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AI verdict

AI pick Tabilo, Alejandro win probability ~61% confidence High best odds 1.56

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tabilo, Alejandro. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
2nd round 15.08.2026 19:15 UTC Match prediction

Struff J-L - Tabilo, Alejandro

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 2nd round hard 15.08.2026 19:15 UTC Finished
15.08.2026 19:15 UTC 2nd round Finished
Struff J-L
Struff J-L Germany
Rank #43 Elo 1069
44Struggling Form
W L L W L W W L
Tabilo, Alejandro
Tabilo, Alejandro Chile
Rank #29 Elo 1688
57Average Form
L W L W W W W L
0:2
Stadium: Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Vosmoy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Struff J-L Tabilo, Alejandro
Win % 54.3% 61.2%
Hard % 50.4% 58.3%
Clay % 59.2% 64.9%
Grass % 58.3% 47.6%
Deciding set % 48.9% 57.9%
Tie-breaks % 52.9% 51.3%
Titles (total) 3 9
Last 10 WLLWLWWWWL LLWWWLLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Germany Country Chile
#43 Rating #29
36 Age 29
193 Height (cm) 188
92 Weight (kg) 75
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
Posev 22 0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Struff J-L Tabilo, Alejandro
Aces per match 7.75 5.28
Double faults per match 2.86 1.83
Breaks per match 2.14 2.2

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Struff J-L
46% 17 / 37
46% 17 / 37
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 9
grass
6 iz 9
hard
7 iz 19
Tabilo, Alejandro
55% 30 / 55
55% 30 / 55
Sintetika
no data
clay
16 iz 26
grass
0 iz 3
hard
14 iz 26

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Jan-Lennard Struff
Rank:43 Elo: 1069
W L L W L W W L
Alejandro Tabilo
Rank:29 Elo: 1688
L W L W W W W L
Elo favourite:Tabilo, Alejandro (edge +619 Elo)

Hard

Jan-Lennard StruffAlejandro Tabilo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 6 / 15 Matches 60.0% 9 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 58.3% 21 / 36 Matches 62.2% 28 / 45 Matches

Clay

Jan-Lennard StruffAlejandro Tabilo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 62.1% 18 / 29 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 62.1% 18 / 29 Matches

Grass

Jan-Lennard StruffAlejandro Tabilo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 44.4% 16 / 36 Matches 56.9% 29 / 51 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 54.4% 31 / 57 Matches 59.3% 48 / 81 Matches
Current rank 43 29

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo
Prize money (career) $10,796,866 USD $4,284,053 USD
Rating 43 29
Age 36 29
Height 1.93m 1.88m
Weight 92kg 75kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo
Match Wins 44 % 57 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 39 % 59 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 22 % 31 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 27 %
Won At Least 1 Set 72 % 75 %
Set 1 Win 47 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 51 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Tsintsinnati (m)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.11 9.88 10
Over 6.5 89 % 98 % 94 %
Over 7.5 82 % 91 % 87 %
Over 8.5 71 % 78 % 75 %
Over 9.5 43 % 59 % 51 %
Over 10.5 39 % 28 % 34 %
Over 11.5 39 % 28 % 34 %

Aces

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Aces Per Match 7.75 5.28 13.03
Most Aces in a match 32 % 36 % N/A
1+ 100 % 96 % 99 %
2+ 96 % 91 % 99 %
3+ 93 % 79 % 98 %
4+ 86 % 66 % 98 %
5+ 71 % 55 % 92 %

Breaks

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.14 2.2 4.34
Over 0.5 54 % 66 % 100 %
Over 1.5 54 % 64 % 99 %
Over 2.5 43 % 60 % 79 %
Over 3.5 36 % 43 % 54 %
Over 4.5 32 % 4 % 48 %
Over 5.5 4 % 4 % 41 %

Tie-breaks

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.43 0.37 0.4
Over 0.5 43 % 35 % 39 %
Over 1.5 0 % 2 % 1 %
Under 0.5 57 % 65 % 39 %
Under 1.5 100 % 98 % 1 %

Double faults

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.86 1.83 4.69
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 70 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 75 % 57 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 54 % 36 % 86 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 43 % 15 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 18 % 4 % 51 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 4 % 0 % 43 %

Net points

Jan-Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.87 6.91 12.78
Over 4.5 (5+) 65 % 71 % 68 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 65 % 55 % 60 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 54 % 53 % 54 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 54 % 42 % 48 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 42 % 34 % 38 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 35 % 26 % 31 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.65 37.0% BetBoom
P2 1.56 63.0% BetBoom

Struff J-L go head-to-head with Tabilo, Alejandro on August 15, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tabilo, Alejandro — 61%

1 · Struff J-L39.2%
market 37%
2 · Tabilo, Alejandro ✓ Pick60.8%
market 63%

Model estimate: win Struff J-L 39.2%, win Tabilo, Alejandro 60.8%. Model favourite — Tabilo, Alejandro.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tabilo, Alejandro (odds1.44) Score 1:2 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Shtruff Ya-L
  • • 🇩🇪 — Tabilo A
  • • 🇨🇱 (tennis)
  • • Shtruff Ya-L
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Tabilo A
  • • 🇨🇱: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Tabilo A
  • • 🇨🇱: probability 64% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Struff J-L - Tabilo, Alejandro August 15, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tabilo, Alejandro.

Line favourite market consensus: Tabilo, Alejandro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / 2 1.56
  • Glicko: Struff J-L 39.2% / Tabilo, Alejandro 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 6 books · best price +3.1%
1 37.0%
2 ✓ Pick 63.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Struff J-L
37%
2.65
Tabilo, Alejandro
63%
1.56
Total
Over 4.5
48%
1.92
Under 4.5
52%
1.79

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Vosmoy kort
Start 15.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 37.0% @ 2.65 / 2 63.0% @ 1.56
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tabilo, Alejandro 61%
💹 Market Tabilo, Alejandro 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Struff J-L - Tabilo, Alejandro

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Yan-Lennard Shtruff - Alekhandro Tabilo. Tsintsinnati (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 60.8% fact: away hit / ROI 55.6% / Brier 0.308 / LogLoss 0.498
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 55.6% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.668
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Struff J-L 37.0% 41.4% market and model agree
Tabilo, Alejandro 63.0% 58.6% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko39.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.2% / 60.8% probabilities
Rating 1,654 / 1,412 Struff J-L / Tabilo, Alejandro
RD 130 / 281 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,394-1,914 / 850-1,974 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.8%
1 2.58 market consensus · no value · model 39.2%
Total
Over 0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.71 58.5%
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 1.96 51.0% —
— 1.65 60.6% —
— 1.75 57.1% —
1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 — — 1.98 50.5%
Over 2.5 — — 2.28 43.9%
Over 6.5 — 1.72 58.1% —
Over 10.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 11.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 12.5 — — 3.60 27.8%
Over 18.5 — 1.75 57.1% —
Over 20.5 — 1.75 57.1% 1.40 71.4%
Over 22.5 1.81 55.3% — —
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% —
Under 6.5 — 2.00 50.0% —
Under 18.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 20.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 22.5 1.98 50.5% — —
Under 23.5 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.59 38.6%
1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.3%
Match center
Struff J-L
W
13.08 19:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Tsintsinnati 🇺🇸, hard
Struff J-L 2:1 Burruchaga R. A. 🇦🇷Burruchaga R. A. 🇦🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Tabilo, Alejandro
D D
15.08.2026 Championat
28 A. Aleksandr Bloks (Belgium) 2 6 — M. Mariano Navone (Argentina) 0 3 4 1-y krug Tabilo, Alejandro
15.08.2026 Championat
A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 2 5 6 7 K. Karen Tabilo, Alejandro
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Struff J-L vs Tabilo, Alejandro?

By the PropickAI model, Tabilo, Alejandro is favoured — about 61% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Struff J-L vs Tabilo, Alejandro?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tabilo, Alejandro. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Struff J-L vs Tabilo, Alejandro start?

August 15, 2026.