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AI verdict

AI pick Van Assche L win probability ~89% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Van Assche L. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
11.08.2026 18:05 UTC Match prediction

Van Assche L - Heide G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 11.08.2026 18:05 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 18:05 UTC Finished
Van Assche L
Van Assche L
Rank #49 Elo 998
67Average Form
L W W W W W L W
Heide G
Heide G
Rank #131 Elo 474
61Average Form
W W W W L W L W
2:0 6:3 6:4
1 2 GP
Van Assche L 6 6 2
Heide G 3 4 0
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Van Assche L Heide G
Win % 0% 63%
Hard % 0% 59.4%
Clay % 0% 63.6%
Grass % 0% 33.3%
Deciding set % 0% 47%
Tie-breaks % 0% 58.7%
Titles (total) 0 7
Last 10 L LLWWLWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#49 Rating #131
22 Age 24
1.78m Height (cm) 1.91m
72kg Weight (kg) 83kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Van Assche L Heide G
Aces per match 2.92 4.00
Double faults per match 3.1 5
Breaks per match 2.13 2.23

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Luca van Assche
Rank:49 Elo: 998
L W W W W W L W
Gustavo Heide
Rank:131 Elo: 474
W W W W L W L W
Elo favourite:Van Assche L (edge +524 Elo)

Hard

Luca van AsscheGustavo Heide
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 72.0% 18 / 25 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 65.9% 27 / 41 Matches 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches

Clay

Luca van AsscheGustavo Heide
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches 66.7% 18 / 27 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches 73.1% 38 / 52 Matches

Grass

Luca van AsscheGustavo Heide
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 66.7% 36 / 54 Matches 60.6% 20 / 33 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 64.3% 45 / 70 Matches 70.3% 45 / 64 Matches
Current rank 49 131

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
Prize money (career) $1,626,984 USD $312,810 USD
Rating 49 131
Age 22 24
Height 1.78m 1.91m
Weight 72kg 83kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
Match Wins 67 % 61 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 69 % 63 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 45 %
Wins From Behind 28 % 13 %
Won At Least 1 Set 83 % 73 %
Set 1 Win 57 % 61 %
Set 2 Win 69 % 58 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
Aces 2 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st serve percentage 58% 51%
1st serve points won 85% (22/26) 76% (19/25)
2nd serve points won 68% (13/19) 54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved 2/2 0/1
1st return points won 24% (6/25) 15% (4/26)
2nd return points won 46% (11/24) 32% (6/19)
Break Points Converted 1/1 0/2
Winners 9 16
Unforced errors 16 32
Net points won 100% (4/4) 33% (2/6)
Service Points Won 78% (35/45) 65% (32/49)
Return Points Won 35% (17/49) 22% (10/45)
Total Points Won 55% (52/94) 45% (42/94)
Last 10 balls 6 4
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 100% (8/8) 86% (6/7)
Return games won 14% (1/7) 0% (0/8)
Total games won 60% (9/15) 40% (6/15)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.33 9.09 9.21
Over 6.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 7.5 82 % 80 % 81 %
Over 8.5 69 % 47 % 58 %
Over 9.5 37 % 30 % 34 %
Over 10.5 16 % 13 % 15 %
Over 11.5 16 % 13 % 15 %

Aces

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Aces Per Match 2.92 4.00 6.92
Most Aces in a match 29 % 57 % N/A
1+ 94 % 93 % 100 %
2+ 73 % 86 % 96 %
3+ 47 % 68 % 93 %
4+ 29 % 57 % 81 %
5+ 22 % 36 % 73 %

Breaks

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.13 2.23 4.36
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 7 % 100 %
Over 2.5 67 % 4 % 100 %
Over 3.5 12 % 0 % 74 %
Over 4.5 8 % 0 % 47 %
Over 5.5 2 % 0 % 4 %

Tie-breaks

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.2 0.23 0.21
Over 0.5 20 % 23 % 21 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 80 % 77 % 21 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.1 5 8.1
Over 0.5 (1+) 92 % 96 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 80 % 86 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 51 % 82 % 86 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 35 % 68 % 76 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 27 % 61 % 61 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 46 % 52 %

Net points

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.47 6.11 13.58
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 44 % 60 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 64 % 22 % 43 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 31 % 17 % 24 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 28 % 17 % 23 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 25 % 11 % 18 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 14 % 6 % 10 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.28 92.1% BetBoom
P2 15.00 7.9% BetBoom

Van Assche L face Heide G on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Van Assche L 4-0-1, Heide G 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 89% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Van Assche L — 89%

1 · Van Assche L ✓ Pick89.4%
market 74%
2 · Heide G10.6%
market 26%

Model estimate: win Van Assche L 89.4%, win Heide G 10.6%. Model favourite — Van Assche L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Van Assche L (odds1.50) Score 2:1 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Van Ash L: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Eyde G: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Van Ash L: probability 64% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Van Assche L - Heide G August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Van Assche L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Van Assche L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Van Assche L 89.4% / Heide G 10.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.3% 6 books · best price +2.8%
1 ✓ Pick 74.4%
2 25.6%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 2.65 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Van Assche L
75%
1.28
Heide G
25%
15.00
Total
Over 20.5
51%
2.10
Under 20.5
49%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Van Assche L
8-2WLWWWWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 1.0
Heide G
6-4WLWWWLWWLL
scored 1.2conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 16:47 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:AH1(-4.5)
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 78% 22% 2:0 Under 21.5 AH1(-4.5)
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 18:05 UTC
Market 1 93.7% @ 1.01 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Van Assche L 78%
📐 Math model Van Assche L 89%
💹 Market Van Assche L 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Van Assche L - Heide G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Van Assche L Heide G Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Metric Van Assche L Heide G SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 16 32 final
Vinnery 9 16 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 1/1 0/2 final
Points na prieme 35% (17/49) 22% (10/45) final
Eysy 2 4 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 2/2 0/1 final
Dvoynye oshibki 2 2 final
Pervaya podacha, % 58% 51% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 89.4% fact: home hit / Brier 0.023 / LogLoss 0.112
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.7% fact: home hit / Brier 0.410 / LogLoss 0.603
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Van Assche L 92.1% 72.8% model more cautious than market
Heide G 7.9% 27.2%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko89.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 89.4% / 10.6% probabilities
Rating 1,823 / 1,331 Van Assche L / Heide G
RD 157 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,508-2,137 / 822-1,839 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.71 market consensus · no value · model 10.6%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 89.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.27 78.7%
1.71 58.5% 1.79 55.9% —
1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4% —
— — 3.70 27.0%
— — 3.60 27.8%
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% —
1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0% —
— — 3.45 29.0%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 2.80 35.7%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 8.50 11.8%
— — 1.20 83.3%
— — 1.33 75.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
11.50 8.7%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
Over 19.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6%
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 7.10 14.1%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.45 40.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Under 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.50 8.7%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-11 · Lyuka Van Ash 2:0 Gustavo Khayde
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.33 (Winline) · 2 3.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.32 3.4
Winline 1.33 3.3
Fonbet 1.32 3.4
Betcity 1.3 3.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 4
5 Dvoynye oshibki 2
2 Vsego breyk-poyntov 2
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
68 Vyigrannye Points 52
47 Points na podache 35
17 Poteryannye Points na podache 21
37 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 29
22 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 25
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 22
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 13
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
8 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 2
10 Geymy na podache 7
12 Vyigrannye geymy 7
3 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Van Assche L
L W W W W
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Van Assche L Van Assche L 1:2 Droguet T
2026-07-26 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:1 Blockx A
2026-07-25 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:0 Gaston H
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Rublev A 1:2 Van Assche L
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:1 Carreno Busta P
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Heide G
L L W W L
2026-07-18 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Qualifying
Heide G 0:2 Feldbausch K Heide G
2026-07-10 2026 Iasi, Romania
Droguet T 2:0 Heide G Heide G
2026-07-09 2026 Iasi, Romania
Cretu C 1:2 Heide G Heide G
2026-07-07 2026 Iasi, Romania
Poljak D 0:2 Heide G Heide G
2026-07-04 2026 Milan, Italy
Heide G 0:2 Cecchinato M Heide G
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVan Assche L - Heide G

Van Assche L
0 matches total
Heide G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Van Assche L vs Heide G?

By the PropickAI model, Van Assche L is favoured — about 89% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Van Assche L vs Heide G?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Van Assche L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Van Assche L vs Heide G start?

August 11, 2026.