PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
28.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท - Pankin S. (World)

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 28.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
T
Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท
P
Pankin S. (World)
0:2
Odds
P1 2.95 32.2% BetBoom
P2 1.40 67.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Pankin S. (World) โ€” 64%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Pankin S. (World)): model 41% ยท market 94% ฮ” โˆ’53 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท35.9%
market6%
2 ยท Pankin S. (World) ✓ Pick64.1%
market94%

Model estimate: win Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 35.9%, win Pankin S. (World) 64.1%. Model favourite โ€” Pankin S. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท (odds3.40) Score 2:1 confidence 59% โœ— outcome missed
  • • Tokach T
  • • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Pankin S
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Tokach T
  • • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท: forma VPV (2-1)
  • • Pankin S
  • • (World): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Tokach T
  • • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท: probability 59% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.40)
  • • edge over the line +29 pp โ€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท - Pankin S. (World) July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pankin S. (World).

Line favourite Fonbet: Pankin S. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 35.9% / Pankin S. (World) 64.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 6.3%
2 ✓ Pick 93.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.55 โ†“ 2.80
Winner 2 1.25 โ†‘ 1.40

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท - Pankin S. (World)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 64.1% fact: away hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.258 / LogLoss 0.444
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.7% fact: away hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.467 / LogLoss 0.660
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 33.3% 35.9%
Pankin S. (World) 66.7% 64.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 35.9% / 64.1% probabilities
Rating 1,541 / 1,322 Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท / Pankin S. (World)
RD 219 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,102-1,980 / 739-1,904 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 64.1%
1 2.86 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 35.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.78 Fonbet ยท line only
1 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.52 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 18.5 5.50 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.92 52.1%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 2.15 46.5%
2.00 50.0% 3.05 32.8%
1.71 58.5% 11.00 9.1%
— 5.60 17.9%
— 1.30 76.9%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.62 61.7%
— 1.33 75.2%
— 1.01 99.0%
— 1.09 91.7%
— 3.15 31.8%
1.73 57.8% —
2.05 48.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.52 65.8%
Over 18.5 — 5.50 18.2%
Over 19.5 — 8.00 12.5%
Over 20.5 1.76 56.8% 1.93 51.8%
Over 21.5 1.97 50.8% 2.60 38.5%
Over 22.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 24.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 25.5 — 1.92 52.1%
Over 26.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 17.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Under 18.5 — 1.10 90.9%
Under 19.5 — 1.04 96.2%
Under 20.5 1.97 50.8% 1.77 56.5%
Under 21.5 1.76 56.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.77 36.1% 15.00 6.7% 2.95 33.9%
1.40 71.4% 1.01 99.0% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท
W L W
26.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 2:0 Dzhavakyan Yu. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
16.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard
Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 1:2 Trifi A. (Tun)
15.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard
Tokach T. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 2:1 Pallegar A. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Pankin S. (World)
L
10.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 8 (Serbia), clay
Pankin S. (World) 0:2 Cocola S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นCocola S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage