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AI verdict

AI pick Kim Aidan win probability ~90% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kim Aidan. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification International
16.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

Mallory R - Kim Aidan

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification grass 16.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
16.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
Mallory R
Mallory R
Rank #574 Elo 69
70Good Form
L W L W L W W L
Kim Aidan
Kim Aidan
0Very Bad Form
W L W L W W W W
0:2 3:6 1:6
1 2 GP
Mallory R 3 1 0
Kim Aidan 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Mallory R Kim Aidan
Win % 28.6% 0%
Hard % 28.6% 0%
Clay % 0% 0%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 0% 0%
Tie-breaks % 20% 0%
Titles (total) 0 0
Last 10 LLWLLWLLLL L

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#574 Rating -
21 Age -
1.91m Height (cm) -
82kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Mallory R Kim Aidan
Aces per match 7.57 N/A
Double faults per match 2.43 N/A
Breaks per match 12 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Aidan Kim
Rank:574 Elo: 69
L W L W L W W L
Richard Mallory
W L W L W W W W

Hard

Aidan KimRichard Mallory
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 70.0% 14 / 20 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 22 / 33 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Aces Per Match 7.57 N/A
Most Aces in a match 86 % N/A

Clay

Aidan KimRichard Mallory
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Grass

Aidan KimRichard Mallory
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 70.0% 14 / 20 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 66.7% 22 / 33 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Current rank 574 -

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory
Prize money (career) $17,460 USD $0 USD
Rating 574 —
Age 21 —
Height 1.91m —
Weight 82kg —

Win percentage (match / set)

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory
Match Wins 70 % 0 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 70 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 60 % 0 %
Wins From Behind 14 % 0 %
Won At Least 1 Set 80 % 33 %
Set 1 Win 70 % 33 %
Set 2 Win 70 % 0 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.9 9.67 9.79
Over 6.5 100 % 67 % 84 %
Over 7.5 85 % 67 % 76 %
Over 8.5 70 % 67 % 69 %
Over 9.5 45 % 67 % 56 %
Over 10.5 30 % 33 % 32 %
Over 11.5 30 % 33 % 32 %

Aces

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory Match total
Aces Per Match 7.57 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 86 % N/A N/A
1+ 100 % N/A N/A
2+ 100 % N/A N/A
3+ 100 % N/A N/A
4+ 100 % N/A N/A
5+ 86 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory Match total
Breaks Per Match 12 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 100 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.45 0.67 0.56
Over 0.5 40 % 67 % 53 %
Over 1.5 5 % 0 % 3 %
Under 0.5 60 % 33 % 53 %
Under 1.5 95 % 100 % 3 %

Double faults

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.43 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 71 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 71 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 43 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 29 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 14 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 14 % N/A N/A

Net points

Aidan Kim Richard Mallory Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.5 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 100 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 17.00 5.7% BetBoom
P2 1.02 94.3% BetBoom

Mallory R take on Kim Aidan on August 16, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Kingston. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mallory R 0-0-5, Kim Aidan 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 10% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kim Aidan — 90%

1 · Mallory R9.7%
market 7%
2 · Kim Aidan ✓ Pick90.3%
market 93%

Model estimate: win Mallory R 9.7%, win Kim Aidan 90.3%. Model favourite — Kim Aidan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallory R - Kim Aidan August 16, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kim Aidan.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kim Aidan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Mallory R 9.7% / Kim Aidan 90.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.0% 4 books
1 7.0%
2 ✓ Pick 93.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 11.00 → 11.00
Winner 2 1.01 → 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mallory R
7%
17.00
Kim Aidan
93%
1.02
Total
Over 17.5
49%
1.92
Under 17.5
51%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 16.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
Coverage grass
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Kim Aidan 90%
💹 Market Kim Aidan 93%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Mallory R - Kim Aidan

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Mallory R Kim Aidan Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 1 6 1:6
Metric Mallory R Kim Aidan SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/10 0/1 final
Points na prieme 49% (32/65) 21% (9/42) final
Eysy 7 3 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 1/1 6/10 final
Dvoynye oshibki 1 6 final
Pervaya podacha, % 71% 63% final
Points na pervoy podache 80% (24/30) 61% (25/41) final
Points na vtoroy podache 75% (9/12) 33% (8/24) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 90.3% fact: away hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.019 / LogLoss 0.102
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.8% fact: away hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.408 / LogLoss 0.601
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mallory R 5.7% 9.7%
Kim Aidan 94.3% 90.3% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 9.7% / 90.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,667 Mallory R / Kim Aidan
RD 350 / 157 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,353-1,981 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 90.3%
Total
Over 16.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4%
— 1.65 60.6% —
1.68 59.5% — 1.68 59.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
5.70 17.5%
1.10 90.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 16.5 — 1.48 67.6% —
Over 17.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1%
Over 18.5 — 2.35 42.6% —
Over 19.5 — 2.90 34.5% —
Under 16.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
Under 17.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
Under 18.5 — 1.52 65.8% —
Under 19.5 — 1.35 74.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 6.10 16.4%
Under 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Mallory R
L L L L L
2025-11-05 2025 Boca Raton Men 09, Group B
Mallory R Mallory R 1:2 Yack A
2025-11-04 2025 Boca Raton Men 09, Group B
Mallory R Mallory R 1:2 Azoulay E
2025-11-02
Mallory R Wong Avner 2:0 Mallory R
2025-11-02 2025 Boca Raton Men 09, Group B
Mallory R Mallory R 1:2 Hotze L-J
2024-11-29 2024 Dominican Republic F6, Singles
Mallory R Jones Miles 2:0 Mallory R
0 Wins
5 Losses
0.6 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Kim Aidan
L W L W L
2026-08-10 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Suresh D 2:0 Kim Aidan Kim Aidan
2026-08-09 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Hilderbrand T 0:2 Kim Aidan Kim Aidan
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Kwon Soon Woo 2:1 Kim Aidan Kim Aidan
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Kim Aidan 2:0 Poling K Kim Aidan
2026-06-03 2026 Tyler, USA
Draxl L 2:0 Kim Aidan Kim Aidan
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Mallory R LLLLLL
Kim Aidan WLWLWL

Match facts

Round: 14 Stadium: Centre Court

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mallory R vs Kim Aidan?

By the PropickAI model, Kim Aidan is favoured — about 90% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Mallory R vs Kim Aidan?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kim Aidan. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Mallory R vs Kim Aidan start?

August 16, 2026.