ATP Challenger. Khagen04.08.2026 10:00 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 10:00 UTCFinished
Kolar Z
LLLLW
Brancaccio R
LLLWW
0:24:6 4:6
12GP
Kolar Z440
Brancaccio R662
1
2
Odds
P11.75
54.0% BetBoom
P22.05
46.1% BetBoom
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
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-Rating-
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-Height (cm)-
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0H2H0
Kolar Z take on Brancaccio R on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Khagen, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kolar Z 1-0-4, Brancaccio R 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 53% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Kolar Z — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Kolar Z): model 44% · market 54%Δ −10 ppmodel estimates below the market
53%1
1 · Kolar Z53.1%
2 · Brancaccio R46.9%
Model estimate: win Kolar Z 53.1%, win Brancaccio R 46.9%. Model favourite — Kolar Z.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kolar Z (odds1.72)Score 2:1confidence 53%✗ outcome missed
•Kolarzh Z: forma P (0-1)
•Brankachcho R: forma PV (1)
•Model backs Kolarzh Z: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kolar Z - Brancaccio R August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kolar Z.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kolar Z. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 2.02
Glicko: Kolar Z 53.1% / Brancaccio R 46.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.0%
2 books · best price +1.2%
154.1%
246.0%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.73↑ 1.75
Winner 22.05↓ 2.02
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 06:44 UTC
153%✓ favourite
247%
Score2:1Total games: Over 22.5Bet:Over 22.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0:0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 06:54 UTC
155%✓ favourite
245%
Score2:1Total games: Over 22.5Bet:Over 22.5 games
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
53%
47%
2:1
Over 22.5
Over 22.5
Claude
55%
45%
2:1
Over 22.5
Over 22.5 games
Match center
Start04.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market1 53.6% @ 1.75 / 2 46.4% @ 2.02
Form3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsKolar Z 54%
📐 Math modelKolar Z 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Kolar Z - Brancaccio R
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score0:2
Events0
Statistics0
SetKolar ZBrancaccio RResult
Set 1464:6
Set 2464:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form
home - 53.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.563 / LogLoss 0.756
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form
home - 50.4% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.507 / LogLoss 0.701
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Kolar Z54.1%53.1%market and model agree
Brancaccio R46.0%46.9%
1X2: 2 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P253.1% / 46.9%
probabilities
Rating1,207 / 1,474
Kolar Z / Brancaccio R
RD284 / 237
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD638-1,775 / 1,000-1,948
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.02
Fonbet · no value · model 46.9%
11.75
Fonbet · no value · model 53.1%
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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