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AI verdict

AI pick Fenty A win probability ~53% best odds 1.85

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Fenty A. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification International
17.08.2026 15:00 UTC

Fenty A - Zhu Evan

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification grass 17.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
17.08.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
Fenty A
Fenty A
Rank #600 Elo 66
59Average Form
W L W W W W L W
Zhu Evan
Zhu Evan
Rank #401 Elo 124
60Average Form
W W W L W W L W
-:-
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Fenty A Zhu Evan
Win % 55.8% 52.9%
Hard % 56.2% 52.8%
Clay % 52.4% 55.4%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 47.8% 61.8%
Tie-breaks % 45.7% 55.6%
Titles (total) 1 3
Last 10 WLWWLLWWLW WLWWWWLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#600 Rating #401
28 Age 26
1.85m Height (cm) 1.93m
75kg Weight (kg) 88kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Fenty A Zhu Evan
Aces per match 3.37 4.30
Double faults per match 2.79 2.75
Breaks per match 2.47 3.62

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Evan Zhu
Rank:600 Elo: 66
W L W W W W L W
Andrew Fenty
Rank:401 Elo: 124
W W W L W W L W
Elo favourite:Fenty A (edge +58 Elo)

Hard

Evan ZhuAndrew Fenty
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 56.5% 26 / 46 Matches 61.9% 26 / 42 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 51.6% 33 / 64 Matches 63.6% 42 / 66 Matches

Clay

Evan ZhuAndrew Fenty
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 83.3% 5 / 6 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 83.3% 5 / 6 Matches 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches

Grass

Evan ZhuAndrew Fenty
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (66.7%) 1 (33.3%)
Wins this year 59.3% 32 / 54 Matches 60.0% 30 / 50 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 53.4% 39 / 73 Matches 62.2% 46 / 74 Matches
Current rank 600 401

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty
Prize money (career) $131,701 USD $26,083 USD
Rating 600 401
Age 28 26
Height 1.85m 1.93m
Weight 75kg 88kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty
Match Wins 59 % 60 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 60 % 61 %
Wins in Straight Sets 35 % 48 %
Wins From Behind 19 % 14 %
Won At Least 1 Set 70 % 80 %
Set 1 Win 59 % 64 %
Set 2 Win 46 % 65 %
Set 3 Win 68 % 43 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jun 13 2019 M25 Wichita, KS ITF Men (Hard) Evan Zhu 2 – 1 Andrew Fenty

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.35 9.16 9.26
Over 6.5 92 % 92 % 92 %
Over 7.5 87 % 82 % 85 %
Over 8.5 65 % 67 % 66 %
Over 9.5 42 % 39 % 41 %
Over 10.5 23 % 16 % 20 %
Over 11.5 23 % 16 % 20 %

Aces

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty Match total
Aces Per Match 3.37 4.30 7.67
Most Aces in a match 37 % 40 % N/A
1+ 89 % 90 % 98 %
2+ 68 % 75 % 95 %
3+ 58 % 60 % 87 %
4+ 47 % 55 % 85 %
5+ 32 % 45 % 77 %

Breaks

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.47 3.62 6.09
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 26 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 16 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 16 % 95 % 100 %
Over 4.5 16 % 55 % 79 %
Over 5.5 5 % 0 % 38 %

Tie-breaks

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.33 0.27 0.3
Over 0.5 27 % 24 % 26 %
Over 1.5 6 % 2 % 4 %
Under 0.5 73 % 76 % 26 %
Under 1.5 94 % 98 % 4 %

Double faults

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.79 2.75 5.54
Over 0.5 (1+) 84 % 95 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 68 % 75 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 58 % 45 % 88 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 32 % 25 % 88 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 21 % 25 % 67 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 16 % 5 % 60 %

Net points

Evan Zhu Andrew Fenty Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 11.43 8.7 20.13
Over 4.5 (5+) 86 % 90 % 88 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 86 % 90 % 88 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 86 % 90 % 88 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 86 % 50 % 68 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 86 % 40 % 63 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 86 % 30 % 58 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.80 53.9% BetBoom
P2 2.10 46.2% BetBoom

Fenty A face Zhu Evan on August 17, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fenty A 4-0-1, Zhu Evan 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Fenty A — 53%

1 · Fenty A53.3%
2 · Zhu Evan46.7%

Model estimate: win Fenty A 53.3%, win Zhu Evan 46.7%. Model favourite — Fenty A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fenty A (odds1.68) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Fenti E: forma VPVV (3-1)
  • • Chzhu Evan: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.68→1.67 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Fenti E: probability 54% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fenty A - Zhu Evan August 17, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fenty A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 6 books · best price +4.2%
1 52.2%
2 47.8%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.68 ↑ 1.80
Winner P2 2.05 ↓ 1.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Fenty A
54%
1.85
Zhu Evan
46%
2.04
Total
Over 22.5
50%
1.90
Under 22.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 17.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 50.7% @ 1.85 / 2 49.3% @ 1.90
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Fenty A 53%
💹 Market Fenty A 52%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Fenty A - Zhu Evan

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fenty A 54.2% 52.0% market and model agree
Zhu Evan 45.8% 48.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko53.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.46).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.3% / 46.7% probabilities
Rating 1,554 / 1,751 Fenty A / Zhu Evan
RD 220 / 177 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,114-1,995 / 1,396-2,106 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 46.7%
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 53.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.90 52.6% — 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
1.80 55.6% — — 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.85 54.1% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
2.95 33.9%
1.35 74.1%
3.00 33.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 24.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%
Under 23.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
Under 24.5 — — 1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Fenty A
W L W W W
2026-08-16 2026 Kingston, Jamaica, Qualifying
Fenty A Fenty A 2:1 Heck H
2026-08-12 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Fenty A Harris L 2:0 Fenty A
2026-08-10 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Fenty A King Evan 0:2 Fenty A
2026-08-09 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Fenty A Dieveney E 0:2 Fenty A
2026-07-14 2026 Lincoln, USA
Fenty A Wolf J J 0:1 Fenty A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Zhu Evan
W L W W L
2026-08-16 2026 Kingston, Jamaica, Qualifying
Browning T 0:2 Zhu Evan Zhu Evan
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Lajal M 2:0 Zhu Evan Zhu Evan
2026-07-28 2026 Vancouver, Canada, Qualifying
Zhu Evan 2:1 Langmo C Zhu Evan
2026-07-27 2026 Vancouver, Canada, Qualifying
Zhu Evan 2:1 Shepp A Zhu Evan
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Zhu Evan 0:2 Kokkinakis T Zhu Evan
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

Recent form

Fenty A WLWWWW
Zhu Evan WLWWLW

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Frequently asked questions

When does Fenty A vs Zhu Evan start?

August 17, 2026.