 Lajovic D Harris L
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA
Searle H 1:2 Harris L Harris L
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

More predictions

Harris L – Djere L 18.08 Sabalenka A – Wang Xinyu 18.08 Cerundolo J M – Auger-Aliassime F 18.08 Svrcina D – Wawrinka S 18.08 Onclin G – Moro Canas A 18.08 Falck R / Suarez B – Martinez P / Midon L 18.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Milavsky D vs Harris L?

By the PropickAI model, Harris L is favoured — about 63% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Milavsky D vs Harris L?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Harris L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Milavsky D vs Harris L start?

August 15, 2026.