Who is the favourite in Maxted, Lui vs Brady, Patrick?

By the PropickAI model, Maxted, Lui is favoured — about 50% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Maxted, Lui vs Brady, Patrick?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Maxted, Lui. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Maxted, Lui win probability ~50% best odds 1.91

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Maxted, Lui. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.

Get Full Access →

ATP Challenger. Roehampton

19.08.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

Maxted, Lui - Brady, Patrick

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger. Roehampton

ATP Challenger. Roehampton hard 19.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished

19.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished

Maxted, Lui

Rank #403 Elo 123

58Average Form

W L W W W L L L

Brady, Patrick

Rank #812 Elo 35

60Average Form

W W L L W W L W

2:1

Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Maxted, Lui	Brady, Patrick
Win %	63.3%	52.7%
Hard %	63.7%	52.8%
Clay %	0%	66.7%
Grass %	57.1%	45.5%
Deciding set %	62.5%	44.2%
Tie-breaks %	53.3%	55.3%
Titles (total)	2	0
Last 10	WLWWWLLWWL	WWWLWWLWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#403 Rating #812

22 Age 21

1.80m Height (cm) 1.88m

75kg Weight (kg) 76kg

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Maxted, Lui	Brady, Patrick
Aces per match	2.83	2.87
Double faults per match	3.17	1.53
Breaks per match	2.75	3.1

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Lui Maxted

Rank:403 Elo: 123

W L W W W L L L

Patrick Brady

Rank:812 Elo: 35

W W L L W W L W

Elo favourite:Maxted, Lui (edge +88 Elo)

Hard

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	58.1% 18 / 31 Matches	66.7% 12 / 18 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	66.1% 39 / 59 Matches	64.0% 16 / 25 Matches

Clay

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	50.0% 1 / 2 Matches	42.9% 3 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	50.0% 1 / 2 Matches	42.9% 3 / 7 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady
H2H wins	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Sets	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Wins this year	57.6% 19 / 33 Matches	60.0% 15 / 25 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	65.6% 40 / 61 Matches	59.4% 19 / 32 Matches
Current rank	403	812

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady
Prize money (career)	$9,893 USD	$21,453 USD
Rating	403	812
Age	22	21
Height	1.80m	1.88m
Weight	75kg	76kg

Win percentage (match / set)

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady
Match Wins	58 %	60 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	58 %	60 %
Wins in Straight Sets	42 %	48 %
Wins From Behind	13 %	9 %
Won At Least 1 Set	67 %	76 %
Set 1 Win	55 %	64 %
Set 2 Win	56 %	60 %
Set 3 Win	63 %	43 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady	Match total
Average Games in a Set	9.7	10	9.85
Over 6.5	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 7.5	91 %	76 %	84 %
Over 8.5	76 %	64 %	70 %
Over 9.5	42 %	52 %	47 %
Over 10.5	24 %	40 %	32 %
Over 11.5	24 %	40 %	32 %

Aces

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady	Match total
Aces Per Match	2.83	2.87	5.70
Most Aces in a match	17 %	13 %	N/A
1+	83 %	80 %	92 %
2+	67 %	73 %	92 %
3+	50 %	47 %	92 %
4+	17 %	33 %	88 %
5+	17 %	13 %	88 %

Breaks

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady	Match total
Breaks Per Match	2.75	3.1	5.85
Over 0.5	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 1.5	50 %	100 %	100 %
Over 2.5	50 %	100 %	100 %
Over 3.5	50 %	100 %	100 %
Over 4.5	50 %	40 %	75 %
Over 5.5	50 %	40 %	45 %

Tie-breaks

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.39	0.44	0.42
Over 0.5	33 %	40 %	37 %
Over 1.5	6 %	4 %	5 %
Under 0.5	67 %	60 %	37 %
Under 1.5	94 %	96 %	5 %

Double faults

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	3.17	1.53	4.7
Over 0.5 (1+)	100 %	87 %	97 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	100 %	60 %	94 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	67 %	7 %	84 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	33 %	0 %	77 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	17 %	0 %	47 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	0 %	0 %	47 %

Net points

	Lui Maxted	Patrick Brady	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	12	18	30
Over 4.5 (5+)	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	100 %	100 %	100 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	67 %	60 %	64 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	67 %	60 %	64 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	67 %	60 %	64 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 1.91 50.7% BetBoom

P2 1.96 49.4% BetBoom

Maxted, Lui face Brady, Patrick on August 19, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Roehampton.

Recent form (W-D-L): Maxted, Lui 1-0-0, Brady, Patrick 1-0-0. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Maxted, Lui — 50%

1 · Maxted, Lui50.0%

2 · Brady, Patrick50.0%

Model estimate: win Maxted, Lui 50.0%, win Brady, Patrick 50.0%. Model favourite — Maxted, Lui.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maxted, Lui - Brady, Patrick August 19, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Maxted, Lui.

Line favourite market consensus: Maxted, Lui. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / 2 1.96
Glicko: Maxted, Lui 50.0% / Brady, Patrick 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.5% 5 books · best price +3.8%

1 50.5%

2 49.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Maxted, Lui

51%

1.91

Brady, Patrick

49%

1.96

Total

Over 22.5

48%

1.96

Under 22.5

52%

1.81

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Roehampton, Great Britain

1/16-finals (R32)

Moller, Elmer2

Ivanov, Ivan0

Shimizu, Yuta0

Matusevich, Anton2

Shepp, Anton0

Ceban, Mark2

Radulov, Iliyan2

Monday, Johannus1

Pucinelli de Almeida, Matheus2

Makk, Peter0

Echeverria, John0

Tarvet, Oliver2

Zakaria, Faris0

Rybakov, Alex2

Peliwo, Filip0

Broom, Charles2

Martineau, Matteo0

Maxted, Lui2

Deckers, Alec0

Brady, Patrick2

Langmo, Christian0

Boitan, Gabi Adrian2

Hudd, Emile1

Gray, Alastair2

Geerts, Michael2

Blaydes, Billy0

Albot, Radu2

Bittoun Kouzmine, Constantin0

Durasovic2

Dhamne, Manas1

Poullain, Lucas2

Basing, Max0

1/8-finals (R16)

Moller, Elmer0

Matusevich, Anton2

Ceban, Mark2

Radulov, Iliyan0

Pucinelli de Almeida, Matheus1

Tarvet, Oliver2

Rybakov, Alex0

Broom, Charles2

Maxted, Lui2

Brady, Patrick1

Boitan, Gabi Adrian2

Gray, Alastair1

Geerts, Michael2

Albot, Radu1

Durasovic0

Poullain, Lucas2

Quarterfinals

Matusevich, Anton2

Ceban, Mark0

Tarvet, Oliver2

Broom, Charles1

Maxted, Lui2

Boitan, Gabi Adrian0

Geerts, Michael1

Poullain, Lucas2

Semifinals

Matusevich, Anton1

Tarvet, Oliver2

Maxted, Lui0

Poullain, Lucas2

Final

Tarvet, Oliver0

Poullain, Lucas0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated19.08.2026 03:29 UTC

1 54% ✓ favourite

2 46%

Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:P1

Per AI data Form:WLWWW / WWLWW H2H: First meeting Injuries:none Key:Maxted higher ranking and lower fatigue compared to qualifier Brady

Details

Pre-Match Analysis: Lui Maxted vs. Patrick Brady
The Round of 16 at the Roehampton Challenger 2026 brings an all-British clash on outdoor hardcourts between Lui Maxted and Patrick Brady. This match presents a clear contrast in ranking tier and professional circuit progression. Maxted sits much higher in the world standings at world No. 403 compared to Brady's ranking of No. 812. This delta in status underpins the baseline projections, making Maxted the analytical favorite on home soil.
Player Form and H2H History
Maxted enters this match with considerable momentum after a decisive, straight-sets victory against Matteo Martineau in the Round of 32. His recent 5-match track record reads WLWWW, illustrating consistent efficiency on hardcourt surfaces. Brady, who entered the main draw via the qualifying rounds, has posted a WWLWW record over his last 5 matches. While Brady has shown great resilience battling through qualifiers, his sample size predominantly features lower-tier competition. There is no recorded previous head-to-head (H2H) match between these two players on the professional tour, meaning this encounter will establish their first baseline matchup data.
Key Analytical Factors
Ranking and Experience Discrepancy: Maxted’s position around the top 400 reflects a standard of baseline consistency and exposure to higher-caliber opponents compared to Brady, who remains outside the top 800.
Fatigue Accumulation: Having navigated the qualifying matches, Brady carries a heavier accumulated workload into this Round of 16 encounter.
Condition Adaptation: Maxted's high-level performance against Martineau demonstrates an immediate, seamless comfort with the Roehampton court speed and bounce profile.
Injuries: Neither player has any active physical limitations or reported medical issues ahead of this match.
Statistical Forecast
Our analytical model shifts slightly toward Maxted compared to standard raw Glicko assumptions due to the fatigue factor hitting the qualifier and Maxted's higher baseline quality shown in the opening round.
Outcome Probability: P1 (Maxted win) 54% / P2 (Brady win) 46%
Total Games: Over 22.5 Games. Both domestic rivals understand each other's games well, which points to a highly competitive affair with prolonged service holds.
Exact Score by Sets: 2:1 in favor of Maxted. Brady's excellent current competitive rhythm should allow him to snatch a set before Maxted's superior baseline depth secures the victory.
Conclusion
The primary recommendation for this matchup is Lui Maxted to win (P1). His superior court coverage, fresh energy reserves compared to a qualifier, and recent execution against higher-ranked opponents provide him with a definitive edge to advance to the next round.

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	54%	46%	2:1	Over 22.5	P1

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →

Match center

Start 19.08.2026 10:00 UTC

Market 1 50.6% @ 1.91 / 2 49.4% @ 1.96

Coverage hard

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Maxted, Lui 54%

📐 Math model Maxted, Lui 50%

💹 Market Maxted, Lui 51%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

🏦 Virtual bank $10,000

$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Stake ($)

My virtual bank & leaderboard →

Match center

Maxted, Lui - Brady, Patrick

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.0% fact: home hit / ROI 91.0% / Brier 0.499 / LogLoss 0.692

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.0% fact: home hit / ROI 91.0% / Brier 0.500 / LogLoss 0.693

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Maxted, Lui 50.5% 50.4% market and model agree

Brady, Patrick 49.5% 49.6% market and model agree

1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko50.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.38).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 50.0% / 50.0% probabilities

Rating 1,643 / 1,840 Maxted, Lui / Brady, Patrick

RD 157 / 190 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,329-1,956 / 1,461-2,219 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.89 market consensus · no value · model 50.0%

1 1.84 market consensus · no value · model 50.0%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 10.5 3.20 market consensus · line only

Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
—	1.72 58.1%	—
1.89 52.9%	—	1.86 53.8%
—	1.96 51.0%	—
1.83 54.6%	—	1.88 53.2%
—	1.75 57.1%	—
—	2.00 50.0%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM
Over 2.5	—	—	2.32 43.1%
Over 8.5	—	—	1.24 80.7%
Over 9.5	—	—	1.76 56.8%
Over 10.5	—	—	3.20 31.3%
Over 21.5	1.76 56.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5	1.94 51.6%	1.96 51.0%	1.91 52.4%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.14 46.7%
Under 2.5	—	—	1.56 64.1%
Under 10.5	—	—	1.32 75.8%
Under 21.5	1.97 50.8%	1.90 52.6%	2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5	1.79 55.9%	1.75 57.1%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.79 55.9%
	1.88 53.2%	1.96 51.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.92 52.1%

Match center

Maxted, Lui

18.08 09:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Roehampton (United Kingdom), hard

Maxted, Lui 2:0 Martino M. 🇫🇷

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Brady, Patrick

18.08 09:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Roehampton (United Kingdom), hard

Brady, Patrick 2:0 Deckers A. 🇳🇱

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Maxted, Lui - Brady, Patrick

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Maxted, Lui - Brady, Patrick August 19, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

Tournament bracket 2026 Roehampton, Great Britain

AI predictions

Unlock the full AI analysis

Maxted, Lui - Brady, Patrick

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

More predictions

Frequently asked questions