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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

ATP Challenger. Lexington

Nakashima Bryce - Rottgering M

International Tennis
Nakashima Bryce
Nakashima Bryce
0 : 2
1:6 3:6
Finished
Rottgering M
Rottgering M

Nakashima Bryce meet Rottgering M on August 2, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nakashima Bryce 3-0-2, Rottgering M 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rottgering M (odds1.73) Score 1:2 confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • Nakashima Brays: forma PVV (2-1)
  • Rottgering M: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • Model backs Rottgering M: probability 52% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nakashima Bryce - Rottgering M August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rottgering M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books
1 42.4%
2 57.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Nakashima Bryce

no data

Rottgering M
6-4WWLLWWLWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Lexington, USA

1/16-finals (R32)
Echargui, Moez0
Johnson, Spencer2
Friend, Jay2
Smith, Colton1
Arseneault, Nicolas0
Martin, Andres2
Hurrion, Millen2
Pinnington Jones, Jack0
Schoolkate, Tristan0
Kwon, Soonwoo0
Andrade, Andres0
Ilagan, Andre2
Hsu, Yu Hsiou1
Gorzny, Sebastian2
Gill, Felix1
Gojo, Borna2
Sakamoto, Rei2
Mayo, Aidan0
Wendelken, Harry0
Mmoh, Michael2
Baris, Ozan2
Broady, Liam0
Butvilas, Edas2
Boyer, Tristan1
Bolt, Alex0
Shelbayh, Abdullah2
Cina, Federico2
Ymer, Elias0
Searle, Henry1
Harris, Lloyd2
McCabe, James1
Lajovic, Dusan2
1/8-finals (R16)
Johnson, Spencer2
Friend, Jay0
Martin, Andres2
Hurrion, Millen1
Kwon, Soonwoo1
Ilagan, Andre2
Gorzny, Sebastian2
Gojo, Borna1
Sakamoto, Rei2
Mmoh, Michael0
Baris, Ozan0
Butvilas, Edas2
Shelbayh, Abdullah2
Cina, Federico0
Harris, Lloyd1
Lajovic, Dusan2
Quarterfinals
Johnson, Spencer2
Martin, Andres1
Ilagan, Andre2
Gorzny, Sebastian0
Sakamoto, Rei1
Butvilas, Edas2
Shelbayh, Abdullah1
Lajovic, Dusan2
Semifinals
Johnson, Spencer0
Ilagan, Andre2
Butvilas, Edas2
Lajovic, Dusan1
Final
Ilagan, Andre0
Butvilas, Edas0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Nakashima Bryce - Rottgering M

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 55.9% fact: away hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.389 / LogLoss 0.582
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 50.7% fact: away hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.486 / LogLoss 0.679
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 2.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% 1.78 56.2%
1.81 55.3% 1.76 56.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.25 80.0%
1.04 96.2%
1.15 87.0%
2.65 37.7%
1.82 55.0%
1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 16.5 4.30 23.3%
Over 17.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 18.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 19.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 20.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% 2.05 48.8%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 15.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 16.5 1.16 86.2%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 11.00 9.1% 2.18 45.9%
1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.61 62.1%
Match center
Nakashima Bryce
L W L W W
2025-09-15 2025 Columbus, USA, Qualifying
Nakashima Bryce Nakashima Bryce 0:2 Boulais J
2025-09-14 2025 Columbus, USA, Qualifying
Nakashima Bryce Matsuda Ryuki 0:2 Nakashima Bryce
2024-11-15 2024 USA F35, Singles
Nakashima Bryce Nakashima Bryce 0:2 Pham D
2024-11-14 2024 USA F35, Singles
Nakashima Bryce Papoe R M 0:2 Nakashima Bryce
2024-11-13 2024 USA F35, Singles
Nakashima Bryce Nakashima Bryce 2:0 Haviland, Ryan
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Rottgering M
L W L W L
2026-07-22 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Hsu Yu Hsiou 2:0 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2026-07-21 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Sun F 0:2 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2026-06-17 2026 Dublin, Ireland
Rottgering M 0:1 Jacquet K Rottgering M
2026-06-16 2026 Dublin, Ireland
Rottgering M 2:0 Buldorini P Rottgering M
2026-06-08 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands
Bonzi B 2:0 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
40% Win percentage