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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

Butvilas E - Boyer T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington grass 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
Butvilas E
Butvilas E
L L L L L
Boyer T
Boyer T
W W W L L
2:1 6:3 3:6 6:3
1 2 3 GP
Butvilas E 6 3 6 2
Boyer T 3 6 3 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 2.27 41.3% BetBoom
P2 1.60 58.7% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Butvilas E take on Boyer T on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Butvilas E 0-0-5, Boyer T 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Boyer T — 58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Boyer T): model 55% · market 58% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Butvilas E42.1%
2 · Boyer T ✓ Pick57.9%

Model estimate: win Butvilas E 42.1%, win Boyer T 57.9%. Model favourite — Boyer T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Boyer T (odds1.33) Score 1:2 confidence 68% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Butvilas E: forma P (0-1)
  • • Boyer T: forma VVPV (3-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.33→1.35 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Boyer T: probability 68% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Butvilas E - Boyer T August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boyer T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Boyer T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / 2 1.60
  • Glicko: Butvilas E 42.1% / Boyer T 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +1.3%
1 41.8%
2 ✓ Pick 58.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.05 ↓ 2.20
Winner 2 1.33 ↑ 1.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 12:49 UTC
1 36%
2 64% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0:1
Claude updated04.08.2026 12:52 UTC
1 43%
2 57% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 36% 64% 1:2 Over 21.5
Claude 43% 57% 1:2 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 42.1% @ 2.20 / 2 57.9% @ 1.60
Coverage grass
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Boyer T 61%
📐 Math model Boyer T 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Butvilas E - Boyer T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Butvilas E Boyer T Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 6 3 6:3
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 57.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.671 / LogLoss 0.866
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.519 / LogLoss 0.712
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Butvilas E 41.8% 42.1%
Boyer T 58.2% 57.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.1% / 57.9% probabilities
Rating 1,420 / 1,667 Butvilas E / Boyer T
RD 280 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 860-1,981 / 1,233-2,100 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 57.9%
1 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 42.1%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.13 47.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 1.73 57.8%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% —
1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 21.5 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.68 59.5%
Over 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.92 52.1%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 20.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 21.5 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8%
Under 22.5 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%
Under 23.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Under 24.5 — — 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.17 46.1% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8%
1.58 63.3% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Butvilas E
L L L L L
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Butvilas E McDonald M 2:1 Butvilas E
2026-07-18 2026 Estoril, Portugal, Qualifying
Butvilas E Butvilas E 1:2 Tabur C
2026-07-11 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland, Qualifying
Butvilas E Huesler M-A 2:0 Butvilas E
2026-06-30 2026 Brasov, Romania
Butvilas E Ferreira Silva F 2:0 Butvilas E
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Butvilas E Butvilas E 1:2 Echargui M
0 Wins
5 Losses
0.6 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Boyer T
W W W L D
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Cerundolo F 0:1 Boyer T Boyer T
2026-07-28 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Diallo G 0:2 Boyer T Boyer T
2026-07-26 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying
Boyer T 2:0 Claverie L Boyer T
2026-07-23 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J 2:0 Boyer T Boyer T
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Tomic B 0:0 Boyer T Boyer T
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyButvilas E - Boyer T

Butvilas E
0 matches total
Boyer T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history