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AI verdict

AI pick Walton A win probability ~60% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Walton A. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
2nd round 16.08.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction

Walton A - Buse I

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles 2nd round hard 16.08.2026 22:30 UTC Finished
16.08.2026 22:30 UTC 2nd round Finished
Walton A
Walton A Australia
Rank #98 Elo 670
60Average Form
W L W L L W W W
Buse I
Buse I Peru
Rank #36 Elo 1335
56Average Form
L L W W L W W L
2:0
Stadium: Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Sedmoy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Walton A Buse I
Win % 57% 59.7%
Hard % 58.8% 53.6%
Clay % 47.1% 61.6%
Grass % 46.2% 42.9%
Deciding set % 59.1% 56.6%
Tie-breaks % 51.5% 56.7%
Titles (total) 5 3
Last 10 WLWLLWWLWW LLWWLLWLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Australia Country Peru
#98 Rating #36
27 Age 22
183 Height (cm) 183
77 Weight (kg) 78
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
Posev 29 0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Walton A Buse I
Aces per match 6.93 4.58
Double faults per match 1.66 2.36
Breaks per match 1.06 3.9

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Walton A
31% 9 / 29
31% 9 / 29
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 5
grass
1 iz 3
hard
6 iz 21
Buse I
52% 17 / 33
52% 17 / 33
Sintetika
no data
clay
14 iz 24
grass
3 iz 6
hard
0 iz 3

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Adam Walton
Rank:98 Elo: 670
W L W L L W W W
Ignacio Buse
Rank:36 Elo: 1335
L L W W L W W L
Elo favourite:Buse I (edge +665 Elo)

Hard

Adam WaltonIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 62.8% 27 / 43 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.6% 30 / 55 Matches 60.0% 9 / 15 Matches

Clay

Adam WaltonIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches 67.4% 31 / 46 Matches

Grass

Adam WaltonIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 60.0% 36 / 60 Matches 56.4% 22 / 39 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 53.4% 39 / 73 Matches 63.2% 43 / 68 Matches
Current rank 98 36

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse
Prize money (career) $748,972 USD $90,498 USD
Rating 98 36
Age 27 22
Height 1.83m 1.85m
Weight 77kg 78kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse
Match Wins 60 % 56 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 63 % 58 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 37 % 23 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 23 %
Won At Least 1 Set 73 % 77 %
Set 1 Win 62 % 59 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 41 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Tsintsinnati (m)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.67 9.77 9.72
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 95 % 92 % 94 %
Over 8.5 70 % 69 % 70 %
Over 9.5 46 % 44 % 45 %
Over 10.5 23 % 28 % 26 %
Over 11.5 23 % 28 % 26 %

Aces

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse Match total
Aces Per Match 6.93 4.58 11.51
Most Aces in a match 52 % 67 % N/A
1+ 100 % 97 % 100 %
2+ 96 % 92 % 97 %
3+ 93 % 67 % 95 %
4+ 88 % 56 % 89 %
5+ 71 % 44 % 86 %

Breaks

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.06 3.9 4.96
Over 0.5 98 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 4 % 94 % 99 %
Over 2.5 0 % 89 % 54 %
Over 3.5 0 % 83 % 48 %
Over 4.5 0 % 36 % 48 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 43 %

Tie-breaks

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.5 0.42 0.46
Over 0.5 43 % 31 % 37 %
Over 1.5 7 % 11 % 9 %
Under 0.5 57 % 69 % 37 %
Under 1.5 93 % 89 % 9 %

Double faults

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.66 2.36 4.02
Over 0.5 (1+) 79 % 92 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 46 % 61 % 91 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 20 % 36 % 83 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 9 % 19 % 64 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 5 % 11 % 49 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 5 % 6 % 33 %

Net points

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.53 8.71 15.24
Over 4.5 (5+) 66 % 79 % 73 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 53 % 75 % 64 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 39 % 64 % 52 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 26 % 54 % 40 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 18 % 39 % 29 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 16 % 36 % 26 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.57 60.8% BetBoom
P2 2.43 39.3% BetBoom

Walton A go head-to-head with Buse I on August 16, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles.

Recent form (W-D-L): Walton A 2-0-3, Buse I 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Walton A — 60%

1 · Walton A ✓ Pick60.2%
market 61%
2 · Buse I39.8%
market 39%

Model estimate: win Walton A 60.2%, win Buse I 39.8%. Model favourite — Walton A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Walton A (odds1.81) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Uolton A
  • • 🇦🇺 — Buse I
  • • 🇵🇪 (tennis)
  • • Uolton A
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VPPPV (2-3)
  • • Buse I
  • • 🇵🇪: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Uolton A
  • • 🇦🇺: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Walton A - Buse I August 16, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Walton A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Walton A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 2.43
  • Glicko: Walton A 60.2% / Buse I 39.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 60.8%
2 39.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.67 ↓ 1.55
Winner 2 2.20 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Walton A
61%
1.57
Buse I
39%
16.00
Total
Over 14.5
50%
1.86
Under 14.5
50%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Cincinnati, USA

1/64-finals (R128)
Norrie, Cameron2
Prizmic, Dino1
Fucsovics, Marton0
Atmane, Terence0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Jacquet, Kyrian0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Shapovalov, Denis2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Burruchaga, Roman Andres1
Struff, Jan-Lennard2
Navone, Mariano2
Collignon, Raphael0
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Choinski, Jan1
Landaluce, Martin2
Draper, Jack0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Monfils, Gael1
Svajda, Zachary0
Bellucci, Mattia2
Droguet, Titouan1
Berrettini, Matteo2
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Van Assche, Luca0
Wolf, Jeffrey John0
Duckworth, James2
Kopriva, Vit0
Halys, Quentin2
Michelsen, Alex2
De Jong, Jesper0
Merida, Daniel2
Cilic, Marin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Shevchenko, Alexander0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Machac, Tomas0
Carreno Busta, Pablo2
Borges, Nuno2
Kokkinakis, Thanasi1
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Khachanov, Karen1
Medjedovic, Hamad0
Trungelliti, Marco2
Faria, Jaime2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Walton, Adam2
Mejia, Nicolas0
Marozsan, Fabian1
Zheng, Michael2
Wong, Coleman1
Altmaier, Daniel2
Baez, Sebastian2
Dimitrov, Grigor1
Shang, Juncheng0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Lajal, Mark0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Royer, Valentin0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
1/32-finals (R64)
Zverev, Alexander2
Norrie, Cameron1
Atmane, Terence2
Etcheverry, Tomas Martin0
Paul, Tommy2
Hurkacz, Hubert1
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel2
Vacherot, Valentin0
Jodar, Rafael2
Shapovalov, Denis1
Struff, Jan-Lennard0
Tabilo, Alejandro2
Blockx, Alexander2
Navone, Mariano0
Kecmanovic, Miomir1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Djokovic, Novak1
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin2
Arnaldi, Matteo1
Darderi, Luciano0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bellucci, Mattia1
Mensik, Jakub2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Berrettini, Matteo1
Hanfmann, Yannick0
Fils, Arthur2
Fery, Arthur2
Duckworth, James1
Halys, Quentin1
de Minaur, Alex2
Fritz, Taylor2
Michelsen, Alex0
Merida, Daniel2
Bergs, Zizou0
Fonseca, Joao2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Ruud, Casper0
Rublev, Andrey2
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Borges, Nuno2
Cerundolo, Francisco0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Trungelliti, Marco0
Medvedev, Daniil2
Shelton, Ben0
Faria, Jaime2
Walton, Adam2
Buse, Ignacio0
Humbert, Ugo0
Zheng, Michael2
Altmaier, Daniel0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Tien, Learner2
Baez, Sebastian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Tiafoe, Frances2
Rinderknech, Arthur1
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix2
1/16-finals (R32)
Zverev, Alexander0
Atmane, Terence0
Paul, Tommy0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Jodar, Rafael0
Tabilo, Alejandro0
Blockx, Alexander1
Cobolli, Flavio2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Landaluce, Martin0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Mensik, Jakub0
Lehecka, Jiri0
Fils, Arthur0
Fery, Arthur0
de Minaur, Alex0
Fritz, Taylor0
Merida, Daniel0
Fonseca, Joao0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Rublev, Andrey0
Borges, Nuno0
Nakashima, Brandon0
Medvedev, Daniil0
Faria, Jaime0
Walton, Adam0
Zheng, Michael0
Musetti, Lorenzo0
Tien, Learner0
Tiafoe, Frances0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Auger-Aliassime, Felix0
1/8-finals (R16)
R16P10
R16P20
R16P30
Cobolli, Flavio0
Tirante, Thiago Agustin0
R16P60
R16P70
R16P80
R16P90
R16P100
R16P110
R16P120
R16P130
R16P140
R16P150
R16P160
Quarterfinals
Qf10
Qf20
Qf30
Qf40
Qf50
Qf60
Qf70
Qf80
Semifinals
WQF10
WQF20
WQF30
WQF40
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Stadium Lindner Femili Tennis Senter. Sedmoy kort
Start 16.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 70.6% @ 1.01 / 2 29.4% @ 2.43
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Walton A 60%
💹 Market Walton A 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Walton A - Buse I

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Adam Uolton - Ignasio Buse, 17 avgusta 2026. Tsintsinnati (m). Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Adam Uolton - Ignasio Buse, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 60.2% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.317 / LogLoss 0.507
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.476 / LogLoss 0.669
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Walton A 60.8% 55.8% market and model agree
Buse I 39.3% 44.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko60.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.26).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.2% / 39.8% probabilities
Rating 1,618 / 1,539 Walton A / Buse I
RD 126 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,366-1,870 / 1,239-1,840 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 39.8%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 60.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.35 74.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.12 89.3%
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
12.00 8.3%
1.92 52.1%
2.02 49.5%
2.95 33.9%
2.25 44.4%
2.40 41.7%
5.00 20.0%
7.60 13.2%
13.00 7.7%
1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.10 90.9%
1.02 98.0%
10.50 9.5%
6.00 16.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 19.5 13.00 7.7%
Over 20.5 6.20 16.1%
Over 21.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 22.5 7.10 14.1%
Over 23.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 24.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 25.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 26.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 27.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 18.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 19.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 20.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 21.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 22.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 23.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 25.5 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-16 · Adam Uolton 2:0 Ignasio Buse
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.65 (Pari) · 2 2.44 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.65 2.2
Winline 1.58 2.35
Fonbet 1.57 2.4
Betcity 1.56 2.44
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 4
1 Dvoynye oshibki 0
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 1
3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 1
56 Vyigrannye Points 45
39 Points na podache 29
16 Poteryannye Points na podache 17
37 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 30
17 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 16
33 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 19
6 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 10
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 9
5 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 5
9 Geymy na podache 6
12 Vyigrannye geymy 7
3 Maks. geymov podryad 2
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Walton A
W L W L L
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Walton A Walton A 2:0 Mejia N
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Walton A Walton A 0:2 Brooksby J
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Walton A Walton A 2:0 Boulais J
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Walton A Svrcina D 2:1 Walton A
2026-07-24 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Walton A Zheng Michael 2:1 Walton A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Buse I
L L W W L
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Buse I 0:2 Norrie C Buse I
2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Etcheverry T M 2:0 Buse I Buse I
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Feldbausch K 1:2 Buse I Buse I
2026-07-20 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Kopriva V 1:2 Buse I Buse I
2026-07-14 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Tsitsipas S 2:0 Buse I Buse I
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Walton A WWLWLL
Buse I LLLWWL

Match facts

Round: 24 Stadium: Court 7

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

Faria J – Walton A 18.08 Fritz T – Merida Aguilar D 18.08 Khidzhikata R. (Avs) – Mensik J 18.08 Cerundolo J M – Auger-Aliassime F 18.08 Tien L – Tiafo F. (Ssha) 19.08 Jodar, Rafael – Cobolli F 19.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Walton A vs Buse I?

By the PropickAI model, Walton A is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Walton A vs Buse I?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Walton A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Walton A vs Buse I start?

August 16, 2026.