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AI verdict

AI pick Makk P win probability ~64% confidence High best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Makk P. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger. Roehampton. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Roehampton. Qualification International
16.08.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

Makk P - Jones Roan

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Roehampton. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Roehampton. Qualification grass 16.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
16.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
Makk P
Makk P
Rank #553 Elo 75
70Good Form
L W W L W L W W
Jones Roan
Jones Roan
Rank #1253 Elo 9
60Average Form
L W L W L W W L
2:0 7:6 6:3
1 2 GP
Makk P 7 6 2
Jones Roan 6 3 0
1 2
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Makk P Jones Roan
Win % 70.6% 70.4%
Hard % 72.1% 69.4%
Clay % 67.6% 0%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 63% 33.3%
Tie-breaks % 40% 66.7%
Titles (total) 5 2
Last 10 WWWWWLWWLW LLWWWWLWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#553 Rating #1253
24 Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Makk P Jones Roan
Aces per match 5.50 N/A
Double faults per match 3 N/A
Breaks per match 5.1 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Peter Makk
Rank:553 Elo: 75
L W W L W L W W
Roan Jones
Rank:1253 Elo: 9
L W L W L W W L
Elo favourite:Makk P (edge +66 Elo)

Hard

Peter MakkRoan Jones
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 72.2% 13 / 18 Matches 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 64.1% 25 / 39 Matches 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches

Clay

Peter MakkRoan Jones
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 14 / 21 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 63.6% 14 / 22 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Peter MakkRoan Jones
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Peter Makk Roan Jones
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 69.8% 30 / 43 Matches 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 65.2% 43 / 66 Matches 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches
Current rank 553 1253

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Peter Makk Roan Jones
Prize money (career) $4,757 USD $0 USD
Rating 553 1253
Age 24 —

Win percentage (match / set)

Peter Makk Roan Jones
Match Wins 70 % 60 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 69 % 60 %
Wins in Straight Sets 49 % 50 %
Wins From Behind 24 % 0 %
Won At Least 1 Set 86 % 80 %
Set 1 Win 70 % 80 %
Set 2 Win 65 % 56 %
Set 3 Win 56 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Peter Makk Roan Jones Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.81 8.6 8.71
Over 6.5 97 % 90 % 94 %
Over 7.5 82 % 60 % 71 %
Over 8.5 54 % 50 % 52 %
Over 9.5 23 % 40 % 32 %
Over 10.5 10 % 10 % 10 %
Over 11.5 10 % 10 % 10 %

Aces

Peter Makk Roan Jones Match total
Aces Per Match 5.50 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 50 % N/A N/A
1+ 90 % N/A N/A
2+ 80 % N/A N/A
3+ 80 % N/A N/A
4+ 60 % N/A N/A
5+ 40 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Peter Makk Roan Jones Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.1 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 100 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Peter Makk Roan Jones Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.18 0.1 0.14
Over 0.5 15 % 10 % 13 %
Over 1.5 3 % 0 % 1 %
Under 0.5 85 % 90 % 13 %
Under 1.5 97 % 100 % 1 %

Double faults

Peter Makk Roan Jones Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 90 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 60 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 60 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 40 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 20 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 20 % N/A N/A

Net points

Peter Makk Roan Jones Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 9.33 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 67 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 67 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 33 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 33 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.33 69.6% BetBoom
P2 3.05 30.4% BetBoom

Makk P go head-to-head with Jones Roan on August 16, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Roehampton. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Makk P 3-0-2, Jones Roan 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Makk P — 64%

1 · Makk P ✓ Pick63.5%
market 90%
2 · Jones Roan36.5%
market 10%

Model estimate: win Makk P 63.5%, win Jones Roan 36.5%. Model favourite — Makk P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Makk P (odds1.40) Score 2:1 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Makk P: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Dzhons Roan: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Makk P: probability 64% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Makk P - Jones Roan August 16, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Makk P.

Line favourite Fonbet: Makk P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Makk P 63.5% / Jones Roan 36.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 ↓ 1.33
Winner 2 2.75 ↑ 3.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 16.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 89.7% @ 1.03 / 2 10.3% @ 9.00
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Makk P 64%
💹 Market Makk P 90%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Makk P - Jones Roan

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Makk P Jones Roan Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 6 3 6:3
Metric Makk P Jones Roan SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 63.5% fact: home hit / ROI 33.0% / Brier 0.266 / LogLoss 0.453
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.6% fact: home hit / ROI 33.0% / Brier 0.468 / LogLoss 0.661
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Makk P 69.6% 58.2% model more cautious than market
Jones Roan 30.4% 41.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko63.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.41).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.5% / 36.5% probabilities
Rating 1,894 / 1,505 Makk P / Jones Roan
RD 182 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,529-2,258 / 1,134-1,875 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 63.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.62 61.7%
1.38 72.5%
1.02 98.0%
1.03 97.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.80 35.7%
10.00 10.0%
7.20 13.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.67 59.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
1.02 98.0%
10.00 10.0%
5.70 17.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 20.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 22.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 23.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 24.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 25.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 26.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 28.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 29.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 30.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 31.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 19.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 22.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 23.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 24.5 2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Makk P
L W W L W
2026-07-14 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Makk P Makk P 1:2 Seyboth Wild T
2026-07-13 2026 Cordenons, Italy, Qualifying
Makk P Forti F 0:2 Makk P
2026-07-12 2026 Cordenons, Italy, Qualifying
Makk P Delaney Jesse 0:2 Makk P
2026-06-29 2026 Brasov, Romania, Qualifying
Makk P Kuzmanov D 2:1 Makk P
2026-06-28 2026 Brasov, Romania, Qualifying
Makk P Ramanathan R 0:2 Makk P
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Jones Roan
L W W W W
2026-01-15 2026 Chapel Hill Men 01, Group A
Jones Roan 1:2 Yi Muyang Jones Roan
2026-01-14 2026 Chapel Hill Men 01, Group A
Jones Roan 2:0 Fishback D Jones Roan
2026-01-12 2026 Chapel Hill Men 01, Group A
Jones Roan 2:0 Gurenko V Jones Roan
2025-05-24
Jones Roan 2:0 Clement, Christophe Jones Roan
2025-05-23
Jones Roan 2:0 Velasquez, Juan David Jones Roan
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

Recent form

Makk P WLWWLW
Jones Roan LWWWLW

Match facts

Round: 14 Stadium: Court 3

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Makk P vs Jones Roan?

By the PropickAI model, Makk P is favoured — about 64% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Makk P vs Jones Roan?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Makk P. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Makk P vs Jones Roan start?

August 16, 2026.