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ATP Challenger. Khagen
ATP Challenger. Khagen International
04.08.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

Moller E - Mackenzie J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Khagen
ATP Challenger. Khagen 04.08.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
Moller E
Moller E
L W L L W
Mackenzie J
Mackenzie J
L W W W W
2:0 6:3 6:2
1 2 GP
Moller E 6 6 2
Mackenzie J 3 2 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.52 89.5% BetBoom
P2 13.00 10.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

Bonn
  Meller E 0 1
  Makkenzi Dzh 1 2

Moller E take on Mackenzie J on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Khagen, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Moller E 2-0-3, Mackenzie J 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Moller E — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Moller E): model 44% · market 62% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Moller E ✓ Pick60.3%
market62%
2 · Mackenzie J39.7%
market38%

Model estimate: win Moller E 60.3%, win Mackenzie J 39.7%. Model favourite — Moller E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Moller E (odds1.51) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Meller E: forma P (0-1)
  • • Makkenzi Dzh: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Meller E: probability 60% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Moller E - Mackenzie J August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Moller E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Moller E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Moller E 60.3% / Mackenzie J 39.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books · best price +1.7%
1 ✓ Pick 62.1%
2 37.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 2.45 ↑ 13.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 06:39 UTC
1 60% ✓ favourite
2 40%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Total games Over 21.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0-1
Claude updated04.08.2026 06:43 UTC
1 57% ✓ favourite
2 43%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games (alternativa po tsennosti — 2 Makkenzi ot 2.50)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 60% 40% 2:1 Over 21.5 Total games Over 21.5
Claude 57% 43% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games (alternativa po tsennosti — 2 Makkenzi ot 2.50)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 92.8% @ 1.01 / 2 7.2% @ 13.00
Form 4 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Moller E 59%
📐 Math model Moller E 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Moller E - Mackenzie J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Moller E Mackenzie J Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, H2H home - 60.3% fact: home hit / ROI 52.0% / Brier 0.316 / LogLoss 0.506
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, H2H home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 52.0% / Brier 0.476 / LogLoss 0.669
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Moller E 62.0% 60.3% market and model agree
Mackenzie J 38.0% 39.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.3% / 39.7% probabilities
Rating 1,379 / 1,616 Moller E / Mackenzie J
RD 282 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 816-1,943 / 1,252-1,980 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus · no value · model 39.7%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 60.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%
1.97 50.8% — —
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.76 56.8% — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 3.55 28.2%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 9.00 11.1%
— — 6.30 15.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 6.30 15.9%
Over 18.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
Over 19.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 20.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 17.5 — — 1.07 93.5%
Under 18.5 — — 1.03 97.1%
Under 19.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Under 20.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.62 61.7%
Under 22.5 — — 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.49 67.1%
2.45 40.8% 2.35 42.6% 13.00 7.7% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Moller E
L W L L W
2026-07-29 2026 Bonn, Germany
Moller E Moller E 1:2 Mackenzie J
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Moller E Moller E 2:0 Topo M
2026-07-12 2026 Bastad, Sweden, Qualifying
Moller E Moller E 0:2 Faurel T
2026-07-02 2026 Milan, Italy
Moller E Moller E 0:2 Basile P
2026-06-30 2026 Milan, Italy
Moller E Moller E 2:0 Gombos N
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Mackenzie J
L W W W W
2026-08-02 2026 Bonn, Germany
Choinski J 2:0 Mackenzie J Mackenzie J
2026-08-01 2026 Bonn, Germany
Mackenzie J 2:1 Dahlin M Mackenzie J
2026-07-31 2026 Bonn, Germany
Mackenzie J 2:0 Rodionov J Mackenzie J
2026-07-29 2026 Bonn, Germany
Moller E 1:2 Mackenzie J Mackenzie J
2026-07-27 2026 Bonn, Germany
Gadamauri B 0:2 Mackenzie J Mackenzie J
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMoller E - Mackenzie J

Moller E
1 matches total
Mackenzie J
Moller E: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mackenzie J: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Mackenzie J 1:2 (2026-07-29) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 2026-07-29) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-29 2026 Bonn, Germany
Moller E 1:2 Mackenzie J