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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
04.08.2026 17:20 UTC Match prediction

Bolt A - Shelbayh A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington grass 04.08.2026 17:20 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 17:20 UTC Finished
Bolt A
Bolt A
L W L L W
Shelbayh A
Shelbayh A
W W L W L
0:2 2:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Bolt A 2 3 0
Shelbayh A 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 15.00 10.2% BetBoom
P2 1.71 89.8% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Bolt A go head-to-head with Shelbayh A on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bolt A 2-0-3, Shelbayh A 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 46% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shelbayh A — 54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shelbayh A): model 52% · market 55% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bolt A45.7%
2 · Shelbayh A54.3%

Model estimate: win Bolt A 45.7%, win Shelbayh A 54.3%. Model favourite — Shelbayh A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shelbayh A (odds2.10) Score 1:2 confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Bolt A: forma V (1-0)
  • • Shelbay A: forma VVV (3-0)
  • • Model backs Shelbay A: probability 52% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bolt A - Shelbayh A August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shelbayh A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shelbayh A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Bolt A 45.7% / Shelbayh A 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books
1 45.4%
2 54.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.65 ↑ 15.00
Winner 2 2.10 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 13:28 UTC
1 46%
2 54% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data Form:LLWLL / WLLWW H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no
Claude updated04.08.2026 13:31 UTC
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 46% 54% 1:2 Over 22.5
Claude 44% 56% 0:2 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:20 UTC
Market 1 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 93.7% @ 1.01
Coverage grass
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Shelbayh A 55%
📐 Math model Shelbayh A 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Bolt A - Shelbayh A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Bolt A Shelbayh A Result
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 54.3% fact: away hit / ROI 71.0% / Brier 0.418 / LogLoss 0.611
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.5% fact: away hit / ROI 71.0% / Brier 0.490 / LogLoss 0.683
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bolt A 45.5% 45.7%
Shelbayh A 54.5% 54.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.7% / 54.3% probabilities
Rating 1,595 / 1,733 Bolt A / Shelbayh A
RD 268 / 210 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,059-2,131 / 1,313-2,154 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 54.3%
1 2.04 market consensus · no value · model 45.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% — —
1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
1.81 55.3% — —
1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1% —
1.91 52.4% — 1.78 56.2%
1.86 53.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.15 46.5%
1.86 53.8% — 1.67 59.9%
1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — — 1.14 87.7%
Over 17.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 18.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 19.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 20.5 — — 6.30 15.9%
Over 21.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 22.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 2.05 48.8%
Over 23.5 1.97 50.8% — 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 16.5 — — 4.70 21.3%
Under 17.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Under 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 23.5 1.76 56.8% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 15.00 6.7% 2.03 49.3%
1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Bolt A
L W L L W
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Bolt A Vukic A 2:0 Bolt A
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Bolt A McCabe J 0:2 Bolt A
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Bolt A Tarvet O 2:0 Bolt A
2026-06-14 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying
Bolt A Bellucci M 2:1 Bolt A
2026-06-13 2026 Halle, Germany, Qualifying
Bolt A Mackenzie J 1:2 Bolt A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Shelbayh A
W W L W L
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Shelbayh A 2:0 Rottgering M Shelbayh A
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Shelbayh A 2:1 Sheehy J Shelbayh A
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Damm M 2:1 Shelbayh A Shelbayh A
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Shelbayh A 2:0 Harris B Shelbayh A
2026-07-20 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Zheng Michael 2:0 Shelbayh A Shelbayh A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBolt A - Shelbayh A

Bolt A
0 matches total
Shelbayh A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history