Who is the favourite in Tomic B vs Winter E?

By the PropickAI model, Tomic B is favoured — about 61% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Tomic B vs Winter E?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tomic B. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Tomic B win probability ~61% confidence High best odds 1.02

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tomic B. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International

13.08.2026 00:45 UTC Match prediction

Tomic B - Winter E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification

ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification grass 13.08.2026 00:45 UTC Finished

13.08.2026 00:45 UTC Finished

Tomic B

Rank #160 Elo 352

56Average Form

L W W W L W L W

Winter E

Rank #348 Elo 149

56Average Form

W L W W W W W W

2:1 6:7 6:4 6:3

1 2 3 GP

Tomic B 6 6 6 2

Winter E 7 4 3 1

1 2 3

Coverage: grass

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Tomic B	Winter E
Win %	54.2%	0%
Hard %	57.6%	0%
Clay %	40.2%	0%
Grass %	53.5%	0%
Deciding set %	56.3%	0%
Tie-breaks %	55.7%	0%
Titles (total)	10	0
Last 10	LWWLWLWWWW	L

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#160 Rating #348

33 Age 21

1.96m Height (cm) 1.78m

91kg Weight (kg) 73kg

Right Hand Right

- Seed -

grass Coverage grass

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Tomic B	Winter E
Aces per match	4.23	2.16
Double faults per match	1.69	2.26
Breaks per match	1.69	4.76

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Bernard Tomic

Rank:160 Elo: 352

L W W W L W L W

Edward Winter

Rank:348 Elo: 149

W L W W W W W W

Elo favourite:Tomic B (edge +203 Elo)

Hard

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	58.6% 17 / 29 Matches	59.4% 19 / 32 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	60.0% 36 / 60 Matches	60.0% 30 / 50 Matches

Clay

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	50.0% 2 / 4 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	50.0% 2 / 4 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	40.0% 2 / 5 Matches	0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	40.0% 2 / 5 Matches	0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
H2H wins	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Sets	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Wins this year	56.1% 23 / 41 Matches	55.9% 19 / 34 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	57.5% 42 / 73 Matches	57.7% 30 / 52 Matches
Current rank	160	348

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
Prize money (career)	$6,620,949 USD	$131,646 USD
Rating	160	348
Age	33	21
Height	1.96m	1.78m
Weight	91kg	73kg
Playing hand	Right-handed	Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
Match Wins	56 %	56 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	55 %	56 %
Match Wins (5 Sets)	50 %	N/A
Wins in Straight Sets	34 %	29 %
Wins From Behind	28 %	29 %
Won At Least 1 Set	71 %	71 %
Set 1 Win	46 %	47 %
Set 2 Win	58 %	52 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	0	0
1st serve percentage	0%	0%
1st serve points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
2nd serve points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved	0/0	0/0
1st return points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
2nd return points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted	0/0	0/0
Service Points Won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Return Points Won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Total Points Won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Last 10 balls	0	0
Match points saved	0	0
Service games won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Return games won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Total games won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter	Match total
Average Games in a Set	9.83	9.35	9.59
Over 6.5	97 %	97 %	97 %
Over 7.5	87 %	85 %	86 %
Over 8.5	74 %	68 %	71 %
Over 9.5	47 %	41 %	44 %
Over 10.5	29 %	21 %	25 %
Over 11.5	29 %	21 %	25 %

Aces

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter	Match total
Aces Per Match	4.23	2.16	6.39
Most Aces in a match	23 %	39 %	N/A
1+	90 %	81 %	97 %
2+	77 %	58 %	94 %
3+	62 %	42 %	90 %
4+	54 %	19 %	86 %
5+	41 %	6 %	76 %

Breaks

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter	Match total
Breaks Per Match	1.69	4.76	6.45
Over 0.5	59 %	100 %	100 %
Over 1.5	15 %	100 %	100 %
Over 2.5	13 %	97 %	98 %
Over 3.5	8 %	52 %	57 %
Over 4.5	3 %	52 %	32 %
Over 5.5	3 %	48 %	30 %

Tie-breaks

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.47	0.32	0.4
Over 0.5	37 %	26 %	32 %
Over 1.5	11 %	6 %	8 %
Under 0.5	63 %	74 %	32 %
Under 1.5	89 %	94 %	8 %

Double faults

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	1.69	2.26	3.95
Over 0.5 (1+)	67 %	71 %	96 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	44 %	65 %	85 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	21 %	42 %	72 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	18 %	16 %	62 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	13 %	6 %	49 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	3 %	6 %	42 %

Net points

	Bernard Tomic	Edward Winter	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	8.16	10	18.16
Over 4.5 (5+)	68 %	71 %	70 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	55 %	57 %	56 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	32 %	57 %	45 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	27 %	57 %	42 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	23 %	57 %	40 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	18 %	43 %	31 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 1.55 87.7% BetBoom

P2 11.00 12.4% BetBoom

Tomic B face Winter E on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tomic B 3-1-1, Winter E 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tomic B — 61%

1 · Tomic B ✓ Pick60.7%

market 61%

2 · Winter E39.3%

market 39%

Model estimate: win Tomic B 60.7%, win Winter E 39.3%. Model favourite — Tomic B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tomic B (odds1.32) Score 2:1 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Tomich B: forma PVVVP (3-2)
• Uinter E: forma VVPVV (4-1)
• liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.30 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Tomich B: probability 69% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tomic B - Winter E August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tomic B.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tomic B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 11.00
Glicko: Tomic B 60.7% / Winter E 39.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.4% 6 books · best price +2.3%

1 ✓ Pick 61.2%

2 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.40 ↓ 1.02

Winner 2 2.70 ↑ 11.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Tomic B

61%

1.55

Winter E

39%

11.00

Total

Over 22.5

48%

1.99

Under 22.5

52%

1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tomic B

9-1WWWWWWWWLW

scored 1.8conceded 0.7

Winter E

5-5LWLLWLWLWW

scored 1.2conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1

Boyer, Tristan2

Forbes, Matthew1

Dickerson, Ryan0

Mayo, Aidan2

Puttergill, Calum0

King, Evan2

Dieveney, Eli0

Fenty, Andrew2

Winter, Edward2

Mosejczuk, Dominick0

Manning, William0

Young, Gavin2

Jubb, Paul1

Rai, Ajeet2

Alvarado, Patricio0

Vandecasteele, Quinn2

Johns, Garrett0

Chandrasekar, Anirudh0

Kittay, Benjamin0

Rottgering, Mees2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar2

Godoy, Sebastian0

Hilderbrand, Trey0

Kim, Aidan2

Qualification Final

Boyer, Tristan0

Mayo, Aidan2

King, Evan0

Fenty, Andrew2

Winter, Edward2

Young, Gavin0

Rai, Ajeet0

Vandecasteele, Quinn2

Johns, Garrett0

Rottgering, Mees2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar2

Kim, Aidan0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 19:28 UTC

1 68% ✓ favourite

2 32%

Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	68%	32%	2:0	Under 22.5

Match center

Start 13.08.2026 00:45 UTC

Market 1 91.5% @ 1.02 / 2 8.5% @ 11.00

Coverage grass

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Tomic B 68%

📐 Math model Tomic B 61%

💹 Market Tomic B 61%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Tomic B - Winter E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 20

Set Tomic B Winter E Result

Set 1 6 7 6:7

Set 2 6 4 6:4

Set 3 6 3 6:3

Metric Tomic B Winter E SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final

Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

Eysy 0 0 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final

Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final

Pervaya podacha, % 0% 0% final

Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 60.7% fact: home hit / ROI 55.0% / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.500

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 55.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tomic B 61.2% 58.1% market and model agree

Winter E 38.8% 41.9% market and model agree

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko60.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.30).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 60.7% / 39.3% probabilities

Rating 1,772 / 1,683 Tomic B / Winter E

RD 137 / 163 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,499-2,046 / 1,356-2,010 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 39.3%

1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 60.7%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only

Over 20.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.95 51.3%
1.76 56.8%	1.78 56.2%	—
1.84 54.4%	1.80 55.6%	—
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	—	1.88 53.2%
1.97 50.8%	1.93 51.8%	2.20 45.5%
1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	—
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.88 53.2%
—	—	6.80 14.7%
—	—	11.50 8.7%
—	—	2.20 45.5%
—	—	1.60 62.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.22 82.0%
	10.00 10.0%
	1.02 98.0%
	3.85 26.0%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 20.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5	1.86 53.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5	1.91 52.4%	1.94 51.6%	1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 26.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Over 27.5	—	—	1.78 56.2%
Over 28.5	—	—	1.75 57.1%
Over 29.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%
Under 21.5	1.86 53.8%	1.96 51.0%	—
Under 22.5	1.81 55.3%	1.77 56.5%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.22 82.0%
Under 2.5	3.85 26.0%

Match center

Tomic B

L W W W D

2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Tomic B Norrie C 2:0 Tomic B

2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Tomic B Tomic B 2:0 Khachanov K

2026-07-28 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Tomic B Hernandez Alex 0:2 Tomic B

2026-07-26 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying

Tomic B Tobon M 1:2 Tomic B

2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA

Tomic B Tomic B 0:0 Boyer T

3 Wins

1 Losses

1.2 Sets won

0.6 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Winter E

W W L W L

2026-08-10 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Winter E 2:0 Young Gavin Winter E

2026-08-09 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Winter E 2:0 Mosejczuk D Winter E

2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Winter E 0:2 Brooksby J Winter E

2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Kouame M 0:2 Winter E Winter E

2026-07-27 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying

Kwon Soon Woo 2:0 Winter E Winter E

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.2 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTomic B - Winter E

Tomic B

0 matches total

Winter E

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Tomic B - Winter E

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Tomic B - Winter E August 13, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

AI predictions

Tomic B - Winter E

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Tomic B - Winter E

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Tomic B - Winter E August 13, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

AI predictions

Tomic B - Winter E

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions