FreeMatch preview

Molleker R — Vrba J

Tennis 26.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Favourite Vrba J best odds 4.60

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP Challenger. Liberec. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Liberec. Qualification
26.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

ATP Challenger. Liberec. Qualification

Molleker R - Vrba J

Tennis
M
Molleker R
1 : 2
Finished
V
Vrba J

Molleker R go head-to-head with Vrba J on July 26, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Liberec. Qualification.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Vrba J

Model confidence 82% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Molleker R (odds1.25) Score 2:0 confidence 64% ✗ outcome missed
  • Melleker R
  • 🇩🇪 — Vrba J
  • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • Melleker R
  • 🇩🇪: forma VVP (2-1)
  • Model backs Melleker R
  • 🇩🇪: probability 64% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Molleker R - Vrba J July 26, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vrba J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.00 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +320.2%
1 77.9%
2 22.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Molleker R
6-4LLWWLWLWWW
sets for 1.4sets against 0.8
Vrba J

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 26.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 18.3% @ 5.00 / 2 81.7% @ 1.12
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Molleker R - Vrba J

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 75.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.137 / LogLoss 1.402
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 53.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.563 / LogLoss 0.756
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.52 65.8%
5.00 20.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.40 41.7%
1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.19 84.0%
3.80 26.3%
2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3%
1.73 57.8%
2.35 42.6%
1.12 89.3%
1.63 61.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.32 75.8%
1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 19.5 1.72 58.1% 2.08 48.1%
Over 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 25.5 2.08 48.1%
Over 26.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 27.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 28.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 29.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 19.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 5.00 20.0% 1.16 86.2%
4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 1.12 89.3% 4.60 21.7%

Frequently asked questions

When does Molleker R vs Vrba J start?

July 26, 2026.