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AI verdict

AI pick Atmane T win probability ~64% confidence High best odds 1.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atmane T. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
1st round 13.08.2026 22:50 UTC Match prediction

Fucsovics M - Atmane T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 1st round hard 13.08.2026 22:50 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 22:50 UTC 1st round Finished
Fucsovics M
Fucsovics M Hungary
Rank #83 Elo 740
38Bad Form
L L W W L L W L
Atmane T
Atmane T France
Rank #46 Elo 1007
41Struggling Form
W L L W L L L L
0:2 1:6 0:6
1 2 GP
Fucsovics M 1 0 0
Atmane T 6 6 2
1 2
Stadium: Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Tretiy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Fucsovics M Atmane T
Win % 53.3% 54.7%
Hard % 53.5% 58.5%
Clay % 52.4% 50%
Grass % 54.7% 29.4%
Deciding set % 48.4% 50.9%
Tie-breaks % 43.9% 58.6%
Titles (total) 6 4
Last 10 LLWWLLWLLL LWWLWLLLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Hungary Country France
#83 Rating #46
34 Age 24
188 Height (cm) 193
82 Weight (kg) 80
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Fucsovics M Atmane T
Aces per match 4.44 7.35
Double faults per match 3.06 2.24
Breaks per match 2.03 2.47

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Fucsovics M
47% 17 / 36
47% 17 / 36
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 4
grass
3 iz 6
hard
14 iz 26
Atmane T
40% 17 / 42
40% 17 / 42
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 10
grass
1 iz 5
hard
12 iz 27

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Marton Fucsovics
Rank:83 Elo: 740
L L W W L L W L
Terence Atmane
Rank:46 Elo: 1007
W L L W L L L L
Elo favourite:Atmane T (edge +267 Elo)

Hard

Marton FucsovicsTerence Atmane
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 41.7% 5 / 12 Matches 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 56.0% 14 / 25 Matches 50.0% 17 / 34 Matches

Clay

Marton FucsovicsTerence Atmane
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches

Grass

Marton FucsovicsTerence Atmane
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane
H2H wins 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%)
Sets 2 (50.0%) 2 (50.0%)
Wins this year 37.5% 9 / 24 Matches 40.5% 15 / 37 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 48.7% 18 / 37 Matches 43.1% 22 / 51 Matches
Current rank 83 46

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane
Prize money (career) $7,152,858 USD $615,397 USD
Rating 83 46
Age 34 24
Height 1.88m 1.93m
Weight 82kg 80kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane
Match Wins 38 % 41 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 33 % 44 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 29 % 24 %
Wins From Behind 12 % 4 %
Won At Least 1 Set 50 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 38 % 54 %
Set 2 Win 42 % 35 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Nov 7 2023 Sofia ATP (Hard) Marton Fucsovics 2 – 0 Terence Atmane
Jul 28 2023 Segovia Chall. Men (Hard) Marton Fucsovics 0 – 2 Terence Atmane

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.54 10.27 10.41
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 94 % 97 % 96 %
Over 8.5 83 % 91 % 87 %
Over 9.5 50 % 59 % 55 %
Over 10.5 28 % 24 % 26 %
Over 11.5 28 % 24 % 26 %

Aces

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane Match total
Aces Per Match 4.44 7.35 11.79
Most Aces in a match 33 % 56 % N/A
1+ 94 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 78 % 97 % 100 %
3+ 61 % 94 % 97 %
4+ 61 % 85 % 89 %
5+ 44 % 79 % 86 %

Breaks

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.03 2.47 4.5
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 6 % 59 % 100 %
Over 2.5 6 % 53 % 100 %
Over 3.5 6 % 50 % 99 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 49 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 2 %

Tie-breaks

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.39 0.44 0.42
Over 0.5 33 % 41 % 37 %
Over 1.5 6 % 3 % 4 %
Under 0.5 67 % 59 % 37 %
Under 1.5 94 % 97 % 4 %

Double faults

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.06 2.24 5.3
Over 0.5 (1+) 89 % 85 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 78 % 65 % 90 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 44 % 32 % 82 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 44 % 18 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 17 % 12 % 40 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 17 % 6 % 32 %

Net points

Marton Fucsovics Terence Atmane Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.29 6.08 11.37
Over 4.5 (5+) 65 % 57 % 61 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 53 % 47 % 50 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 41 % 40 % 41 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 29 % 30 % 30 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 24 % 17 % 21 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 18 % 13 % 16 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.80 37.1% BetBoom
P2 1.65 62.9% BetBoom

Fucsovics M meet Atmane T on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fucsovics M 2-0-3, Atmane T 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Atmane T — 64%

1 · Fucsovics M36.0%
market 35%
2 · Atmane T ✓ Pick64.0%
market 65%

Model estimate: win Fucsovics M 36.0%, win Atmane T 64.0%. Model favourite — Atmane T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Atmane T (odds1.48) Score 1:2 confidence 66% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Fuchovich M: forma PV (1)
  • • Atman T: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.67→1.40 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Atman T: probability 66% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fucsovics M - Atmane T August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atmane T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atmane T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.10
  • Glicko: Fucsovics M 36.0% / Atmane T 64.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 5 books · best price +13.8%
1 34.5%
2 ✓ Pick 65.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.20 ↑ 2.80
Winner 2 1.67 ↓ 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Fucsovics M
36%
6.50
Atmane T
64%
1.65
Total
Over 12.5
51%
1.82
Under 12.5
49%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Fucsovics MAtmane T
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 0-2 Atmane T
  • Match ended - Atmane T

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Cincinnati, USA

1/64-finals (R128)
Norrie, Cameron2
Prizmic, Dino1
Fucsovics, Marton0
Atmane, Terence0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Jacquet, Kyrian0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Shapovalov, Denis2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Burruchaga, Roman Andres1
Struff, Jan-Lennard2
Navone, Mariano2
Collignon, Raphael0
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Choinski, Jan1
Landaluce, Martin2
Draper, Jack0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Monfils, Gael1
Svajda, Zachary0
Bellucci, Mattia2
Droguet, Titouan1
Berrettini, Matteo2
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Van Assche, Luca0
Wolf, Jeffrey John0
Duckworth, James2
Kopriva, Vit0
Halys, Quentin2
Michelsen, Alex2
De Jong, Jesper0
Merida, Daniel2
Cilic, Marin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Shevchenko, Alexander0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Machac, Tomas0
Carreno Busta, Pablo2
Borges, Nuno2
Kokkinakis, Thanasi1
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Khachanov, Karen1
Medjedovic, Hamad0
Trungelliti, Marco2
Faria, Jaime2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Walton, Adam2
Mejia, Nicolas0
Marozsan, Fabian1
Zheng, Michael2
Wong, Coleman1
Altmaier, Daniel2
Baez, Sebastian2
Dimitrov, Grigor1
Shang, Juncheng0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Lajal, Mark0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Royer, Valentin0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
1/32-finals (R64)
Zverev, Alexander2
Norrie, Cameron1
Atmane, Terence2
Etcheverry, Tomas Martin0
Paul, Tommy2
Hurkacz, Hubert1
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Vacherot, Valentin0
Jodar, Rafael2
Shapovalov, Denis1
Struff, Jan-Lennard0
Tabilo, Alejandro2
Blockx, Alexander2
Navone, Mariano0
Kecmanovic, Miomir1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Djokovic, Novak1
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin2
Arnaldi, Matteo1
Darderi, Luciano0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bellucci, Mattia1
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Berrettini, Matteo1
Hanfmann, Yannick0
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur2
Duckworth, James1
Halys, Quentin1
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor0
Michelsen, Alex0
Merida, Daniel0
Bergs, Zizou0
Fonseca, Joao0
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Ruud, Casper0
Rublev, Andrey0
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Borges, Nuno0
Cerundolo, Francisco0
Nakashima, Brandon0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Trungelliti, Marco0
Medvedev, Daniil2
Shelton, Ben0
Faria, Jaime0
Walton, Adam0
Buse, Ignacio0
Humbert, Ugo0
Zheng, Michael2
Altmaier, Daniel0
Musetti, Lorenzo0
Tien, Learner0
Baez, Sebastian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances0
Rinderknech, Arthur0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix0
1/16-finals (R32)
Zverev, Alexander0
Atmane, Terence0
Paul, Tommy0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Jodar, Rafael0
Tabilo, Alejandro0
Blockx, Alexander0
Cobolli, Flavio0
Tirante, Thiago Agustin0
Landaluce, Martin0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Mensik, Jakub0
Lehecka, Jiri0
Fils, Arthur0
Fery, Arthur0
de Minaur, Alex0
R32P170
R32P180
R32P190
O'Connell, Christopher0
R32P210
R32P220
R32P230
Medvedev, Daniil0
R32P250
R32P260
Zheng, Michael0
R32P280
R32P290
R32P300
R32P310
R32P320
1/8-finals (R16)
R16P10
R16P20
R16P30
R16P40
R16P50
R16P60
R16P70
R16P80
R16P90
R16P100
R16P110
R16P120
R16P130
R16P140
R16P150
R16P160
Quarterfinals
Qf10
Qf20
Qf30
Qf40
Qf50
Qf60
Qf70
Qf80
Semifinals
WQF10
WQF20
WQF30
WQF40
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Tretiy kort
Start 13.08.2026 22:50 UTC
Market 1 14.5% @ 6.50 / 2 85.5% @ 1.10
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Atmane T 64%
💹 Market Atmane T 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Fucsovics M - Atmane T

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Marton Fuchovich - Terens Atman, 14 avgusta 2026. Tsintsinnati (m). Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Marton Fuchovich - Terens Atman, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Fucsovics M Atmane T Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 0 6 0:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 64.0% fact: away hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.260 / LogLoss 0.447
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.7% fact: away hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.467 / LogLoss 0.660
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fucsovics M 34.5% 41.6% market and model agree
Atmane T 65.5% 58.4% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko36.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.50).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.0% / 64.0% probabilities
Rating 1,398 / 1,472 Fucsovics M / Atmane T
RD 264 / 154 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 871-1,925 / 1,163-1,781 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 64.0%
1 6.50 Fonbet · no value · model 36.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.65 37.7%
2.35 42.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.90 34.5%
3.20 31.3%
3.55 28.2%
1.42 70.4%
1.52 65.8%
1.53 65.4%
1.43 69.9%
1.40 71.4%
2.07 48.3%
2.65 37.7%
3.30 30.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
1.25 80.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.90 34.5%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 18.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 26.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 27.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 17.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 18.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 20.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 21.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 23.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Fucsovics M
L L W W L
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Fucsovics M Fucsovics M 0:2 Moutet C
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fucsovics M Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Fucsovics M
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fucsovics M Fucsovics M 3:1 Tien L
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fucsovics M Van Assche L 0:1 Fucsovics M
2026-06-16 2026 London, Great Britain
Fucsovics M Nakashima B 2:0 Fucsovics M
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Atmane T
L W W L W
2026-08-07 2026 Montreal, Canada
Atmane T 0:2 Mensik J Atmane T
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Khachanov K 0:2 Atmane T Atmane T
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Atmane T 2:1 Draper J Atmane T
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Atmane T 0:2 Tabilo A Atmane T
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Tiafoe F 1:2 Atmane T Atmane T
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

Recent form

Fucsovics M LLWLLW
Atmane T LWWLWL

More predictions

Zverev A – Atmane T 17.08 Shelton B – Faria J 16.08 Sonego L – Tiafoe F 17.08 Tirante T A – Landaluce M 17.08 Hijikata R – Mensik J 17.08 Jodar R – Tabilo A 17.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fucsovics M vs Atmane T?

By the PropickAI model, Atmane T is favoured — about 64% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Fucsovics M vs Atmane T?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Atmane T. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Fucsovics M vs Atmane T start?

August 13, 2026.