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ATP Challenger. Khagen
ATP Challenger. Khagen International
04.08.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

Houkes M - Gaubas V

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Khagen
ATP Challenger. Khagen 04.08.2026 12:30 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 12:30 UTC Finished
Houkes M
Houkes M
L L W W L
Gaubas V
Gaubas V
L W W W L
2:1 2:6 6:4 6:4
1 2 3 GP
Houkes M 2 6 6 2
Gaubas V 6 4 4 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 2.90 77.5% BetBoom
P2 10.00 22.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Houkes M face Gaubas V on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Khagen, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Houkes M 2-0-3, Gaubas V 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Gaubas V — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Gaubas V): model 53% · market 64% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Houkes M36.8%
market36%
2 · Gaubas V ✓ Pick63.2%
market64%

Model estimate: win Houkes M 36.8%, win Gaubas V 63.2%. Model favourite — Gaubas V.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Gaubas V (odds1.39) Score 1:2 confidence 65% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Khaukes M: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Gaubas V: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Gaubas V: probability 65% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Houkes M - Gaubas V August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Houkes M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Houkes M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Houkes M 36.8% / Gaubas V 63.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books · best price +592.0%
1 35.7%
2 ✓ Pick 64.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.75 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 1.40 ↑ 10.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 06:35 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5
Per AI data H2H: 2:0
Claude updated04.08.2026 06:39 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 Khaukes po 2.60+ (0.5–1% banka); podstrakhovka — Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 42% 58% 1:2 Over 21.5 Over 21.5
Claude 42% 58% 0:2 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 12:30 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.03 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Gaubas V 58%
📐 Math model Gaubas V 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Houkes M - Gaubas V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Houkes M Gaubas V Result
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Set 3 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 63.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.798 / LogLoss 0.999
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 51.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.532 / LogLoss 0.725
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Houkes M 35.7% 36.8%
Gaubas V 64.3% 63.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.8% / 63.2% probabilities
Rating 1,599 / 1,757 Houkes M / Gaubas V
RD 228 / 184 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,144-2,054 / 1,390-2,125 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +531.7% · model 63.2%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 36.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.97 50.8% — —
1.76 56.8% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 5.80 17.2%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 6.70 14.9%
— — 9.50 10.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 1.09 91.7%
— — 1.35 74.1%
1.76 56.8% — —
1.97 50.8% 1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 17.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 18.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 19.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 2.25 44.4%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% — 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 26.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 27.5 — — 1.09 91.7%
Under 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% —
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.60 38.5% 2.90 34.5% 1.03 97.1% 2.60 38.5%
1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5% 10.00 10.0% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Houkes M
L L W W L
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Houkes M Houkes M 1:2 Carballes Baena R
2026-07-17 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Houkes M Gentzsch T 2:1 Houkes M
2026-07-15 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Houkes M Schoenhaus M 0:2 Houkes M
2026-07-13 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Houkes M Houkes M 2:0 Jorda Sanchis D
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Houkes M Djere L 2:0 Houkes M
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Gaubas V
L W W W L
2026-08-01 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Gaubas V Gaubas V
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Gaubas V 2:0 Monteiro T Gaubas V
2026-07-30 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Gaubas V 2:0 Olivieri G A Gaubas V
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Gaubas V 2:0 Pavlovic L Gaubas V
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Gaubas V 0:2 Carreno Busta P Gaubas V
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHoukes M - Gaubas V

Houkes M
0 matches total
Gaubas V
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history