Who is the favourite in Milavsky D vs Sakamoto R?

By the PropickAI model, Milavsky D is favoured — about 63% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Milavsky D vs Sakamoto R?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Milavsky D. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Sakamoto R win probability ~63% confidence High best odds 15.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Sakamoto R. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International

14.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

Milavsky D - Sakamoto R

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification

ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification grass 14.08.2026 17:00 UTC Finished

14.08.2026 17:00 UTC Finished

Milavsky D

Rank #165 Elo 344

62Average Form

W W L W W L W W

Sakamoto R

Rank #306 Elo 178

67Average Form

W W L W L W W W

2:0 6:3 6:3

1 2 GP

Milavsky D 6 6 2

Sakamoto R 3 3 0

1 2

Coverage: grass

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Milavsky D	Sakamoto R
Win %	67.1%	55.7%
Hard %	68.4%	56.2%
Clay %	50%	54.5%
Grass %	66.7%	50%
Deciding set %	54.7%	62.2%
Tie-breaks %	43.2%	49.2%
Titles (total)	5	2
Last 10	WWLWWWWLWW	WWLWWLWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#165 Rating #306

20 Age 24

1.93m Height (cm) 1.93m

80kg Weight (kg) 91kg

- Hand -

- Seed -

grass Coverage grass

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Milavsky D	Sakamoto R
Aces per match	6.51	6.13
Double faults per match	1.95	3.2
Breaks per match	1.03	6.47

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Rei Sakamoto

Rank:165 Elo: 344

W W L W W L W W

Daniel Milavsky

Rank:306 Elo: 178

W W L W L W W W

Elo favourite:Sakamoto R (edge +166 Elo)

Hard

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	66.7% 18 / 27 Matches	66.0% 31 / 47 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	63.0% 29 / 46 Matches	64.5% 49 / 76 Matches

Clay

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	60.0% 9 / 15 Matches	50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	60.0% 9 / 15 Matches	50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Grass

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	0.0% 0 / 1 Matches	80.0% 4 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	0.0% 0 / 1 Matches	80.0% 4 / 5 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky
H2H wins	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Sets	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Wins this year	61.7% 29 / 47 Matches	67.3% 37 / 55 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	60.6% 40 / 66 Matches	65.5% 55 / 84 Matches
Current rank	165	306

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky
Prize money (career)	$28,907 USD	$2,837 USD
Rating	165	306
Age	20	24
Height	1.93m	1.93m
Weight	80kg	91kg

Win percentage (match / set)

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky
Match Wins	62 %	67 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	63 %	67 %
Match Wins (5 Sets)	50 %	N/A
Wins in Straight Sets	43 %	51 %
Wins From Behind	18 %	22 %
Won At Least 1 Set	72 %	82 %
Set 1 Win	55 %	67 %
Set 2 Win	57 %	65 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky	Match total
Average Games in a Set	10.64	9.38	10.01
Over 6.5	98 %	96 %	97 %
Over 7.5	91 %	81 %	86 %
Over 8.5	79 %	72 %	76 %
Over 9.5	67 %	46 %	57 %
Over 10.5	42 %	19 %	31 %
Over 11.5	42 %	19 %	31 %

Aces

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky	Match total
Aces Per Match	6.51	6.13	12.64
Most Aces in a match	56 %	53 %	N/A
1+	98 %	97 %	100 %
2+	91 %	93 %	99 %
3+	84 %	83 %	98 %
4+	79 %	73 %	94 %
5+	63 %	67 %	91 %

Breaks

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky	Match total
Breaks Per Match	1.03	6.47	7.5
Over 0.5	14 %	100 %	100 %
Over 1.5	12 %	100 %	85 %
Over 2.5	7 %	53 %	55 %
Over 3.5	7 %	53 %	55 %
Over 4.5	5 %	0 %	54 %
Over 5.5	0 %	0 %	54 %

Tie-breaks

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.6	0.3	0.45
Over 0.5	44 %	24 %	34 %
Over 1.5	12 %	4 %	8 %
Under 0.5	56 %	76 %	34 %
Under 1.5	88 %	96 %	8 %

Double faults

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	1.95	3.2	5.15
Over 0.5 (1+)	79 %	97 %	99 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	53 %	80 %	95 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	33 %	67 %	85 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	19 %	43 %	75 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	9 %	23 %	59 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	2 %	10 %	49 %

Net points

	Rei Sakamoto	Daniel Milavsky	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	7.41	6.85	14.26
Over 4.5 (5+)	77 %	70 %	74 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	74 %	40 %	57 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	66 %	20 %	43 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	60 %	20 %	40 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	57 %	20 %	39 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	49 %	20 %	35 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 2.90 34.7% BetBoom

P2 1.54 65.3% BetBoom

Milavsky D go head-to-head with Sakamoto R on August 14, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Milavsky D 4-0-1, Sakamoto R 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Sakamoto R — 63%

1 · Milavsky D37.1%

market 67%

2 · Sakamoto R ✓ Pick62.9%

market 33%

Model estimate: win Milavsky D 37.1%, win Sakamoto R 62.9%. Model favourite — Sakamoto R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sakamoto R (odds1.52) Score 1:2 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed

• Milavski D: forma VPVVV (4-1)
• Sakamoto R: forma VVPVV (4-1)
• Model backs Sakamoto R: probability 60% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Milavsky D - Sakamoto R August 14, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Milavsky D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Milavsky D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
Glicko: Milavsky D 37.1% / Sakamoto R 62.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.9% 2 books · best price +39.3%

1 66.8%

2 ✓ Pick 33.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.40 ↑ 2.90

Winner 2 1.50 ↓ 1.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Milavsky D

36%

2.32

Sakamoto R

64%

15.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Milavsky D

8-2WWLWWWWLWW

scored 1.7conceded 0.8

Sakamoto R

7-3WWLWLWWLWW

scored 1.6conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1

Boyer, Tristan2

Forbes, Matthew1

Dickerson, Ryan0

Mayo, Aidan2

Puttergill, Calum0

King, Evan2

Dieveney, Eli0

Fenty, Andrew2

Winter, Edward2

Mosejczuk, Dominick0

Manning, William0

Young, Gavin2

Jubb, Paul1

Rai, Ajeet2

Alvarado, Patricio0

Vandecasteele, Quinn2

Johns, Garrett0

Chandrasekar, Anirudh0

Kittay, Benjamin0

Rottgering, Mees2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar2

Godoy, Sebastian0

Hilderbrand, Trey0

Kim, Aidan2

Qualification Final

Boyer, Tristan0

Mayo, Aidan2

King, Evan0

Fenty, Andrew2

Winter, Edward2

Young, Gavin0

Rai, Ajeet0

Vandecasteele, Quinn2

Johns, Garrett0

Rottgering, Mees2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar2

Kim, Aidan0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center

Start 14.08.2026 17:00 UTC

Market 1 93.7% @ 1.01 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00

Coverage grass

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Sakamoto R 63%

💹 Market Milavsky D 67%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Milavsky D - Sakamoto R

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Milavsky D Sakamoto R Result

Set 1 6 3 6:3

Set 2 6 3 6:3

Metric Milavsky D Sakamoto R SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final

Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final

Eysy 0 0 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final

Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final

Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final

Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final

Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 62.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.791 / LogLoss 0.992

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.531 / LogLoss 0.725

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Milavsky D 35.8% 40.7% market and model agree

Sakamoto R 64.2% 59.3% market and model agree

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko37.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.32).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 37.1% / 62.9% probabilities

Rating 1,651 / 1,758 Milavsky D / Sakamoto R

RD 146 / 168 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,360-1,943 / 1,421-2,094 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.54 market consensus · no value · model 62.9%

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 37.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 17.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Over 18.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.65 60.6%
	1.78 56.2%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.88 53.2%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.95 51.3%
	2.02 49.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.92 52.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	2.65 37.7%
	11.50 8.7%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.20 83.3%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.02 98.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	11.50 8.7%
	10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 17.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 18.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 19.5	9.50 10.5%
Over 20.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 21.5	2.60 38.5%
Over 22.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 23.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 25.5	2.40 41.7%
Under 17.5	2.90 34.5%
Under 18.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5	1.02 98.0%
Under 20.5	2.05 48.8%
Under 21.5	1.45 69.0%
Under 22.5	1.62 61.7%
Under 23.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 24.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 25.5	1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	11.50 8.7%
Under 2.5	1.01 99.0%

Match center

Milavsky D

W W L W W

2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Milavsky D Butvilas E 0:2 Milavsky D

2026-08-11 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Milavsky D Balshaw F 1:2 Milavsky D

2026-07-30 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Milavsky D Milavsky D 1:2 Rice K

2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Milavsky D Milavsky D 2:1 Zhou Yi

2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada

Milavsky D Sweeny D 0:2 Milavsky D

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Sakamoto R

W W L W W

2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Suresh D 0:2 Sakamoto R Sakamoto R

2026-08-10 2026 Brownsburg, USA

Blanchet U 1:2 Sakamoto R Sakamoto R

2026-08-07 2026 Lexington, USA

Sakamoto R 1:2 Butvilas E Sakamoto R

2026-08-06 2026 Lexington, USA

Sakamoto R 2:0 Mmoh M Sakamoto R

2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA

Sakamoto R 2:0 Mayo A Sakamoto R

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.6 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMilavsky D - Sakamoto R

Milavsky D

0 matches total

Sakamoto R

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Milavsky D - Sakamoto R

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Milavsky D - Sakamoto R August 14, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Milavsky D - Sakamoto R

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Milavsky D - Sakamoto R

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Milavsky D - Sakamoto R August 14, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Milavsky D - Sakamoto R

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions