Who is the favourite in Kozlov S vs Wendelken H?

By the PropickAI model, Wendelken H is favoured — about 55% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Kozlov S vs Wendelken H?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Wendelken H. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Wendelken H win probability ~55% best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Wendelken H. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International

13.08.2026 16:35 UTC Match prediction

Kozlov S - Wendelken H

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification

ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification grass 13.08.2026 16:35 UTC Finished

13.08.2026 16:35 UTC Finished

Kozlov S

Rank #295 Elo 185

55Average Form

W L L L W L W L

Wendelken H

Rank #201 Elo 281

63Average Form

L W L W W W L W

1:2 6:2 4:6 1:6

1 2 3 GP

Kozlov S 6 4 1 1

Wendelken H 2 6 6 2

1 2 3

Coverage: grass

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Kozlov S	Wendelken H
Win %	51.3%	55.6%
Hard %	51.2%	59%
Clay %	56.5%	37.5%
Grass %	44%	38.1%
Deciding set %	56.5%	53.8%
Tie-breaks %	48.3%	48.8%
Titles (total)	3	6
Last 10	WLLLWLLWWW	WLLWLLLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#295 Rating #201

28 Age 24

1.83m Height (cm) 1.78m

79kg Weight (kg) 68kg

Right Hand Right

- Seed -

grass Coverage grass

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Kozlov S	Wendelken H
Aces per match	2.59	3.71
Double faults per match	3.7	2.84
Breaks per match	2.04	2.79

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Stefan Kozlov

Rank:295 Elo: 185

W L L L W L W L

Harry Wendelken

Rank:201 Elo: 281

L W L W W W L W

Elo favourite:Wendelken H (edge +96 Elo)

Hard

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	52.0% 13 / 25 Matches	68.6% 24 / 35 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	58.1% 18 / 31 Matches	70.4% 50 / 71 Matches

Clay

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	50.0% 4 / 8 Matches	0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	54.6% 6 / 11 Matches	0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Grass

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	75.0% 3 / 4 Matches	42.9% 3 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	75.0% 3 / 4 Matches	42.9% 3 / 7 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken
H2H wins	0 (0.0%)	1 (100.0%)
Sets	1 (33.3%)	2 (66.7%)
Wins this year	55.3% 21 / 38 Matches	63.0% 29 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	60.4% 29 / 48 Matches	67.1% 55 / 82 Matches
Current rank	295	201

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken
Prize money (career)	$1,058,176 USD	$81,519 USD
Rating	295	201
Age	28	24
Height	1.83m	1.78m
Weight	79kg	68kg
Playing hand	Right-handed	Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken
Match Wins	55 %	63 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	54 %	63 %
Wins in Straight Sets	29 %	43 %
Wins From Behind	11 %	15 %
Won At Least 1 Set	74 %	76 %
Set 1 Win	55 %	65 %
Set 2 Win	47 %	53 %
Set 3 Win	59 %	60 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date	Tournament	Results
Jan 13 2026	Glasgow Chall. Men (Hard)	Stefan Kozlov 1 – 2 Harry Wendelken

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken	Match total
Average Games in a Set	9.79	9.93	9.86
Over 6.5	97 %	100 %	99 %
Over 7.5	89 %	93 %	91 %
Over 8.5	73 %	84 %	79 %
Over 9.5	51 %	53 %	52 %
Over 10.5	27 %	28 %	28 %
Over 11.5	27 %	26 %	27 %

Aces

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken	Match total
Aces Per Match	2.59	3.71	6.30
Most Aces in a match	24 %	16 %	N/A
1+	81 %	87 %	99 %
2+	57 %	77 %	93 %
3+	41 %	65 %	92 %
4+	30 %	45 %	84 %
5+	22 %	32 %	70 %

Breaks

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken	Match total
Breaks Per Match	2.04	2.79	4.83
Over 0.5	35 %	100 %	100 %
Over 1.5	14 %	52 %	100 %
Over 2.5	14 %	52 %	100 %
Over 3.5	11 %	52 %	44 %
Over 4.5	3 %	52 %	44 %
Over 5.5	3 %	0 %	32 %

Tie-breaks

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.32	0.4	0.36
Over 0.5	32 %	35 %	34 %
Over 1.5	0 %	5 %	2 %
Under 0.5	68 %	65 %	34 %
Under 1.5	100 %	95 %	2 %

Double faults

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	3.7	2.84	6.54
Over 0.5 (1+)	95 %	90 %	100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	78 %	81 %	97 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	59 %	55 %	90 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	49 %	29 %	85 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	38 %	10 %	75 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	22 %	6 %	60 %

Net points

	Stefan Kozlov	Harry Wendelken	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	13.76	6.3	20.06
Over 4.5 (5+)	96 %	35 %	66 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	93 %	25 %	59 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	85 %	20 %	53 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	78 %	20 %	49 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	74 %	15 %	45 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	70 %	15 %	43 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 2.20 43.6% BetBoom

P2 1.70 56.4% BetBoom

Kozlov S face Wendelken H on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kozlov S 2-0-3, Wendelken H 1-1-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Wendelken H — 55%

1 · Kozlov S45.5%

2 · Wendelken H54.5%

Model estimate: win Kozlov S 45.5%, win Wendelken H 54.5%. Model favourite — Wendelken H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Wendelken H (odds1.86) Score 1:2 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Kozlov S: forma VPPPV (2-3)
• Uendelken Kh: forma VPPV (2)
• Model backs Uendelken Kh: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kozlov S - Wendelken H August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wendelken H.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wendelken H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Kozlov S 45.5% / Wendelken H 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.4% 6 books · best price +1.2%

1 44.8%

2 55.2%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.88 ↑ 2.20

Winner 2 1.88 ↓ 1.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Kozlov S

45%

12.50

Wendelken H

55%

1.70

Handicap

Kozlov S (0.5)

47%

2.25

Wendelken H (0.5)

53%

1.81

Total

Over 9.5

50%

1.85

Under 9.5

50%

1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA

1/16-finals (R32)

Tomic, Bernard2

Winter, Edward1

Ilagan, Andre2

Martin, Andres1

Vandecasteele, Quinn2

Shelbayh, Abdullah0

Schoolkate, Tristan2

Cina, Federico1

Onclin, Gauthier2

Zink, Tyler1

Schwaerzler, Joel1

Andrade, Andres2

Smith, Colton1

Gill, Felix2

Jorda Sanchis, David0

Pinnington Jones, Jack2

Mmoh, Michael0

Butvilas, Edas2

Balshaw, Felix1

Milavsky, Daniel2

Broady, Liam0

Suresh, Dhakshineswar2

Blanchet, Ugo1

Sakamoto, Rei2

Harris, Lloyd2

Fenty, Andrew0

Searle, Henry0

Rottgering, Mees2

Kozlov, Stefan2

Mayo, Aidan1

Wendelken, Harry2

Gojo, Borna1

1/8-finals (R16)

Tomic, Bernard0

Ilagan, Andre0

Vandecasteele, Quinn1

Schoolkate, Tristan2

Onclin, Gauthier0

Andrade, Andres2

Gill, Felix0

Pinnington Jones, Jack0

Butvilas, Edas0

Milavsky, Daniel2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar0

Sakamoto, Rei2

Harris, Lloyd2

Rottgering, Mees0

Kozlov, Stefan1

Wendelken, Harry2

Quarterfinals

Ilagan, Andre2

Schoolkate, Tristan1

Andrade, Andres1

Pinnington Jones, Jack2

Milavsky, Daniel2

Sakamoto, Rei0

Harris, Lloyd2

Wendelken, Harry1

Semifinals

Ilagan, Andre2

Pinnington Jones, Jack0

Milavsky, Daniel1

Harris, Lloyd2

Final

Ilagan, Andre0

Harris, Lloyd0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center

Start 13.08.2026 16:35 UTC

Market 1 7.5% @ 12.50 / 2 92.5% @ 1.01

Coverage grass

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Wendelken H 55%

💹 Market Wendelken H 55%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Kozlov S - Wendelken H

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Kozlov S Wendelken H Result

Set 1 6 2 6:2

Set 2 4 6 4:6

Set 3 1 6 1:6

Metric Kozlov S Wendelken H SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 2/2 2/2 final

Points na prieme 33% (10/30) 46% (13/28) final

Eysy 1 5 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/2 0/2 final

Dvoynye oshibki 0 2 final

Pervaya podacha, % 63% 50% final

Points na pervoy podache 70% (19/27) 70% (16/23) final

Points na vtoroy podache 50% (8/16) 57% (13/23) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.5% fact: away hit / ROI 70.0% / Brier 0.413 / LogLoss 0.606

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.5% fact: away hit / ROI 70.0% / Brier 0.489 / LogLoss 0.682

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kozlov S 44.8% 47.0% market and model agree

Wendelken H 55.2% 53.0% market and model agree

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko45.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.44).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 45.5% / 54.5% probabilities

Rating 1,530 / 1,561 Kozlov S / Wendelken H

RD 183 / 199 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,164-1,895 / 1,163-1,959 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 54.5%

1 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 45.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 10.5 3.45 market consensus · line only

Over 17.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.91 52.4%	—	—
1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	—
1.91 52.4%	—	—
1.81 55.3%	—	1.58 63.3%
—	—	1.32 75.8%
—	—	1.03 97.1%
1.81 55.3%	—	1.70 58.8%
1.81 55.3%	1.83 54.6%	1.60 62.5%
—	—	1.50 66.7%
—	—	1.40 71.4%
—	—	1.87 53.5%
—	—	1.70 58.8%
—	—	1.40 71.4%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	8.50 11.8%
	1.03 97.1%
	11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 17.5	—	—	1.53 65.4%
Over 18.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5	—	—	1.68 59.5%
Over 21.5	1.76 56.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5	1.97 50.8%	1.90 52.6%	1.82 55.0%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 24.5	—	—	5.10 19.6%
Over 25.5	—	—	9.00 11.1%
Over 26.5	—	—	3.10 32.3%
Over 27.5	—	—	2.40 41.7%
Under 21.5	1.97 50.8%	1.93 51.8%	—
Under 22.5	1.76 56.8%	1.80 55.6%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5	8.50 11.8%

Match center

Kozlov S

W L L L W

2026-08-12 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Kozlov S Kozlov S 2:1 Mayo A

2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying

Kozlov S Svajda Z 2:0 Kozlov S

2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA

Kozlov S Kozlov S 1:2 Magadan A

2026-07-20 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA, Qualifying

Kozlov S Kozlov S 0:2 Pascual Ferra R

2026-07-19 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA, Qualifying

Kozlov S Kozlov S 2:1 Vithoontien L

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Wendelken H

W L D L L

2026-08-11 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Wendelken H 2:1 Gojo B Wendelken H

2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA

Wendelken H 0:2 Mmoh M Wendelken H

2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Wendelken H 0:0 Cassone M Wendelken H

2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Wendelken H 1:2 Rice K Wendelken H

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Royer V 3:1 Wendelken H Wendelken H

1 Wins

3 Losses

0.8 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Kozlov S - Wendelken H

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Head-to-Head Record

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Kozlov S - Wendelken H August 13, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Kozlov S - Wendelken H

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

More predictions

Frequently asked questions