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AI verdict

AI pick Tabilo, Alejandro win probability ~61% confidence High best odds 1.56

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tabilo, Alejandro. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
2nd round 15.08.2026 19:15 UTC Match prediction

Struff J-L - Tabilo, Alejandro

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 2nd round hard 15.08.2026 19:15 UTC Finished
15.08.2026 19:15 UTC 2nd round Finished
Struff J-L
Struff J-L Germany
Rank #43 Elo 1069
44Struggling Form
W L L W L W W L
Tabilo, Alejandro
Tabilo, Alejandro Chile
Rank #29 Elo 1688
57Average Form
L W L W W W W L
0:2
Stadium: Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Vosmoy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Struff J-L Tabilo, Alejandro
Win % 54.3% 61.2%
Hard % 50.4% 58.3%
Clay % 59.2% 64.9%
Grass % 58.3% 47.6%
Deciding set % 48.9% 57.9%
Tie-breaks % 52.9% 51.3%
Titles (total) 3 9
Last 10 WLLWLWWWWL LLWWWLLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Germany Country Chile
#43 Rating #29
36 Age 29
193 Height (cm) 188
92 Weight (kg) 75
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
Posev 22 0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Struff J-L Tabilo, Alejandro
Aces per match 7.75 5.28
Double faults per match 2.86 1.83
Breaks per match 2.14 2.2

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Struff J-L
46% 17 / 37
46% 17 / 37
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 9
grass
6 iz 9
hard
7 iz 19
Tabilo, Alejandro
55% 30 / 55
55% 30 / 55
Sintetika
no data
clay
16 iz 26
grass
0 iz 3
hard
14 iz 26

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Jan-Lennard Struff
Rank:43 Elo: 1069
W L L W L W W L
Alejandro Tabilo
Rank:29 Elo: 1688
L W L W W W W L
Elo favourite:Tabilo, Alejandro (edge +619 Elo)

Hard

Jan-Lennard StruffAlejandro Tabilo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 6 / 15 Matches 60.0% 9 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 58.3% 21 / 36 Matches 62.2% 28 / 45 Matches

Clay

Jan-Lennard StruffAlejandro Tabilo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 62.1% 18 / 29 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 62.1% 18 / 29 Matches

Grass

Jan-Lennard StruffAlejandro Tabilo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 44.4% 16 / 36 Matches 56.9% 29 / 51 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 54.4% 31 / 57 Matches 59.3% 48 / 81 Matches
Current rank 43 29

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo
Prize money (career) $10,796,866 USD $4,284,053 USD
Rating 43 29
Age 36 29
Height 1.93m 1.88m
Weight 92kg 75kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo
Match Wins 44 % 57 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 39 % 59 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 22 % 31 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 27 %
Won At Least 1 Set 72 % 75 %
Set 1 Win 47 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 51 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Tsintsinnati (m)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.11 9.88 10
Over 6.5 89 % 98 % 94 %
Over 7.5 82 % 91 % 87 %
Over 8.5 71 % 78 % 75 %
Over 9.5 43 % 59 % 51 %
Over 10.5 39 % 28 % 34 %
Over 11.5 39 % 28 % 34 %

Aces

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Aces Per Match 7.75 5.28 13.03
Most Aces in a match 32 % 36 % N/A
1+ 100 % 96 % 99 %
2+ 96 % 91 % 99 %
3+ 93 % 79 % 98 %
4+ 86 % 66 % 98 %
5+ 71 % 55 % 92 %

Breaks

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.14 2.2 4.34
Over 0.5 54 % 66 % 100 %
Over 1.5 54 % 64 % 99 %
Over 2.5 43 % 60 % 79 %
Over 3.5 36 % 43 % 54 %
Over 4.5 32 % 4 % 48 %
Over 5.5 4 % 4 % 41 %

Tie-breaks

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.43 0.37 0.4
Over 0.5 43 % 35 % 39 %
Over 1.5 0 % 2 % 1 %
Under 0.5 57 % 65 % 39 %
Under 1.5 100 % 98 % 1 %

Double faults

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.86 1.83 4.69
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 70 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 75 % 57 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 54 % 36 % 86 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 43 % 15 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 18 % 4 % 51 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 4 % 0 % 43 %

Net points

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.87 6.91 12.78
Over 4.5 (5+) 65 % 71 % 68 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 65 % 55 % 60 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 54 % 53 % 54 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 54 % 42 % 48 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 42 % 34 % 38 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 35 % 26 % 31 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.65 37.0% BetBoom
P2 1.56 63.0% BetBoom

Struff J-L go head-to-head with Tabilo, Alejandro on August 15, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tabilo, Alejandro — 61%

1 · Struff J-L39.2%
market 37%
2 · Tabilo, Alejandro ✓ Pick60.8%
market 63%

Model estimate: win Struff J-L 39.2%, win Tabilo, Alejandro 60.8%. Model favourite — Tabilo, Alejandro.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tabilo, Alejandro (odds1.44) Score 1:2 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Shtruff Ya-L
  • • 🇩🇪 — Tabilo A
  • • 🇨🇱 (tennis)
  • • Shtruff Ya-L
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Tabilo A
  • • 🇨🇱: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Tabilo A
  • • 🇨🇱: probability 64% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Struff J-L - Tabilo, Alejandro August 15, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tabilo, Alejandro.

Line favourite market consensus: Tabilo, Alejandro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / 2 1.56
  • Glicko: Struff J-L 39.2% / Tabilo, Alejandro 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 6 books · best price +3.1%
1 37.0%
2 ✓ Pick 63.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Struff J-L
37%
2.65
Tabilo, Alejandro
63%
1.56
Total
Over 4.5
48%
1.92
Under 4.5
52%
1.79

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Cincinnati, USA

1/64-finals (R128)
Norrie, Cameron2
Prizmic, Dino1
Fucsovics, Marton0
Atmane, Terence0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Jacquet, Kyrian0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Shapovalov, Denis2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Burruchaga, Roman Andres1
Struff, Jan-Lennard2
Navone, Mariano2
Collignon, Raphael0
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Choinski, Jan1
Landaluce, Martin2
Draper, Jack0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Monfils, Gael1
Svajda, Zachary0
Bellucci, Mattia2
Droguet, Titouan1
Berrettini, Matteo2
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Van Assche, Luca0
Wolf, Jeffrey John0
Duckworth, James2
Kopriva, Vit0
Halys, Quentin2
Michelsen, Alex2
De Jong, Jesper0
Merida, Daniel2
Cilic, Marin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Shevchenko, Alexander0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Machac, Tomas0
Carreno Busta, Pablo2
Borges, Nuno2
Kokkinakis, Thanasi1
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Khachanov, Karen1
Medjedovic, Hamad0
Trungelliti, Marco2
Faria, Jaime2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Walton, Adam2
Mejia, Nicolas0
Marozsan, Fabian1
Zheng, Michael2
Wong, Coleman1
Altmaier, Daniel2
Baez, Sebastian2
Dimitrov, Grigor1
Shang, Juncheng0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Lajal, Mark0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Royer, Valentin0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
1/32-finals (R64)
Zverev, Alexander2
Norrie, Cameron1
Atmane, Terence2
Etcheverry, Tomas Martin0
Paul, Tommy2
Hurkacz, Hubert1
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Vacherot, Valentin0
Jodar, Rafael2
Shapovalov, Denis1
Struff, Jan-Lennard0
Tabilo, Alejandro2
Blockx, Alexander2
Navone, Mariano0
Kecmanovic, Miomir1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Djokovic, Novak1
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin2
Arnaldi, Matteo1
Darderi, Luciano0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bellucci, Mattia1
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Berrettini, Matteo1
Hanfmann, Yannick0
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur2
Duckworth, James1
Halys, Quentin1
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor2
Michelsen, Alex0
Merida, Daniel2
Bergs, Zizou0
Fonseca, Joao2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Ruud, Casper0
Rublev, Andrey2
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Borges, Nuno2
Cerundolo, Francisco0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Trungelliti, Marco0
Medvedev, Daniil2
Shelton, Ben0
Faria, Jaime2
Walton, Adam2
Buse, Ignacio0
Humbert, Ugo0
Zheng, Michael2
Altmaier, Daniel0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tien, Learner2
Baez, Sebastian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Rinderknech, Arthur1
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix2
1/16-finals (R32)
Zverev, Alexander0
Atmane, Terence0
Paul, Tommy0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Jodar, Rafael0
Tabilo, Alejandro0
Blockx, Alexander1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Mensik, Jakub0
Lehecka, Jiri0
Fils, Arthur0
Fery, Arthur0
de Minaur, Alex0
Fritz, Taylor0
Merida, Daniel0
Fonseca, Joao0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Rublev, Andrey0
Borges, Nuno0
Nakashima, Brandon0
Medvedev, Daniil0
Faria, Jaime0
Walton, Adam0
Zheng, Michael0
Musetti, Lorenzo0
Tien, Learner0
Tiafoe, Frances0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix0
1/8-finals (R16)
R16P10
R16P20
R16P30
Cobolli, Flavio0
Tirante, Thiago Agustin0
R16P60
R16P70
R16P80
R16P90
R16P100
R16P110
R16P120
R16P130
R16P140
R16P150
R16P160
Quarterfinals
Qf10
Qf20
Qf30
Qf40
Qf50
Qf60
Qf70
Qf80
Semifinals
WQF10
WQF20
WQF30
WQF40
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Vosmoy kort
Start 15.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 37.0% @ 2.65 / 2 63.0% @ 1.56
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tabilo, Alejandro 61%
💹 Market Tabilo, Alejandro 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Struff J-L - Tabilo, Alejandro

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Yan-Lennard Shtruff - Alekhandro Tabilo. Tsintsinnati (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 60.8% fact: away hit / ROI 55.6% / Brier 0.308 / LogLoss 0.498
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 55.6% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.668
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Struff J-L 37.0% 41.4% market and model agree
Tabilo, Alejandro 63.0% 58.6% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko39.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.2% / 60.8% probabilities
Rating 1,654 / 1,412 Struff J-L / Tabilo, Alejandro
RD 130 / 281 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,394-1,914 / 850-1,974 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.8%
1 2.58 market consensus · no value · model 39.2%
Total
Over 0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.71 58.5%
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 1.96 51.0% —
— 1.65 60.6% —
— 1.75 57.1% —
1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 — — 1.98 50.5%
Over 2.5 — — 2.28 43.9%
Over 6.5 — 1.72 58.1% —
Over 10.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 11.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 12.5 — — 3.60 27.8%
Over 18.5 — 1.75 57.1% —
Over 20.5 — 1.75 57.1% 1.40 71.4%
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% — —
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 6.5 — 2.00 50.0% —
Under 18.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 20.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5% — —
Under 23.5 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.59 38.6%
1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.3%
Match center
Struff J-L
W
13.08 19:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Tsintsinnati 🇺🇸, hard
Struff J-L 2:1 Burruchaga R. A. 🇦🇷Burruchaga R. A. 🇦🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Tabilo, Alejandro
D D
15.08.2026 Championat
28 A. Aleksandr Bloks (Belgium) 2 6 — M. Mariano Navone (Argentina) 0 3 4 1-y krug Tabilo, Alejandro
15.08.2026 Championat
A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 2 5 6 7 K. Karen Tabilo, Alejandro
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Struff J-L vs Tabilo, Alejandro?

By the PropickAI model, Tabilo, Alejandro is favoured — about 61% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Struff J-L vs Tabilo, Alejandro?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tabilo, Alejandro. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Struff J-L vs Tabilo, Alejandro start?

August 15, 2026.