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ATP Challenger. Todi
ATP Challenger. Todi International
10.08.2026 13:45 UTC Match prediction

Dellien M - Galan D E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Todi
ATP Challenger. Todi 10.08.2026 13:45 UTC Finished
10.08.2026 13:45 UTC Finished
Dellien M
Dellien M
Rank #271 Elo 203
47Struggling Form
L W L W W W W L
Galan D E
Galan D E
Rank #328 Elo 160
53Average Form
W W W W L L W L
0:2 4:6 2:6
1 2 GP
Dellien M 4 2 0
Galan D E 6 6 2
1 2
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Dellien M Galan D E
Win % 59.7% 53.3%
Hard % 61.1% 42.5%
Clay % 60% 56.9%
Grass % 0% 55.6%
Deciding set % 61% 50.8%
Tie-breaks % 47.8% 52.7%
Titles (total) 7 4
Last 10 LLWWLWLWWL LWLWWWWLLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#271 Rating #328
30 Age 28
1.91m Height (cm) 1.93m
72kg Weight (kg) 84kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Dellien M Galan D E
Aces per match 4.06 1.05
Double faults per match 2.11 4.05
Breaks per match 4.83 3.45

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Daniel Elahi Galan
Rank:271 Elo: 203
L W L W W W W L
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Rank:328 Elo: 160
W W W W L L W L
Elo favourite:Galan D E (edge +43 Elo)

Hard

Daniel Elahi GalanMurkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 45.5% 5 / 11 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Clay

Daniel Elahi GalanMurkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 16 / 32 Matches 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 47.2% 17 / 36 Matches 56.7% 38 / 67 Matches

Grass

Daniel Elahi GalanMurkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 47.2% 17 / 36 Matches 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 46.9% 23 / 49 Matches 56.7% 38 / 67 Matches
Current rank 271 328

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Prize money (career) $2,885,880 USD $225,538 USD
Rating 271 328
Age 30 28
Height 1.91m 1.93m
Weight 72kg 84kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Match Wins 47 % 53 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 49 % 53 %
Wins in Straight Sets 28 % 26 %
Wins From Behind 14 % 24 %
Won At Least 1 Set 67 % 65 %
Set 1 Win 50 % 41 %
Set 2 Win 46 % 50 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 69 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Match total
Average Games in a Set 10 9.12 9.56
Over 6.5 100 % 94 % 97 %
Over 7.5 91 % 79 % 85 %
Over 8.5 69 % 68 % 69 %
Over 9.5 51 % 41 % 46 %
Over 10.5 31 % 12 % 22 %
Over 11.5 31 % 12 % 22 %

Aces

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Match total
Aces Per Match 4.06 1.05 5.11
Most Aces in a match 46 % 38 % N/A
1+ 94 % 48 % 93 %
2+ 77 % 38 % 84 %
3+ 69 % 19 % 73 %
4+ 46 % 0 % 61 %
5+ 40 % 0 % 48 %

Breaks

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Match total
Breaks Per Match 4.83 3.45 8.28
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 94 % 52 % 100 %
Over 2.5 94 % 19 % 99 %
Over 3.5 89 % 19 % 99 %
Over 4.5 63 % 14 % 96 %
Over 5.5 0 % 10 % 95 %

Tie-breaks

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.54 0.21 0.37
Over 0.5 43 % 18 % 30 %
Over 1.5 11 % 3 % 7 %
Under 0.5 57 % 82 % 30 %
Under 1.5 89 % 97 % 7 %

Double faults

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.11 4.05 6.16
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 95 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 60 % 76 % 92 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 34 % 71 % 86 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 17 % 57 % 76 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 9 % 52 % 65 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 33 % 54 %

Net points

Daniel Elahi Galan Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.28 6.42 14.7
Over 4.5 (5+) 67 % 61 % 64 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 44 % 50 % 47 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 28 % 50 % 39 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 22 % 39 % 31 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 22 % 22 % 22 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 22 % 22 % 22 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.65 25.7% BetBoom
P2 1.26 74.3% BetBoom

Dellien M face Galan D E on August 10, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Todi, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dellien M 1-1-3, Galan D E 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Galan D E — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Galan D E): model 52% · market 74% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dellien M27.9%
market26%
2 · Galan D E ✓ Pick72.1%
market74%

Model estimate: win Dellien M 27.9%, win Galan D E 72.1%. Model favourite — Galan D E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Galan D E (odds1.24) Score 0:2 confidence 79% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Dellien M: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Galan D-E: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.15→1.13 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Galan D-E: probability 79% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.24)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dellien M - Galan D E August 10, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Galan D E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Galan D E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Dellien M 27.9% / Galan D E 72.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 4 books
1 25.7%
2 ✓ Pick 74.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 4.40 ↓ 3.65
Winner 2 1.15 ↑ 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Dellien M
26%
15.00
Galan D E
74%
1.26
Total
Over 20.5
52%
2.70
Under 20.5
48%
1.93

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dellien M
4-6WLWLLWLWLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.3
Galan D E
7-3WWLLWWWWLW
scored 1.5conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Dellien MGalan D E
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 3-1 Dellien M
  • Set 1 Break 3-2 Galan D E
  • Set 1 Break 4-5 Galan D E
  • Set 1 4-6 Galan D E
  • Set 2 Break 1-2 Galan D E
  • Set 2 Break 2-5 Galan D E
  • Set 2 2-6 Galan D E
  • Match ended 0-2 Galan D E

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Kravchenko, Georgii2
Gandolfi, Giammarco0
D`Agostino, Stefano2
Tabacco, Giorgio0
Martin Manzano, Juan Cruz2
Rapagnetta, Daniele1
Delaney, Jesse0
Weis, Alexander2
Vanshelboim, Eric2
Buldorini, Peter1
Mecarelli, Michele2
Vasa, Eero0
Aboian, Valerio0
Homberg, Maximilian2
Noce, Gabriele Maria1
Carboni, Lorenzo2
Caniato, Carlo Alberto2
Cecconi, Federico0
Crivellaro, Gabriele2
Arnaboldi, Federico1
Ferrari, Gianmarco2
Betti, Edoardo0
Ribero, Franco0
Mashtakov, Nikita2
Qualification Final
Kravchenko, Georgii2
D`Agostino, Stefano0
Martin Manzano, Juan Cruz0
Weis, Alexander2
Vanshelboim, Eric0
Mecarelli, Michele0
Homberg, Maximilian0
Carboni, Lorenzo2
Caniato, Carlo Alberto2
Crivellaro, Gabriele0
Ferrari, Gianmarco1
Mashtakov, Nikita2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 10.08.2026 13:45 UTC
Market 1 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 93.7% @ 1.01
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Galan D E 72%
💹 Market Galan D E 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Dellien M - Galan D E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Dellien M Galan D E Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Metric Dellien M Galan D E SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 72.1% fact: away hit / ROI 26.0% / Brier 0.156 / LogLoss 0.327
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 52.6% fact: away hit / ROI 26.0% / Brier 0.448 / LogLoss 0.642
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dellien M 25.7% 35.3%
Galan D E 74.3% 64.7% model more cautious than market
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko27.9% · +Elo prior (weight0.34).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.9% / 72.1% probabilities
Rating 1,640 / 1,750 Dellien M / Galan D E
RD 167 / 157 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,305-1,974 / 1,436-2,065 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 72.1%
1 3.63 market consensus · no value · model 27.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.82 55.0% —
2.02 49.5% —
2.40 41.7% —
3.20 31.3% —
3.90 25.6% 1.86 53.8%
2.95 33.9% —
1.40 71.4% —
2.00 50.0% —
1.88 53.2% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.50 66.7% —
1.30 76.9% —
1.20 83.3% —
1.35 74.1% —
2.70 37.0% —
1.72 58.1% —
— 1.88 53.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
10.00 10.0%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 19.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 20.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 21.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 22.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 23.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 24.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 26.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 27.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 18.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 19.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 20.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 22.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 23.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 24.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 25.5 2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Dellien M
L L W L D
2026-08-04 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria
Dellien M Dellien M 0:2 Andreev A
2026-05-13 2026 Cordoba, Argentina
Dellien M Ribeiro E 2:0 Dellien M
2026-05-12 2026 Cordoba, Argentina
Dellien M De la Fuente S 0:2 Dellien M
2026-05-08 2026 Santos, Brazil
Dellien M Dellien M 0:2 Casanova H
2026-05-07 2026 Santos, Brazil
Dellien M Dellien M 1:1 Hardt N
1 Wins
3 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Galan D E
L W L W W
2026-08-05 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria
Galan D E 0:1 Sanchez Jover C Galan D E
2026-08-04 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria
Galan D E 2:1 Georgiev G Galan D E
2026-07-31 2026 Bonn, Germany
Dahlin M 2:1 Galan D E Galan D E
2026-07-30 2026 Bonn, Germany
Galan D E 2:1 Rehberg M H Galan D E
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Kotov P 0:2 Galan D E Galan D E
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDellien M - Galan D E

Dellien M
0 matches total
Galan D E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history