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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

Baris O - Broady L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
Baris O
Baris O
L W L W W
Broady L
Broady L
L L L L W
2:0 6:4 7:5
1 2 GP
Baris O 6 7 2
Broady L 4 5 0
1 2
Odds
P1 2.16 43.2% BetBoom
P2 1.64 56.8% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Baris O go head-to-head with Broady L on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Baris O 3-0-2, Broady L 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Broady L — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Broady L): model 36% · market 57% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Baris O45.1%
2 · Broady L54.9%

Model estimate: win Baris O 45.1%, win Broady L 54.9%. Model favourite — Broady L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Broady L (odds1.52) Score 1:2 confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Baris O: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Brodi L: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs Brodi L: probability 58% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Baris O - Broady L August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Broady L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Broady L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / 2 1.62
  • Glicko: Baris O 45.1% / Broady L 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 43.0%
2 57.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.35 ↓ 2.15
Winner 2 1.52 ↑ 1.62

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 43.0% @ 2.15 / 2 57.0% @ 1.62
Form 6 matches
Match center

Baris O - Broady L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Baris O Broady L Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 7 5 7:5
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 54.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.603 / LogLoss 0.797
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.512 / LogLoss 0.705
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Baris O 43.0% 45.1%
Broady L 57.0% 54.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.1% / 54.9% probabilities
Rating 1,814 / 1,355 Baris O / Broady L
RD 146 / 241 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,522-2,106 / 874-1,836 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 Fonbet · no value · model 54.9%
1 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 45.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
— 2.08 48.1% —
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% —
1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%
— 1.57 63.7% —
— 2.25 44.4% —
— 1.67 59.9% —
— 1.77 56.5% —
— 1.93 51.8% —
— 2.25 44.4% —
— 1.58 63.3% —
1.81 55.3% — —
1.91 52.4% — 1.91 52.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — 1.55 64.5% —
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8%
Over 23.5 — 2.15 46.5% —
Over 24.5 — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 — 2.30 43.5% —
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
Under 23.5 — 1.62 61.7% —
Under 24.5 — 1.57 63.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3%
1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Baris O
L W L W W
2026-07-07 2026 Newport, USA, Qualifying
Baris O Baris O 0:2 Zink T
2026-07-05 2026 Newport, USA, Qualifying
Baris O Sun F 0:2 Baris O
2026-07-04 2026 Cary, USA
Baris O Legout T 2:0 Baris O
2026-07-02 2026 Cary, USA
Baris O Ellis B 0:2 Baris O
2026-07-01 2026 Cary, USA
Baris O Baris O 2:1 Ficovich J P
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Broady L
L L L L W
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Broady L 1:2 Hara Friend J D Broady L
2026-07-21 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Shimizu Y 2:0 Broady L Broady L
2026-07-14 2026 Granby, Canada
Vukic A 2:1 Broady L Broady L
2026-07-10 2026 Newport, USA
Broady L 0:2 Michelsen A Broady L
2026-07-09 2026 Newport, USA
Broady L 2:0 Ilagan A Broady L
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBaris O - Broady L

Baris O
0 matches total
Broady L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history