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ATP Challenger Lexington, USA Men Doubles
ATP Challenger Lexington, USA Men Doubles
04.08.2026 21:40 UTC Match prediction

Nam J / Stalder R - Loutit J./Stephenson E.

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger Lexington, USA Men Doubles
ATP Challenger Lexington, USA Men Doubles hard 04.08.2026 21:40 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 21:40 UTC Finished
N
Nam J / Stalder R
L
Loutit J./Stephenson E.
2:0
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 1.13 83.2% BetBoom
P2 5.60 16.8% BetBoom

Nam J / Stalder R face Loutit J./Stephenson E. on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Lexington, USA Men Doubles.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 80% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Nam J / Stalder R — 80%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nam J / Stalder R): model 52% · market 83% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nam J / Stalder R ✓ Pick79.8%
market83%
2 · Loutit J./Stephenson E.20.2%
market17%

Model estimate: win Nam J / Stalder R 79.8%, win Loutit J./Stephenson E. 20.2%. Model favourite — Nam J / Stalder R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nam J / Stalder R - Loutit J./Stephenson E. August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nam J / Stalder R.

Line favourite market consensus: Nam J / Stalder R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / 2 5.60
  • Glicko: Nam J / Stalder R 79.8% / Loutit J./Stephenson E. 20.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 82.8%
2 17.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Nam J / Stalder R
83%
1.13
Loutit J./Stephenson E.
17%
5.60

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 21:40 UTC
Market 1 83.2% @ 1.13 / 2 16.8% @ 5.60
Coverage hard
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Nam J / Stalder R 80%
💹 Market Nam J / Stalder R 83%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Nam J / Stalder R - Loutit J./Stephenson E.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, coverage home - 79.8% fact: home hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.082 / LogLoss 0.226
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, coverage home - 53.6% fact: home hit / ROI 13.0% / Brier 0.431 / LogLoss 0.624
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nam J / Stalder R 82.8% 79.8% market and model agree
Loutit J./Stephenson E. 17.2% 20.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 79.8% / 20.2% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Nam J / Stalder R / Loutit J./Stephenson E.
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.33 market consensus · no value · model 20.2%
1 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 79.8%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
5.60 17.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.40 18.5%