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Martineau M — Erel Y

Tennis 24.07.2026 11:05 UTC
Favourite Martineau M best odds 2.22

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP Challenger. Segovia. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Segovia. Qualification International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.07.2026 11:05 UTC
Finished

ATP Challenger. Segovia. Qualification

Martineau M vs Erel Y — Tennis prediction

International Tennis
Martineau M
Martineau M
2 : 0
Finished
Erel Y
Erel Y

Martineau M meet Erel Y on July 24, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Segovia. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Martineau M 2-0-0, Erel Y 2-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Martineau M

Model confidence 84% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Erel Y (odds1.86) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • Martino M: forma V (1-0)
  • Erel Ya: forma VVV (3-0)
  • Model backs Erel Ya: probability 51% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Martineau M - Erel Y July 24, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Martineau M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 3 books · best price +243.4%
1 44.2%
2 55.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Bet365, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Martineau M
5-5LLWWWWLLLW
sets for 1.1sets against 1.2
Erel Y
6-4LWLWWLWWLW
sets for 1.4sets against 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 11:05 UTC
Market 1 83.8% @ 1.10 / 2 16.2% @ 5.70
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Martineau M - Erel Y

Form 2/2 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 57.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.660 / LogLoss 0.855
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 50.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.518 / LogLoss 0.711
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
1.72 58.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.13 88.5%
1.47 68.0%
2.75 36.4%
2.02 49.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.65 37.7%
2.65 37.7%
2.15 46.5%
1.95 51.3%
4.80 20.8%
2.50 40.0%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 22.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 26.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 27.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 28.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 29.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 21.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 22.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 23.5 1.58 63.3%
Under 24.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 25.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 26.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 27.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Fonbet Leon
2.10 47.6% 1.10 90.9% 2.22 45.1%
1.66 60.2% 5.70 17.5% 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Martineau M
W W
23.07 09:08 UTC Segoviya
Martineau M 2:0 Vilyanueva G
21.07 11:30 UTC Segoviya
Martineau M 2:0 Bittun-Kuzmin K
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Erel Y
W W
22.07 08:00 UTC Segoviya
Erel Y 2:1 Palan DPalan D
21.07 08:00 UTC Segoviya
Erel Y 2:1 Fomin SFomin S
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Martineau M vs Erel Y?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Martineau M. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Martineau M vs Erel Y?

Live odds for Martineau M vs Erel Y from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Martineau M vs Erel Y start?

July 24, 2026.