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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

Bouchelaghem C - Vandecasteele Q

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification hard 27.07.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
Bouchelaghem C
Bouchelaghem C
Vandecasteele Q
Vandecasteele Q
0:2
Odds
P1 2.05 45.6% BetBoom
P2 1.72 54.4% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Vandecasteele Q — 54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Vandecasteele Q): model 49% · market 90% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bouchelaghem C46.3%
2 · Vandecasteele Q53.7%

Model estimate: win Bouchelaghem C 46.3%, win Vandecasteele Q 53.7%. Model favourite — Vandecasteele Q.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bouchelaghem C (odds2.02) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Bouchelaghem C
  • • 🇫🇷 — Vandecasteele Q
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Bouchelaghem C
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Vandecasteele Q
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVP (2-1)
  • • Model backs Bouchelaghem C
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 51% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bouchelaghem C - Vandecasteele Q July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vandecasteele Q.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vandecasteele Q. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Bouchelaghem C 46.3% / Vandecasteele Q 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 10.3%
2 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.05 → 2.05
Winner 2 1.72 → 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bouchelaghem C

no data

Vandecasteele Q
4-6LWLWLLWLLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Bouchelaghem C - Vandecasteele Q

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.7% fact: away hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.428 / LogLoss 0.621
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.4% fact: away hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.491 / LogLoss 0.684
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bouchelaghem C 45.7% 46.3%
Vandecasteele Q 54.3% 53.7% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.3% / 53.7% probabilities
Rating 1,667 / 1,574 Bouchelaghem C / Vandecasteele Q
RD 160 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,347-1,986 / 1,120-2,028 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 53.7%
1 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +316.5% · model 46.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 3.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.88 53.2%
2.08 48.1%
2.30 43.5%
2.20 45.5%
9.00 11.1%
5.10 19.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.12 89.3%
1.78 56.2%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 16.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 17.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 18.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 19.5 4.40 22.7%
Over 20.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 2.08 48.1%
Over 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 16.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 17.5 1.23 81.3%
Under 18.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 19.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 20.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 23.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 24.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
9.00 11.1% 2.02 49.5%
1.03 97.1% 1.71 58.5%
Match center
Bouchelaghem C
L W L L W
21.07 16:50 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Bouchelaghem C 1:2 Chan D. 🇨🇦
19.07 17:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Bouchelaghem C 2:0 Bohach H. 🇺🇦
13.07 12:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Bouchelaghem C 1:2 Ganesan A. 🇺🇸
05.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 25 (Tunisia), hard
Bouchelaghem C 1:2 Dugaz A. (Tun)
04.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 25 (Tunisia), hard
Bouchelaghem C 2:1 Ouaka A. (Tun)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Vandecasteele Q
W W L
05.07 17:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, grass
Vandecasteele Q 2:1 Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵
14.06 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Dublin (Ireland) - Qualifying, grass
Vandecasteele Q 2:0 Utida K. 🇯🇵
01.06 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tyler 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, hard
Vandecasteele Q 1:2 Kim A. 🇺🇸Kim A. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage